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ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (ARF) AI Stock Analysis

IL:ARF

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD

(TASE:ARF)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:ILA 14,781.00▲(5.88% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/06/26

The overall score is constrained by weak and volatile financial performance, particularly negative gross margins, and an unattractive valuation with a high P/E ratio and no dividend. The primary support for the score comes from strong cash flow generation and a positive technical trend, with the stock trading above key moving averages.

Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash FlowRecent operating and free cash flow provide meaningful internal funding and improve financial flexibility. If sustained, this cash generation can support investment, debt management, and resilience through refining-cycle volatility without relying as heavily on external capital.
Negative Factors
Negative Core ProfitabilityNegative gross profit and EBITDA indicate that current operations are not consistently covering core costs before financing and other items. This weakens earnings quality, reduces margin visibility, and makes future results more exposed to refining spreads, costs, and operating volatility.

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (ARF) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

-50%0%50%100%150%200%IL:ARF+160.45%EIS+13.15%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
ILS 1.74B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
42.33K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
18.3
Beta (1Y)
0.74
Revenue Growth
-0.62%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Israel
Employees
443
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Ashdod Refinery Ltd is an energy firm engaged in oil refining activities across Israel and global markets. The company's core operations involve processing, importing, and exporting crude oil and intermediary substances for petroleum distillates. Add...

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is mixed. Cash flow generation is a clear strength, enabling significant debt reduction. However, this is offset by highly volatile and recently negative profitability, with razor-thin net margins and negative gross margins in the TTM period, indicating poor earnings quality.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

65Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.42B3.28B3.27B13.64B14.74B2.62B
Gross Profit-147.86M67.11M156.40M221.67M421.94M15.52M
EBITDA132.39M115.82M73.10M265.17M365.88M49.16M
Net Income30.55M3.25M-34.54M118.50M50.66M-30.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.73B1.40B1.39B1.38B1.40B3.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments330.77M289.06M257.00M225.00M31.72M121.73M
Total Debt292.03M312.06M308.00M240.00M1.17B334.25M
Total Liabilities1.23B922.19M914.00M812.00M943.27M2.45B
Stockholders Equity497.64M477.10M476.00M565.00M459.36M1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow193.65M73.61M47.75M238.01M-847.40M161.94M
Operating Cash Flow254.29M101.75M73.15M270.70M-443.04M210.73M
Investing Cash Flow-41.14M-28.14M-25.00M-31.00M-115.00M-47.00M
Financing Cash Flow-57.09M-48.71M-41.00M-60.00M213.00M-143.00M

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price13960.00

Price Trends

50DMA13969.20Negative
100DMA12370.49Positive
200DMA9979.06Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-75.03Positive
RSI44.97Neutral
STOCH40.83Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:ARF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 13960.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14524.50, below the 50-day MA of 13969.20, and above the 200-day MA of 9979.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -75.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.97 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IL:ARF.

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

IL:ARF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
IL:ORLIL:ORL74OutperformILS 6.10B5.25-0.23%7.70%-3.84%―
IL:PAZIL:PAZ64NeutralILS 8.77B14.63―6.66%0.60%20.87%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
IL:ARFIL:ARF55NeutralILS 1.77B18.29――-0.62%―
IL:DORLIL:DORL41NeutralILS 12.00B-42.90――53.62%-34.45%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%IL:ARFIL:ORLIL:PAZIL:DRALIL:DORLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
IL:ARF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
IL:ARFASHDOD REFINERY LTD13960.008580.00159.48%
IL:ORLOil Refineries Ltd.193.50103.38114.70%
IL:PAZPaz Energy80930.0016133.2924.90%
IL:DRALDor Alon Energy in Israel (1988) Ltd.17720.003731.4926.68%
IL:DORLDORAL GROUP RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES LTD5372.002912.00118.37%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026