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Cummins India Limited (CUMMINSIND) AI Stock Analysis

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IN:CUMMINSIND

Cummins India Limited

(NSE:CUMMINSIND)

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Rating:66.25Neutral
Price Target:INR 4,812.00â–²(8.13% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:08/29/26

Score is supported primarily by strong financial performance (growth, profitability, very low leverage, and strong free cash flow). It is materially offset by weak near-term technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD and low RSI) and an expensive valuation (high P/E with modest yield).

Positive Factors
Strong revenue growthThe large increase in revenue over five years indicates substantial business expansion across Cummins India’s engine, power-solution, and support activities. Continued scale can strengthen customer reach, improve operating leverage, and provide a durable base for future investment and cash generation.
Negative Factors
FY2026 gross margin pressureLower gross profit while revenue increased points to pressure on product economics, costs, or mix. If this pattern persists, it could reduce operating leverage and limit the extent to which future sales growth translates into earnings, cash generation, and returns.

Cummins India Limited (CUMMINSIND) vs. iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%IN:CUMMINSIND+4.40%INDA-12.02%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
INR 1.23T
Dividend Yield
1.48%
Average Volume (3M)
36.09K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
52.1
Beta (1Y)
1.04
Revenue Growth
15.30%
EPS Growth
10.55%
Country
India
Employees
5,229
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Cummins India Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cummins India Ltd. engages in the manufacture, design, and distribution of diesel and alternative fuel engines. The firm also offers electronics, emission solutions, filtration, fuel systems, and turbo technologies. It operates through Engines and Lu...

How the Company Makes Money

Cummins India makes money primarily by selling diesel and gas engines and engine-based power solutions, and by providing parts and services over the life of the installed equipment base. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Equipment/product sa...

Cummins India Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue and earnings growth with healthy profitability, an exceptionally conservative balance sheet with minimal debt, and robust free cash flow generation. Key risks are FY2026 gross margin pressure and a recurring pattern of operating cash flow running below net income in several years (working-capital/timing volatility).

Income Statement

86Very Positive

Balance Sheet

94Very Positive

Cash Flow

88Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue121.43B121.43B103.91B90.00B77.72B61.71B
Gross Profit37.29B34.81B37.45B31.79B25.05B20.26B
EBITDA31.04B32.97B23.03B19.72B14.28B10.42B
Net Income23.62B23.62B20.00B17.21B12.28B9.34B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets113.04B113.04B101.68B89.71B79.19B71.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.23B39.23B34.42B26.91B24.40B22.06B
Total Debt365.10M365.10M296.60M1.27B3.76B4.18B
Total Liabilities28.29B28.29B26.07B23.58B21.60B19.67B
Stockholders Equity84.75B84.75B75.61B66.12B57.58B51.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.31B18.85B17.90B9.97B6.58B5.60B
Operating Cash Flow7.42B21.37B20.28B12.85B8.20B7.12B
Investing Cash Flow1.66B-3.90B-9.31B-2.68B691.50M-5.86B
Financing Cash Flow-9.35B-14.92B-11.62B-11.34B-6.87B-822.50M

Cummins India Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4450.00

Price Trends

50DMA4897.46Negative
100DMA5212.18Negative
200DMA4991.15Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-133.62Negative
RSI37.58Neutral
STOCH63.21Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IN:CUMMINSIND, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4450.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4655.88, below the 50-day MA of 4897.46, and below the 200-day MA of 4991.15, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -133.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.58 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.21 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IN:CUMMINSIND.

Cummins India Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IN:CUMMINSIND against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IN:BOSCHLTDIN:BOSCHLTD69NeutralINR 1.39T58.91―0.57%13.63%-11.32%
IN:SONACOMSIN:SONACOMS68NeutralINR 555.70B74.21―0.38%42.13%21.66%
IN:CUMMINSINDIN:CUMMINSIND66NeutralINR 1.23T52.14―1.48%15.30%10.55%
IN:ZFCVINDIAIN:ZFCVINDIA63NeutralINR 239.24B47.90―0.19%9.03%3.22%
IN:SCHAEFFLERIN:SCHAEFFLER56NeutralINR 559.98B42.55―0.98%22.67%23.28%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IN:BHARATFORGIN:BHARATFORG50NeutralINR 843.45B116.45―0.49%17.54%-31.63%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%IN:CUMMINSINDIN:BHARATFORGIN:BOSCHLTDIN:SCHAEFFLERIN:SONACOMSIN:ZFCVINDIADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
IN:CUMMINSIND and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IN:CUMMINSINDCummins India Limited4450.00131.213.04%
IN:BHARATFORGBharat Forge Ltd1726.00390.7329.26%
IN:BOSCHLTDBosch Limited47032.8010258.6227.90%
IN:SCHAEFFLERSchaeffler India Ltd3582.65-660.20-15.56%
IN:SONACOMSSona BLW Precision Forgings Ltd.890.30412.0586.16%
IN:ZFCVINDIAZF Commercial Vehicle Control Systems India Limited2102.15-2.34-0.11%

Cummins India Limited Corporate Events

Cummins India to Withhold FY26 Dividend on Non-Compliant KYC Folios

Sep 17, 2026

Cummins India Limited has notified shareholders that final dividend for FY 2025-26 will be withheld for folios deemed KYC non-compliant under updated SEBI regulations. The move follows SEBI’s master circular and recent amendments mandating up-t...

Cummins India Expands High‑Horsepower and Smart Power Solutions at bauma CONEXPO 2026

Sep 15, 2026

Cummins India Limited, a prominent power solutions technology provider, serves sectors such as genset, construction, mining and mission‑critical infrastructure across India. Its portfolio spans high‑horsepower generator sets, cleaner emis...

Cummins India’s Distribution Head Resigns; Search for Successor Underway

Aug 20, 2026

Cummins India Limited has announced that Mr. Pankaj Kapoor, Vice President – Distribution Business and designated Senior Management Personnel, has resigned to pursue external opportunities, with his cessation effective September 21, 2026. His d...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 28, 2026