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Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. (MUTHOOTCAP) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers
IN:MUTHOOTCAP

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd.

(NSE:MUTHOOTCAP)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:INR 207.00â–²(0.53% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

The score is held back primarily by financial fundamentals—sharp margin deterioration, high/rising leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow in recent years. This is partially offset by strong technical momentum (price above major moving averages with positive MACD) and a moderate P/E valuation.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReaccelerationThe return to double-digit revenue growth indicates improving lending activity after a largely stagnant prior year. Sustained top-line expansion could broaden the loan portfolio and support operating leverage, provided profitability and credit performance recover alongside growth.
Negative Factors
Severe Margin CompressionThe sharp multi-year decline in net margin shows that revenue growth is currently converting into much less profit. Persistently weak profitability would reduce internal capital generation, limit resilience against credit costs, and make future earnings more dependent on external funding.

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. (MUTHOOTCAP) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%IN:MUTHOOTCAP-25.53%INDA-5.62%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
INR 3.34B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
897
Price to Earnings (P/E)
13.1
Beta (1Y)
1.29
Revenue Growth
17.51%
EPS Growth
49.06%
Country
India
Employees
2,531
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Muthoot Capital Services Limited (MCSL) is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) that offers a broad spectrum of financial services, encompassing both funding and non-funding solutions. Its product portfolio includes various loan types, such as those...

How the Company Makes Money

Muthoot Capital Services makes money primarily by operating as a lending institution. Its core revenue stream is interest income earned on loans it disburses (predominantly retail vehicle loans), calculated as the spread between the interest it charg...

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Top-line growth improved in FY2026 (+14.0% YoY), but profitability weakened sharply (net margin ~1.8% vs ~9.9% in FY2025 and ~32.4% in FY2024). Leverage is high and rising (debt-to-equity ~4.82x), and cash generation is weak with negative operating and free cash flow in FY2025–FY2026, increasing liquidity and funding risk.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

38Negative

Cash Flow

27Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.44B6.32B4.63B3.79B4.30B3.97B
Gross Profit3.14B3.03B2.52B1.73B2.09B1.88B
EBITDA677.68M229.34M1.86B2.37B1.69B-1.64B
Net Income239.65M111.73M457.46M1.23B786.79M-1.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets040.56B35.85B23.14B24.35B20.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments05.23B4.00B3.21B5.50B3.34B
Total Debt032.32B28.12B16.27B18.54B15.65B
Total Liabilities-6.70B33.85B29.26B17.02B19.46B16.87B
Stockholders Equity6.70B6.70B6.58B6.12B4.89B4.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.46B-144.34M-11.02B-118.70M-470.00M731.70M
Operating Cash Flow-2.46B-36.78M-10.97B-70.90M-464.12M732.90M
Investing Cash Flow-63.99M-3.40B-74.52M-630.82M-165.99M-93.90M
Financing Cash Flow1.36B4.67B12.20B-2.51B2.72B-3.11B

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price205.90

Price Trends

50DMA215.64Negative
100DMA222.99Negative
200DMA216.29Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-4.31Negative
RSI52.36Neutral
STOCH54.13Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:MUTHOOTCAP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 205.90 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 197.55, below the 50-day MA of 215.64, and below the 200-day MA of 216.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.31 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IN:MUTHOOTCAP.

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:MUTHOOTCAP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:MUTHOOTFININ:MUTHOOTFIN72OutperformINR 1.16T9.65―1.03%46.75%67.03%
IN:MANAPPURAMIN:MANAPPURAM67NeutralINR 301.53B19.46―0.78%20.27%301.47%
IN:IIFLIN:IIFL62NeutralINR 284.30B11.32―0.60%36.50%190.08%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:MUTHOOTCAPIN:MUTHOOTCAP55NeutralINR 3.32B13.06――17.51%49.06%
IN:INDOSTARIN:INDOSTAR48NeutralINR 32.52B-8.62――-0.48%-153.07%
IN:MUTHOOTMFIN:MUTHOOTMF40UnderperformINR 27.53B16.47――5.19%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%IN:MUTHOOTCAPIN:IIFLIN:INDOSTARIN:MANAPPURAMIN:MUTHOOTFININ:MUTHOOTMFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IN:MUTHOOTCAP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:MUTHOOTCAPMuthoot Capital Services Ltd.205.90-71.60-25.80%
IN:IIFLIIFL Finance Limited662.85119.2721.94%
IN:INDOSTARIndoStar Capital Finance Limited207.95-29.40-12.39%
IN:MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Limited320.2540.5814.51%
IN:MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd2926.00-769.60-20.82%
IN:MUTHOOTMFMuthoot Microfin Ltd170.05-0.35-0.21%

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Corporate Events

Muthoot Capital Uploads Investor Call Audio Recording

Nov 6, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. announced that it had uploaded the audio recording of its investor conference call discussing unaudited results for the quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2026. The disclosure supports regulatory transparency and...

Muthoot Capital Approves September 2026 Financial Results

Nov 5, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Limited is a financial services company. Its board approved the unaudited financial results for the quarter and half year ended September 30, 2026, following audit committee review and limited review by its statutory auditors...

Muthoot Capital Schedules Q2 and H1 FY27 Investor Call

Nov 3, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Limited is a financial services company; the release identifies no specific products or market focus.The company has scheduled an investor conference call for November 6, 2026, to discuss its unaudited financial results for t...

Muthoot Capital Services Discloses Resignation of Chief Risk Officer

Oct 14, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has announced that Chief Risk Officer Mrs. Umadevi Pazhoor Unnikrishnan has resigned, effective at the close of business on October 14, 2026. The company has attributed her departure to personal reasons, signaling a lead...

Muthoot Capital Services Discloses Resignation of Chief Risk Officer

Oct 14, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has announced that its Chief Risk Officer, Mrs. Umadevi Pazhoor Unnikrishnan, has resigned from her position due to personal reasons. Her resignation is effective from the close of business hours on October 14, 2026.The...

Muthoot Capital’s Chief Risk Officer Resigns, Prompting Leadership Shift in Risk Function

Oct 14, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has announced that Chief Risk Officer Mrs. Umadevi Pazhoor Unnikrishnan has resigned from her position, with effect from the close of business hours on October 14, 2026. The company stated that the resignation is due to...

Muthoot Capital to Raise Up to ₹150 Crore via Secured NCD Issue

Sep 16, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has approved the issuance and allotment of senior, secured, rated, listed, redeemable, taxable, transferable non-convertible debentures via private placement, with a total size of up to ₹150 crore. The issue comprises a...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026