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Castro (CAST) AI Stock Analysis

IL:CAST

Castro

(TASE:CAST)

Select Model
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:ILA 13,662.00â–²(10.00% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:08/24/26

The overall score of 70 (out of 99) is primarily driven by robust technical momentum and exceptional free cash flow generation, which provides a critical buffer against high debt levels. The stock is currently enjoying strong bullish trends, trading above all major moving averages. However, a steep P/E ratio, elevated balance sheet leverage, and compressing net margins act as significant risk factors limiting the stock's maximum potential.

Positive Factors
Modest Revenue GrowthRevenue growth remains positive, showing that the business is still expanding its topline despite weaker profitability. While the pace is modest, continued sales growth provides a foundation for operating leverage, supports scale, and helps preserve market relevance over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageDebt at roughly twice equity leaves the company more sensitive to downturns and limits financial flexibility. Elevated leverage can constrain investment, increase pressure on cash flows, and make balance-sheet repair more important for sustaining the retail business through weaker trading conditions.

Castro (CAST) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%IL:CAST-36.50%EIS+13.15%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
ILS 1.06B
Dividend Yield
23.09%
Average Volume (3M)
1,589
Price to Earnings (P/E)
27.0
Beta (1Y)
0.70
Revenue Growth
3.53%
EPS Growth
-57.85%
Country
Israel
Employees
3,041
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Apparel - Retail

Castro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Castro Model Ltd., headquartered in Bat Yam, Israel, operates as a prominent retailer across Israel. The company’s numerous stores offer a wide spectrum of products, including fashion apparel, home goods, fashion accessories, and cosmetics. Its exten...

Castro Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is heavily polarized. While free cash flow generation is exceptionally strong and covers a significant portion of the company's debt, accounting profitability is pressured by shrinking net margins (1.3%) and a highly leveraged balance sheet with declining return on equity.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

48Neutral

Cash Flow

88Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.16B2.12B2.08B1.76B1.67B1.60B
Gross Profit1.24B1.21B1.19B987.53M930.52M950.26M
EBITDA419.90M405.67M451.88M340.20M160.46M294.90M
Net Income41.81M55.09M135.40M42.52M-1.12M108.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.77B2.74B2.30B2.15B2.06B2.15B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments433.56M426.15M170.49M270.70M233.88M394.71M
Total Debt1.48B1.44B1.24B1.29B1.25B1.24B
Total Liabilities1.77B1.77B1.63B1.56B1.50B1.51B
Stockholders Equity745.83M732.75M669.53M595.48M554.15M638.09M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow262.59M200.10M184.93M187.02M95.94M37.42M
Operating Cash Flow361.71M301.87M256.40M246.32M116.67M82.32M
Investing Cash Flow-96.36M-100.90M-74.05M-61.56M51.02M-83.45M
Financing Cash Flow-331.73M54.68M-282.55M-147.95M-149.22M-111.45M

Castro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price12420.00

Price Trends

50DMA15266.40Negative
100DMA14949.40Negative
200DMA13742.08Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-587.32Positive
RSI23.63Positive
STOCH13.78Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:CAST, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 12420.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14393.50, below the 50-day MA of 15266.40, and below the 200-day MA of 13742.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -587.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.63 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IL:CAST.

Castro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IL:CAST against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IL:CASTIL:CAST70OutperformILS 1.14B27.05―23.09%3.53%-57.85%
IL:DELGIL:DELG61NeutralILS 4.83B14.4810.63%2.13%-7.17%-3.00%
IL:MAXOIL:MAXO60NeutralILS 4.56B30.44―2.80%11.28%35.65%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IL:RTLSIL:RTLS43NeutralILS 708.86M20.22――2.54%-56.97%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%IL:CASTIL:DELGIL:MSBIIL:MAXOIL:RTLSIL:MRGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IL:CAST and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IL:CASTCastro Model Ltd.12420.00-7380.00-37.27%
IL:DELGDelta Galil Industries18520.00246.761.35%
IL:MSBIHamashbir 365 Ltd62.10-56.00-47.42%
IL:MAXOMax Stock Ltd.3316.001049.7446.32%
IL:RTLSRetailors Ltd1467.00-4353.00-74.79%
IL:MRGMULTI RETAIL GROUP LTD827.90-16.02-1.90%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 24, 2026