Top Gum (TPGM) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers

Top Gum

(TASE:TPGM)

Select Model

Rating:43Neutral

Price Target:ILA 824.00▼(-10.43% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:10/30/26

Moderate financial performance with revenue expansion but profitability and cash flow challenges is the primary factor. Weak technical momentum and negative P/E further constrain the score.

Positive Factors

Revenue GrowthSustained revenue growth indicates that Top Gum continues expanding sales across its consumer and distribution channels. If maintained, this scale can support operating leverage, strengthen brand or private-label reach, and provide a foundation for restoring profitability over the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

Losses and Margin CompressionThe shift from prior profits to deeply negative net income is a material deterioration in earnings quality. Gross-margin compression also suggests that current revenue growth is not translating efficiently into profit, weakening reinvestment capacity and making a durable recovery dependent on cost or pricing improvement.

Top Gum (TPGM) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

Market Cap: ILS 1.15B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 85.84K
Price to Earnings (P/E): -18.5
Beta (1Y): 0.47
Revenue Growth: 58.86%
EPS Growth: -176.99%
Country: Israel
Employees: 379
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Food Confectioners

Top Gum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TopGum Industries Ltd. develops, manufactures, imports, sells, and markets dietary and nutritional supplement gummies. The company offers women’s health, beauty from within, active lifestyle, gut health, and immune support gummies. It also imports an...

Top Gum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth from $33M to $127M offset by net losses at -14% margin, negative FCF of -$9M, and rising debt to equity of 0.62.

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

40Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	126.67M	100.95M	59.27M	45.60M	43.91M	33.07M
Gross Profit	38.19M	32.36M	20.51M	15.10M	15.25M	9.89M
EBITDA	-8.34M	-8.04M	-2.61M	6.27M	6.23M	4.49M
Net Income	-17.94M	-15.94M	-6.49M	3.21M	3.63M	1.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	246.59M	206.00M	108.20M	104.84M	63.68M	59.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.08M	32.83M	10.14M	12.11M	4.33M	17.93M
Total Debt	83.47M	51.26M	31.20M	25.06M	7.99M	2.40M
Total Liabilities	111.73M	115.10M	45.62M	37.26M	17.41M	12.13M
Stockholders Equity	134.85M	90.90M	62.58M	67.59M	46.27M	47.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-9.06M	-9.37M	-6.70M	-25.43M	-12.18M	-6.48M
Operating Cash Flow	10.33M	10.28M	6.69M	1.44M	1.08M	1.09M
Investing Cash Flow	-37.53M	-32.37M	-12.99M	-28.22M	-13.40M	-7.51M
Financing Cash Flow	70.98M	41.91M	4.50M	33.20M	263.00K	22.12M

Top Gum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral

Last Price919.90

Price Trends

50DMA961.88Negative

100DMA1081.92Negative

200DMA1319.18Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-28.37Negative

RSI52.48Neutral

STOCH61.89Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:TPGM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 919.90 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 894.54, below the 50-day MA of 961.88, and below the 200-day MA of 1319.18, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -28.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 61.89 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IL:TPGM.

Top Gum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IL:TPGM against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IL:WLFD	72Outperform	ILS 718.90M	14.93	―	―	4.06%	-21.69%
IL:ALBA	67Neutral	ILS 537.61M	7.33	―	3.72%	-1.02%	42.98%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
IL:GSFI	53Neutral	ILS 266.80M	20.73	―	10.91%	-22.23%	-88.63%
IL:TPGM	43Neutral	ILS 1.14B	-18.51	―	―	58.86%	-176.99%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

IL:TPGM and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
IL:TPGM	Top Gum Industries Ltd.	919.90	-53.20	-5.47%
IL:MEDN	Mehadrin Ltd.	26440.00	-2880.00	-9.82%
IL:GSFI	Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd	1818.00	-1208.00	-39.92%
IL:ALBA	Albaad Massuot Yitzhak Ltd.	2985.00	353.00	13.41%
IL:WLFD	Willy Food Investments Ltd.	5498.00	997.00	22.15%
IL:CRML	Carmel Corp Ltd	1200.00	-813.00	-40.39%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026

Top Gum AI Stock Analysis