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ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (IL:ARF)
TASE:ARF
Israel Market
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ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (ARF) AI Stock Analysis

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IL:ARF

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD

(TASE:ARF)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
11,255.00
▲(36.08% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/03/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp TTM revenue decline and a return to losses), partially offset by still-positive and meaningful operating/free cash flow and manageable leverage. Technicals are a clear positive with the stock trading above major moving averages and positive MACD momentum, while valuation is constrained by the negative P/E and lack of a stated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Despite accounting losses, the business still produces meaningful operating and free cash flow on a trailing-twelve-month basis. Sustained positive cash conversion supports capex, working capital needs and debt servicing capacity, providing a durable liquidity buffer through cycles.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Decline
A 40% TTM revenue contraction points to materially reduced demand or throughput and undermines scale economics. Sustained lower volumes reduce fixed-cost absorption and make long-term margin recovery harder, increasing business risk until volumes or realized margins recover.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Despite accounting losses, the business still produces meaningful operating and free cash flow on a trailing-twelve-month basis. Sustained positive cash conversion supports capex, working capital needs and debt servicing capacity, providing a durable liquidity buffer through cycles.
Read all positive factors

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD (ARF) vs. iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS)

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Ashdod Refinery Ltd is an energy firm engaged in oil refining activities across Israel and global markets. The company's core operations involve processing, importing, and exporting crude oil and intermediary substances for petroleum distillates. ...
How the Company Makes Money
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ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Results are mixed: TTM revenue fell sharply (-40.3%) and the company returned to a net loss with negative gross and EBITDA margins, pointing to significant profitability pressure. Offsetting this, cash generation remains solid (TTM operating cash flow ~201.3M; free cash flow ~135.6M) and leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.65–0.72), though cash flow is trending weaker and appears cyclical.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.05B3.28B3.27B13.64B14.74B2.62B
Gross Profit-157.73M67.11M156.40M221.67M421.94M15.52M
EBITDA-62.72M115.82M240.06M266.62M506.33M50.86M
Net Income-43.53M3.25M-34.54M118.50M50.66M-30.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.60B1.40B1.39B1.38B1.40B3.84B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments210.01M289.06M257.00M225.00M31.72M121.73M
Total Debt316.02M312.06M308.00M240.00M1.17B334.25M
Total Liabilities1.17B922.19M914.00M812.00M943.27M2.45B
Stockholders Equity436.17M477.10M476.00M565.00M459.36M1.39B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow135.64M73.61M47.75M238.01M-847.40M161.94M
Operating Cash Flow201.33M101.75M73.15M270.70M-443.04M210.73M
Investing Cash Flow-33.35M-28.14M-25.00M-31.00M-115.00M-47.00M
Financing Cash Flow-64.68M-48.71M-41.00M-60.00M213.00M-143.00M

ASHDOD REFINERY LTD Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
₪8.62B14.89-5.71%-4.00%
66
Neutral
₪5.51B25.45-0.23%9.37%-20.47%74.08%
59
Neutral
₪1.43B-10.87-14.97%-283.70%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
41
Neutral
₪14.62B-32.6153.63%-676.31%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IL:ARF
ASHDOD REFINERY LTD
11,660.00
5,624.00
93.17%
IL:ORL
Oil Refineries
185.50
95.40
105.87%
IL:PAZ
Paz Energy
81,090.00
19,267.87
31.17%
IL:NFTA
Naphtha
2,537.00
95.04
3.89%
IL:DRAL
Dor Alon
18,450.00
5,196.00
39.20%
IL:DORL
Doral Energy
6,761.00
5,156.00
321.25%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2026