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Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT)
NASDAQ:ILPT

Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) AI Stock Analysis

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Industrial Logistics Properties

(NASDAQ:ILPT)

Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▲(2.34%Upside)
ILPT's stock score is primarily influenced by its challenging financial performance and unattractive valuation. While the earnings call showed strong operational performance and strategic initiatives, profitability issues and cash flow instability remain significant concerns. Technical indicators are mixed, providing no strong directional bias.
Positive Factors
Debt management
ILPT can push its debt maturities out for two more years, which could potentially align with a more favorable rate environment.
Leasing activity
Leasing volumes expanded by 1.3x, relative to the trailing four-quarter average, with significant contributions from a 13-property FedEx portfolio.
Negative Factors
Bankruptcy impact
The American Tire Distributors bankruptcy creates more potential near-term portfolio headwinds; ILPT has exposure to five leases aggregating 1.6% of rents.
Vacancy trends
Recent move-outs and vacancies have negatively impacted property trends, particularly in the historically durable Hawaii region.

Industrial Logistics Properties (ILPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Industrial Logistics Properties Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionILPT is a real estate investment trust, or REIT, that owns and leases industrial and logistics properties throughout the United States. ILPT is managed by the operating subsidiary of The RMR Group Inc. (Nasdaq: RMR), an alternative asset management company that is headquartered in Newton, MA.
How the Company Makes MoneyILPT generates revenue primarily through leasing its industrial and logistics properties to tenants, which include e-commerce companies, third-party logistics providers, and other businesses requiring substantial warehouse and distribution space. The company's earnings are derived from rental income, which is structured through long-term lease agreements. These leases often feature annual rent escalations and renewal options that contribute to stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, ILPT may engage in strategic acquisitions or divestitures of properties to optimize its portfolio and enhance shareholder value. The trust also benefits from its strategic focus on high-demand industrial markets, positioning it favorably to capitalize on trends such as the growth of e-commerce and the increasing complexity of supply chain logistics.

Industrial Logistics Properties Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 30.53%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, successful leasing activity, and strategic focus on improving operations and reducing leverage. However, challenges remain with significant vacancies and potential impacts from global tariffs.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Normalized FFO increased by 43% year-over-year and 52% on a sequential quarter basis. NOI and EBITDAre both saw year-over-year and sequential increases.
Leasing Activity and Occupancy
Executed over 2.3 million square feet of total leasing activity with an occupancy rate of 94.6%, a sequential increase of 20 basis points. GAAP and cash leasing spreads were 18.9% and 9.8% respectively.
Mainland Leasing Success
The Mainland accounted for 79% of leasing activity, including a 250,000 square foot lease in Indiana with a 45% rent increase and no downtime.
Hawaii Portfolio Performance
Renewed 492,000 square feet of leases in Hawaii with an 18.2% increase in rental rates and a weighted average lease term of 4.9 years.
Interest Expense Reduction
Interest expense decreased by $3.4 million year-over-year due to lower interest rate cap costs.
Negative Updates
Vacancy in Hawaii
A 2.2 million square foot undeveloped land parcel in Hawaii remains vacant, impacting occupancy.
Leasing Challenges in Indianapolis
Despite being close to a lease agreement, a 535,000 square foot property in Indianapolis remains vacant.
Risk from Global Tariffs
Monitoring the evolving landscape surrounding global tariffs, which may impact tenant demand and the leasing environment.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) reported several key metrics showcasing a strong performance. The company's cash basis net operating income (NOI) grew by nearly 2% compared to the previous year, while normalized funds from operations (FFO) increased by 43% year-over-year and 52% sequentially. ILPT executed over 2.3 million square feet of leasing activity, achieving a 94.6% occupancy rate, marking a 20 basis point increase from the previous quarter. The weighted average lease term for new and renewal leases was six years, with GAAP and cash leasing spreads of 18.9% and 9.8%, respectively. The portfolio comprises 411 properties totaling 60 million square feet, with a significant presence in Hawaii, accounting for 226 properties and 16.7 million square feet. The company's top 10 tenants contribute 47% of annualized rental revenues, with 76% of revenues coming from investment-grade rated tenants or secure Hawaii land leases. Financially, ILPT reported a normalized FFO of $13.5 million or $0.20 per share, exceeding guidance by $0.02, with NOI at $87.5 million and adjusted EBITDAre at $85.3 million. Interest expense decreased to $69.8 million, contributing to a net debt coverage ratio improvement to 11.9x. Looking ahead, ILPT aims to maintain strong tenant retention, maximize growth opportunities, and explore options to improve the balance sheet and reduce leverage.

