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Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. (MUTHOOTCAP) AI Stock Analysis

IN:MUTHOOTCAP

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd.

(NSE:MUTHOOTCAP)

Select Model
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:INR 198.00â–²(4.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/17/26

Muthoot Capital Services achieves a moderate score of 59. The most significant positive driver is the stock's strong technical momentum, supported by solid top-line revenue growth. However, this is heavily offset by pressing fundamental risks, notably a steep deterioration in net profit margins, soaring leverage, and persistent negative operating cash flows. The current fair valuation does not offer enough of a margin of safety against these significant profitability and liquidity concerns.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReaccelerationRevenue growth reaccelerated materially in FY2026 after a largely flat prior year, indicating renewed expansion in the lending business. If maintained, stronger origination and interest income can improve operating leverage, support scale across the franchise, and provide a foundation for earnings recovery.
Negative Factors
Sharp Margin CompressionThe steep decline in net margin shows that recent revenue growth has not translated into durable profitability. Such compression reduces internal capital generation, limits the company’s ability to fund loan growth, and leaves earnings more exposed to credit costs, funding expenses, and operating volatility.

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. (MUTHOOTCAP) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%IN:MUTHOOTCAP-31.06%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 3.10B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1,348
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.9
Beta (1Y)
1.55
Revenue Growth
23.27%
EPS Growth
-20.85%
Country
India
Employees
2,531
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Muthoot Capital Services Limited (MCSL) is a non-banking finance company (NBFC) that offers a broad spectrum of financial services, encompassing both funding and non-funding solutions. Its product portfolio includes various loan types, such as those...

How the Company Makes Money

Muthoot Capital Services makes money primarily by operating as a lending institution. Its core revenue stream is interest income earned on loans it disburses (predominantly retail vehicle loans), calculated as the spread between the interest it charg...

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Despite robust revenue growth and equity expansion, financial performance is significantly hindered by severe margin contraction, aggressive debt accumulation leading to high leverage, and chronic negative free cash flows.

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

54Neutral

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue6.44B6.32B4.63B3.79B4.30B3.97B
Gross Profit3.14B3.03B2.52B1.73B2.09B1.88B
EBITDA677.68M229.34M1.86B2.37B1.69B-1.64B
Net Income239.65M111.73M457.46M1.23B786.79M-1.62B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets040.56B35.85B23.14B24.35B20.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments05.23B4.00B3.21B5.50B3.34B
Total Debt032.32B28.12B16.27B18.54B15.65B
Total Liabilities-6.70B33.85B29.26B17.02B19.46B16.87B
Stockholders Equity6.70B6.70B6.58B6.12B4.89B4.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.46B-144.34M-11.02B-118.70M-470.00M731.70M
Operating Cash Flow-2.46B-36.78M-10.97B-70.90M-464.12M732.90M
Investing Cash Flow-63.99M-3.40B-74.52M-630.82M-165.99M-93.90M
Financing Cash Flow1.36B4.67B12.20B-2.51B2.72B-3.11B

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price189.85

Price Trends

50DMA223.46Negative
100DMA222.97Negative
200DMA219.48Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-10.57Positive
RSI34.28Neutral
STOCH16.60Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:MUTHOOTCAP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 189.85 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 203.93, below the 50-day MA of 223.46, and below the 200-day MA of 219.48, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 34.28 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.60 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:MUTHOOTCAP.

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:MUTHOOTCAP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:IIFLIN:IIFL62NeutralINR 225.36B9.01―0.76%36.50%190.08%
IN:MUTHOOTCAPIN:MUTHOOTCAP59NeutralINR 3.12B12.93――23.27%-20.85%
IN:MANAPPURAMIN:MANAPPURAM56NeutralINR 271.47B17.58―0.87%4.91%73.95%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:MUTHOOTFININ:MUTHOOTFIN52NeutralINR 967.34B8.50―1.24%50.37%84.79%
IN:INDOSTARIN:INDOSTAR48NeutralINR 29.63B-7.57――-1.90%-151.41%
IN:MUTHOOTMFIN:MUTHOOTMF40UnderperformINR 23.02B22.78――5.19%―

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%IN:MUTHOOTCAPIN:IIFLIN:INDOSTARIN:MANAPPURAMIN:MUTHOOTFININ:MUTHOOTMFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:MUTHOOTCAP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:MUTHOOTCAPMuthoot Capital Services Ltd.189.85-92.10-32.67%
IN:IIFLIIFL Finance Limited528.00-8.23-1.54%
IN:INDOSTARIndoStar Capital Finance Limited183.30-73.75-28.69%
IN:MANAPPURAMManappuram Finance Limited289.0023.238.74%
IN:MUTHOOTFINMuthoot Finance Ltd2409.50-753.90-23.83%
IN:MUTHOOTMFMuthoot Microfin Ltd135.00-37.00-21.51%

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. Corporate Events

Muthoot Capital Services Discloses Resignation of Chief Risk Officer

Oct 14, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has announced that Chief Risk Officer Mrs. Umadevi Pazhoor Unnikrishnan has resigned, effective at the close of business on October 14, 2026. The company has attributed her departure to personal reasons, signaling a lead...

Muthoot Capital Services Discloses Resignation of Chief Risk Officer

Oct 14, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has announced that its Chief Risk Officer, Mrs. Umadevi Pazhoor Unnikrishnan, has resigned from her position due to personal reasons. Her resignation is effective from the close of business hours on October 14, 2026.The...

Muthoot Capital’s Chief Risk Officer Resigns, Prompting Leadership Shift in Risk Function

Oct 14, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has announced that Chief Risk Officer Mrs. Umadevi Pazhoor Unnikrishnan has resigned from her position, with effect from the close of business hours on October 14, 2026. The company stated that the resignation is due to...

Muthoot Capital to Raise Up to ₹150 Crore via Secured NCD Issue

Sep 16, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has approved the issuance and allotment of senior, secured, rated, listed, redeemable, taxable, transferable non-convertible debentures via private placement, with a total size of up to ₹150 crore. The issue compri...

Muthoot Capital Moves to Strengthen Digital Access Ahead of 32nd AGM

Aug 7, 2026

Muthoot Capital Services Ltd. has notified the stock exchanges that it is dispatching letters to shareholders whose e-mail addresses are not registered, providing direct web access to the FY 2025-26 annual report and the notice of its Thirty-Second A...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 17, 2026