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Castro (CAST) AI Stock Analysis

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IL:CAST

Castro

(TASE:CAST)

Select Model
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:ILA 12,688.00â–²(15.24% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/24/26

Overall score reflects constrained financial quality—especially high leverage and weakened profitability—partly offset by improving free cash flow. Technicals are supportive with price above major moving averages and positive MACD. Valuation is mixed: a high P/E is a headwind, while the very high dividend yield provides meaningful support.

Positive Factors
Stable Gross MarginA strong, stable gross margin indicates Castro continues to retain meaningful value from sales despite operating pressure. Maintaining this level provides a durable base for profitability and leaves scope for earnings recovery if cost control improves over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageHigh leverage limits financial flexibility and makes the business more sensitive to weaker trading conditions. Debt obligations can constrain investment and capital allocation, while a downturn could make it harder to protect liquidity or sustain shareholder returns through the next several quarters.

Castro (CAST) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%IL:CAST-43.13%EIS+11.18%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
ILS 1.03B
Dividend Yield
24.69%
Average Volume (3M)
1,611
Price to Earnings (P/E)
25.3
Beta (1Y)
0.70
Revenue Growth
3.53%
EPS Growth
-57.85%
Country
Israel
Employees
3,041
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Apparel - Retail

Castro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Castro Model Ltd., headquartered in Bat Yam, Israel, operates as a prominent retailer across Israel. The company’s numerous stores offer a wide spectrum of products, including fashion apparel, home goods, fashion accessories, and cosmetics. Its exten...

Castro Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement is mixed (Score 62): modest revenue growth and strong mid‑50% gross margin, but materially weaker net margin and declining EBIT/EBITDA margins. Balance sheet is a key drag (Score 45) due to elevated leverage (about ~2x debt-to-equity) and sharply lower ROE in TTM. Cash flow is comparatively supportive (Score 66) with solid operating/FCF and strong FCF growth, though cash conversion is not consistently strong (FCF/net income below 1.0).

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

45Neutral

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.16B2.12B2.08B1.76B1.67B1.60B
Gross Profit1.24B1.21B1.19B987.53M930.52M950.26M
EBITDA419.90M405.67M451.88M340.20M160.46M294.90M
Net Income41.81M55.09M135.40M42.52M-1.12M108.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.77B2.74B2.30B2.15B2.06B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments433.56M426.15M170.49M270.70M233.88M394.71M
Total Debt1.48B1.44B1.24B1.29B1.25B1.24B
Total Liabilities1.77B1.77B1.63B1.56B1.50B1.51B
Stockholders Equity745.83M732.75M669.53M595.48M554.15M638.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow262.59M200.10M184.93M187.02M95.94M37.42M
Operating Cash Flow361.71M301.87M256.40M246.32M116.67M82.32M
Investing Cash Flow-96.36M-100.90M-74.05M-61.56M51.02M-83.45M
Financing Cash Flow-331.73M54.68M-282.55M-147.95M-149.22M-111.45M

Castro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price11010.00

Price Trends

50DMA15233.20Negative
100DMA14922.20Negative
200DMA13726.78Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-694.93Positive
RSI21.18Positive
STOCH9.80Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:CAST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 11010.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14227.50, below the 50-day MA of 15233.20, and below the 200-day MA of 13726.78, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -694.93 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 21.18 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.80 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IL:CAST.

Castro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IL:CAST against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IL:DELGIL:DELG64NeutralILS 4.86B14.5310.63%2.12%-7.17%-3.00%
IL:CASTIL:CAST62NeutralILS 1.06B25.30―24.69%3.53%-57.85%
IL:MAXOIL:MAXO60NeutralILS 4.64B30.99―2.87%11.28%35.65%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IL:RTLSIL:RTLS43NeutralILS 714.21M20.38――2.54%-56.97%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%IL:CASTIL:DELGIL:MSBIIL:MAXOIL:RTLSIL:MRGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IL:CAST and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IL:CASTCastro Model Ltd.11010.00-8550.00-43.71%
IL:DELGDelta Galil Industries18440.00147.240.80%
IL:MSBIHamashbir 365 Ltd61.10-55.00-47.37%
IL:MAXOMax Stock Ltd.3255.00967.4042.29%
IL:RTLSRetailors Ltd1450.00-4457.00-75.45%
IL:MRGMULTI RETAIL GROUP LTD807.50-37.11-4.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 24, 2026