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ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (IL:ARF)
TASE:ARF
Israel Market
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ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (ARF) AI Stock Analysis

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IL:ARF

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD

(TASE:ARF)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
15,069.00
▲(28.58% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/06/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance—strong recent free cash flow and improved leverage offset by highly volatile profitability (negative gross profit and EBITDA in TTM). Technicals are neutral-to-slightly positive with price still above key longer-term averages, while valuation (P/E ~21) looks only fair given earnings variability.
Positive Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Recent operating and free cash flow provide meaningful internal funding and improve financial flexibility. If sustained, this cash generation can support investment, debt management, and resilience through refining-cycle volatility without relying as heavily on external capital.
Negative Factors
Negative Core Profitability
Negative gross profit and EBITDA indicate that current operations are not consistently covering core costs before financing and other items. This weakens earnings quality, reduces margin visibility, and makes future results more exposed to refining spreads, costs, and operating volatility.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Free Cash Flow
Recent operating and free cash flow provide meaningful internal funding and improve financial flexibility. If sustained, this cash generation can support investment, debt management, and resilience through refining-cycle volatility without relying as heavily on external capital.
Read all positive factors

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (ARF) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ashdod Refinery Ltd is an energy firm engaged in oil refining activities across Israel and global markets. The company's core operations involve processing, importing, and exporting crude oil and intermediary substances for petroleum distillates. ...

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew ~12.1% TTM and free cash flow is strong, but profitability is volatile with TTM showing negative gross profit and negative EBITDA margin despite positive net income. Leverage is manageable (debt-to-equity ~0.65–0.72), yet returns on equity have been inconsistent, highlighting margin/cycle risk.
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.42B3.28B3.27B13.64B14.74B2.62B
Gross Profit-147.86M67.11M156.40M221.67M421.94M15.52M
EBITDA132.39M115.82M73.10M265.17M365.88M49.16M
Net Income30.55M3.25M-34.54M118.50M50.66M-30.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.73B1.40B1.39B1.38B1.40B3.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments330.77M289.06M257.00M225.00M31.72M121.73M
Total Debt292.03M312.06M308.00M240.00M1.17B334.25M
Total Liabilities1.23B922.19M914.00M812.00M943.27M2.45B
Stockholders Equity497.64M477.10M476.00M565.00M459.36M1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow193.65M73.61M47.75M238.01M-847.40M161.94M
Operating Cash Flow254.29M101.75M73.15M270.70M-443.04M210.73M
Investing Cash Flow-41.14M-28.14M-25.00M-31.00M-115.00M-47.00M
Financing Cash Flow-57.09M-48.71M-41.00M-60.00M213.00M-143.00M

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price11720.00
Price Trends
50DMA
13662.80
Positive
100DMA
12138.28
Positive
200DMA
9729.72
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
212.58
Positive
RSI
46.64
Neutral
STOCH
54.04
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IL:ARF, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11720 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14868.00, below the 50-day MA of 13662.80, and above the 200-day MA of 9729.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 212.58 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.04 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for IL:ARF.

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
₪6.26B5.48-0.23%7.59%-3.84%―
64
Neutral
₪9.36B15.62―6.30%0.60%20.87%
59
Neutral
₪1.84B19.29―0.17%-0.62%―
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
41
Neutral
₪11.59B-41.45――53.62%-34.45%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IL:ARF
ASHDOD REFINERY LTD
14,280.00
8,851.00
163.03%
IL:ORL
Oil Refineries
196.20
112.52
134.46%
IL:PAZ
Paz Energy
85,500.00
20,469.33
31.48%
IL:NFTA
Naphtha
2,650.00
212.70
8.73%
IL:DRAL
Dor Alon
18,060.00
4,399.27
32.20%
IL:DORL
Doral Energy
5,264.00
3,195.00
154.42%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 06, 2026