Top Gum (TPGM) AI Stock Analysis

2 Followers

Top Gum

(TASE:TPGM)

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Rating:37Underperform

Price Target:ILA 798.00▼(-2.55% Downside)

Action:reiterated

Date:10/30/26

The stock scores at the minimum due to unprofitability, negative free cash flow, and a persistent downtrend across all major moving averages with deeply oversold momentum. While revenue growth is strong, the lack of earnings and bearish technicals present significant risk, with no valuation or event-driven catalysts to offset these weaknesses.

Positive Factors

Revenue GrowthSustained top-line expansion indicates that Top Gum continues to grow demand for its chewing gum products across consumer markets. If maintained, this growth can provide operating scale, support reinvestment, and create a foundation for restoring profitability despite current margin pressure.

Negative Factors

Persistent LossesThe shift from prior-year profits to deeply negative net income is a material deterioration in earnings quality. Ongoing losses reduce retained capital, weaken the ability to self-fund expansion, and make future performance more dependent on a successful recovery in profitability.

Top Gum (TPGM) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

Market Cap: ILS 1.14B
Dividend Yield: ―
Average Volume (3M): 79.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E): -18.4
Beta (1Y): 0.46
Revenue Growth: 58.86%
EPS Growth: -176.99%
Country: Israel
Employees: 379
Sector: General
Sector Strength: 55
Industry: Food Confectioners

Top Gum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

TopGum Industries Ltd. develops, manufactures, imports, sells, and markets dietary and nutritional supplement gummies. The company offers women’s health, beauty from within, active lifestyle, gut health, and immune support gummies. It also imports an...

Top Gum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth of 70% in 2025 and 26% TTM is offset by deep operating and net losses, negative ROE, and negative free cash flow despite positive operating cash flow. The company is in an aggressive, unprofitable growth phase with rising debt, resulting in a low financial health score.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

40Negative

Cash Flow

35Negative

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2025	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	126.67M	100.95M	59.27M	45.60M	43.91M	33.07M
Gross Profit	38.19M	32.36M	20.51M	15.10M	15.25M	9.89M
EBITDA	-8.34M	-8.04M	-2.61M	6.27M	6.23M	4.49M
Net Income	-17.94M	-15.94M	-6.49M	3.21M	3.63M	1.58M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	246.59M	206.00M	108.20M	104.84M	63.68M	59.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	15.08M	32.83M	10.14M	12.11M	4.33M	17.93M
Total Debt	83.47M	51.26M	31.20M	25.06M	7.99M	2.40M
Total Liabilities	111.73M	115.10M	45.62M	37.26M	17.41M	12.13M
Stockholders Equity	134.85M	90.90M	62.58M	67.59M	46.27M	47.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-9.06M	-9.37M	-6.70M	-25.43M	-12.18M	-6.48M
Operating Cash Flow	10.33M	10.28M	6.69M	1.44M	1.08M	1.09M
Investing Cash Flow	-37.53M	-32.37M	-12.99M	-28.22M	-13.40M	-7.51M
Financing Cash Flow	70.98M	41.91M	4.50M	33.20M	263.00K	22.12M

Top Gum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative

Last Price818.90

Price Trends

50DMA981.78Negative

100DMA1116.90Negative

200DMA1335.94Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-37.50Positive

RSI31.06Neutral

STOCH18.25Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:TPGM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 818.90 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 920.43, below the 50-day MA of 981.78, and below the 200-day MA of 1335.94, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -37.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.25 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IL:TPGM.

Top Gum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IL:TPGM against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
IL:WLFD	78Outperform	ILS 697.14M	14.48	―	―	4.06%	-21.69%
IL:ALBA	67Neutral	ILS 535.56M	7.31	―	3.73%	-1.02%	42.98%
IL:GSFI	57Neutral	ILS 266.50M	20.75	―	10.81%	-22.23%	-88.63%
Sector *	55Neutral	$6.65B	3.83	-15.92%	6.20%	10.91%	7.18%
IL:TPGM	37Underperform	ILS 1.13B	-18.43	―	―	58.86%	-176.99%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

IL:TPGM and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
IL:TPGM	Top Gum Industries Ltd.	818.90	-151.50	-15.61%
IL:MEDN	Mehadrin Ltd.	26110.00	-1970.00	-7.02%
IL:GSFI	Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd	1685.00	-1380.00	-45.02%
IL:ALBA	Albaad Massuot Yitzhak Ltd.	2705.00	68.00	2.58%
IL:WLFD	Willy Food Investments Ltd.	5155.00	1135.00	28.23%
IL:CRML	Carmel Corp Ltd	1190.00	-858.00	-41.89%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 30, 2026

Top Gum AI Stock Analysis