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National Aluminium Co. Ltd. (NATIONALUM) AI Stock Analysis

IN:NATIONALUM

National Aluminium Co. Ltd.

(NSE:NATIONALUM)

Select Model
Rating:83Outperform
Price Target:INR 367.00â–²(16.66% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial fundamentals—especially the exceptionally low leverage and solid cash generation—combined with attractive valuation (low P/E and healthy dividend yield). Technicals are supportive with positive momentum, but mixed moving-average positioning and elevated stochastic readings temper the score due to potential short-term stretch.

Positive Factors
Vertical IntegrationControl across the bauxite-to-aluminium chain can reduce exposure to external raw-material and energy inputs while supporting operating coordination. This integrated structure may improve cost resilience, product availability, and the company’s ability to capture value across multiple processing stages.
Negative Factors
Commodity CyclicalityAs an aluminium producer, National Aluminium remains exposed to industry and commodity cycles that can affect revenue, margins, and cash generation. Downturns in market conditions may reduce earnings power and make financial performance less consistent even with a strong balance sheet.

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. (NATIONALUM) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-25%0%25%50%75%100%IN:NATIONALUM+39.67%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 577.71B
Dividend Yield
3.65%
Average Volume (3M)
294.28K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.6
Beta (1Y)
1.05
Revenue Growth
9.02%
EPS Growth
17.83%
Country
India
Employees
4,864
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Aluminum

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

National Aluminium Company Limited (NALCO) is an Indian enterprise engaged in the domestic and international production and distribution of alumina and aluminum commodities. Its operations are organized into two primary segments: Chemicals and Alumin...

How the Company Makes Money

NATIONALUM primarily makes money by converting mined bauxite into alumina and then into primary aluminium and related products, and selling these outputs to domestic and international customers. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Sale of alum...

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

High-quality financial profile overall: exceptionally conservative balance sheet with minimal leverage (Balance Sheet Score 92), supported by strong recent profitability (Income Statement Score 78) and improving/robust cash generation (Cash Flow Score 83). Main risk is cyclicality, with volatile revenue and historical cash-flow swings that could pressure results in weaker commodity conditions.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

92Very Positive

Cash Flow

83Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue193.38B178.43B167.88B131.49B142.57B142.15B
Gross Profit124.18B100.81B117.64B70.93B64.77B90.94B
EBITDA97.11B86.00B76.01B28.79B24.62B45.59B
Net Income67.51B57.97B52.68B19.88B14.35B29.51B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0265.44B228.82B192.35B176.27B172.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments87.01B87.01B59.42B27.14B21.62B36.55B
Total Debt0598.30M1.82B963.80M1.05B771.00M
Total Liabilities-216.04B49.41B50.77B48.47B45.00B47.23B
Stockholders Equity216.04B216.04B178.05B143.88B131.26B125.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.25B48.58B46.31B11.67B-6.26B27.65B
Operating Cash Flow27.21B68.94B58.06B27.19B9.08B40.50B
Investing Cash Flow-26.18B-46.55B-39.71B-20.00B-3.34B-27.36B
Financing Cash Flow-1.29B-22.06B-17.58B-7.39B-9.23B-11.14B

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price314.60

Price Trends

50DMA349.69Negative
100DMA355.14Negative
200DMA370.54Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-9.25Negative
RSI42.31Neutral
STOCH82.77Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:NATIONALUM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 314.60 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 318.88, below the 50-day MA of 349.69, and below the 200-day MA of 370.54, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -9.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 42.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.77 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:NATIONALUM.

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:NATIONALUM against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:NATIONALUMIN:NATIONALUM83OutperformINR 577.80B8.55―3.65%9.02%17.83%
IN:VEDLIN:VEDL72OutperformINR 928.72B4.31―6.76%-37.34%79.21%
IN:HINDALCOIN:HINDALCO66NeutralINR 2.01T11.98―0.56%20.28%-3.12%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:GRAVITAIN:GRAVITA54NeutralINR 102.22B25.40―0.46%23.93%8.39%
IN:MANAKALUCOIN:MANAKALUCO45NeutralINR 1.89B21.18―0.18%1.29%28.42%
IN:MAANALUIN:MAANALU41NeutralINR 5.25B35.66――-1.80%-10.89%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%IN:NATIONALUMIN:GRAVITAIN:HINDALCOIN:MAANALUIN:MANAKALUCOIN:VEDLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:NATIONALUM and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:NATIONALUMNational Aluminium Co. Ltd.314.6084.1936.54%
IN:GRAVITAGravita India Limited1385.00-420.90-23.31%
IN:HINDALCOHindalco Industries Limited893.0051.246.09%
IN:MAANALUMaan Aluminium Limited87.50-56.90-39.40%
IN:MANAKALUCOManaksia Aluminium Company Ltd28.83-0.13-0.45%
IN:VEDLVedanta Limited237.5051.6827.81%

National Aluminium Co. Ltd. Corporate Events

NALCO Elevates Senior Executives to Bolster Operational Leadership

Sep 25, 2026

National Aluminium Company Limited has announced multiple senior management promotions to the rank of Executive Director, signalling a broad strengthening of its leadership bench. The promoted executives oversee key functions including finance, mater...

NALCO files minutes of 45th AGM held via video conferencing

Sep 14, 2026

National Aluminium Company Limited convened its 45th Annual General Meeting on August 31, 2026, via video conferencing and other audio-visual means, in line with Ministry of Corporate Affairs and SEBI guidelines. The meeting was formally called to or...

NALCO to Present at Investors’ Meet 2026, Emphasises Regulatory Compliance

Sep 14, 2026

National Aluminium Company Limited has notified the stock exchanges that it will deliver an investor presentation at the Investors’ Meet 2026, hosted by Antique Stock Broking on 16 September 2026. The company clarified that the presentation, pr...

Nalco Appoints Joint Statutory Auditors for FY 2026-27

Sep 14, 2026

National Aluminium Company Limited has announced the appointment of M/s B M Chatrath & Co and M/s SRB & Associates as joint statutory auditors for the financial year 2026-27. The peer-reviewed chartered accountancy firms were appointed by the...

NALCO leadership to attend Mumbai investors’ meet on 16 September

Sep 8, 2026

National Aluminium Company Limited has announced that its Chairman-cum-Managing Director and Director (Finance) will attend an analyst and institutional investors’ meet in Mumbai on 16 September 2026, hosted by Antique Stock Broking. The compan...

NALCO Posts Record FY 2025–26 Results and Boosts Payouts as It Maps Future Growth

Aug 31, 2026

National Aluminium Company Limited reported record operational and financial performance in fiscal 2025–26, with its highest-ever output and peak sales in key segments such as domestic alumina and aluminium metal. The company also delivered all...

NALCO Adds Veteran Legal Professional Shri Neeraj as Independent Director

Aug 18, 2026

National Aluminium Company Limited has appointed senior legal professional Shri Neeraj as a part-time non-official independent director on its board, effective August 14, 2026, for a term of three years or until further orders. With over three decade...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026