Industrial Logistics Properties Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Industrial Logistics Properties faces profitability challenges despite positive revenue growth and healthy EBIT margins. The balance sheet sees reduced leverage but declining equity, and cash flow management is inconsistent, with fluctuations in free cash flow.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
Industrial Logistics Properties showed a mixed performance in recent years. The gross profit margin is robust, indicating good control over cost of goods sold. However, net income has been negative for the last three years, leading to a negative net profit margin, which is a concern. Revenue growth has been positive, but the company has struggled to convert top-line growth into bottom-line profitability. The EBIT margin is healthy, but the negative EBITDA margin in the latest year is alarming, indicating operational inefficiencies or high non-operational expenses.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet has seen some improvement with a reduction in total debt, leading to a better debt-to-equity ratio. Despite this, the stockholders' equity has declined, impacting the equity ratio negatively. The company has shown a positive return on equity in the past, but recent losses have led to a deterioration in ROE. Overall, while leverage has reduced, the declining equity base is a concern.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals challenges in free cash flow generation in recent times, with a significant drop in operating cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some level of cash earnings, but free cash flow to net income ratio is low, reflecting limited cash available after capital expenditures. The fluctuation in free cash flow growth indicates instability in cash flow management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
441.99M442.32M437.34M388.15M219.87M254.57M
Gross Profit
337.71M379.76M377.00M337.53M189.74M219.39M
EBIT
141.73M138.77M129.20M115.48M103.74M108.66M
EBITDA
316.13M310.76M307.93M276.46M154.34M179.17M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-93.80M-95.67M-107.99M-293.92M78.76M82.07M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
112.34M242.48M112.34M48.26M29.40M22.83M
Total Assets
5.56B5.41B5.56B5.68B1.91B1.92B
Total Debt
4.32B4.32B4.32B4.27B840.56M881.21M
Net Debt
4.21B4.18B4.21B4.22B811.16M858.38M
Total Liabilities
4.40B4.40B4.40B4.35B870.52M912.55M
Stockholders Equity
669.95M562.02M669.95M790.72M1.04B1.00B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
3.87M1.96M6.06M65.52M105.74M108.71M
Operating Cash Flow
5.34M1.96M6.06M83.25M110.65M114.56M
Investing Cash Flow
16.50M16.42M67.74M-3.45B22.88M-4.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-21.62M-21.63M31.14M3.47B-126.96M-121.76M

Industrial Logistics Properties Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price3.42
Price Trends
50DMA
3.06
Positive
100DMA
3.41
Positive
200DMA
3.78
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.09
Negative
RSI
60.17
Neutral
STOCH
57.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ILPT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.23, above the 50-day MA of 3.06, and below the 200-day MA of 3.78, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.09 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ILPT.

Industrial Logistics Properties Risk Analysis

Industrial Logistics Properties disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Industrial Logistics Properties reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
RMR is incorporating artificial intelligence, or AI, into some of its business workflows and processes, and challenges with properly managing its use could result in reputational harm, competitive harm, legal liability and increased regulatory costs and adversely affect our results of operations. Q4, 2024

Industrial Logistics Properties Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$743.06M5.2926.05%5.95%-3.48%615.20%
77
Outperform
$6.72B27.197.15%4.12%8.81%33.30%
FRFR
76
Outperform
$6.75B24.5510.18%3.14%9.18%-7.05%
74
Outperform
$8.36B28.693.35%4.76%18.02%12.12%
LXLXP
68
Neutral
$2.54B43.942.98%6.16%5.68%358.78%
61
Neutral
$2.81B10.770.40%8439.00%5.73%-20.81%
58
Neutral
$214.96M-15.86%1.23%0.55%12.36%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ILPT
Industrial Logistics Properties
3.42
-0.54
-13.64%
STAG
Stag Industrial
36.03
2.69
8.07%
FR
First Industrial Realty
49.36
4.04
8.91%
LXP
LXP Industrial Trust
8.62
0.46
5.64%
REXR
Rexford Industrial Realty
35.61
-6.91
-16.25%
PLYM
Plymouth Industrial Reit
16.22
-4.14
-20.33%

Industrial Logistics Properties Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Industrial Logistics Properties Highlights Strategic Focus
Neutral
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Industrial Logistics Properties Trust released an investor presentation highlighting its strategic focus and financial health. The presentation emphasized ILPT’s strong occupancy rate of 95% and its geographic diversity, with a notable presence in Hawaii. The company’s next debt maturity is in 2027, and it has $108 million in cash on hand. The presentation also addressed potential risks and uncertainties affecting the company, including market conditions, tenant renewals, and economic factors.

The most recent analyst rating on (ILPT) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Industrial Logistics Properties stock, see the ILPT Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Industrial Logistics Elects Trustees at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 30, 2025

At the Company’s annual meeting of shareholders on May 28, 2025, Industrial Logistics Properties elected seven Trustees to its Board for a one-year term. Additionally, shareholders approved a non-binding advisory resolution on executive compensation and ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditors for the 2025 fiscal year.

The most recent analyst rating on (ILPT) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Industrial Logistics Properties stock, see the ILPT Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.