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Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (9658) AI Stock Analysis

HK:9658

Super Hi International Holding Ltd.

(HKEX:9658)

Select Model
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:HKD 9.00â–²(13.35% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/15/26

The score is held back primarily by weak technical momentum (price below key moving averages with negative MACD) and a high P/E that implies elevated expectations. Financial performance is improving overall with strong revenue growth and solid cash generation, but recent margin compression is a notable concern. The latest earnings call supports a moderately constructive view due to improving operating metrics and expansion guidance, tempered by FX-driven net loss and uneven same-store/regional performance.

Positive Factors
Revenue and Operating Profit GrowthTop-line growth combined with sharply higher operating profit indicates improving scale and operating execution. If sustained, stronger restaurant productivity and cost control can support reinvestment, strengthen the overseas platform, and improve earnings capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Recent Margin and Earnings CompressionThe sharp decline in net margin shows that revenue growth is not yet translating consistently into bottom-line earnings. Lower gross margin may reflect higher costs or promotional intensity, and continued pressure would limit reinvestment capacity and weaken the benefits of the company’s expansion.

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (9658) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:9658-40.79%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 4.67B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
301.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
50.9
Beta (1Y)
0.72
Revenue Growth
10.84%
EPS Growth
-79.93%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
14,003
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

As an investment holding company, Super Hi International Holding Ltd. manages Haidilao-branded Chinese restaurants across a global network, including significant operations in Asia and North America. In addition to its restaurant operations, the comp...

How the Company Makes Money

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. makes money primarily by operating Haidilao hot pot restaurants overseas and earning revenue from food and beverage sales to customers. Its core revenue stream is dine-in restaurant revenue, which typically include...

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 25, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-27.82%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 29, 2023
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was broadly positive. Revenue, customer visits, table turnover, operating profit, operating margin, operating cash flow, delivery and other business revenue, store expansion, and new-store ramp-up all improved, while management outlined continued investment in digital capabilities, memberships, localized products, supply chains, and new brands. These strengths were partly offset by a net loss caused by a more than $20 million year-over-year foreign-exchange swing, a slight gross-margin decline, lower daily revenue and same-store sales, and weaker performance in North America and other regions.

Positive Updates

Revenue and Operating Profit Growth
Q2 total revenue was $219 million, up 10% year-over-year. Operating profit increased 118.9% year-over-year to $8.1 million from $3.7 million, while operating margin rose from 1.9% to 3.7%, an improvement of 1.8 percentage points.

Negative Updates

Net Loss Caused by Foreign-Exchange Swing
The company recorded a net loss after tax of $1.93 million in Q2, compared with a net profit of $16.39 million in the same period last year. The prior-year period had a net foreign-exchange gain of $16.33 million, while the current quarter had a $4.34 million loss, representing a negative swing of more than $20 million year-over-year.

Company Guidance

Management expects several new stores to open successfully in the second half of the year, with the full year new store opening target in the double digits; it expects double-digit new stores to open in North America, East Asia, and Southeast Asia, while about a dozen stores with substantial progress, including stores in North America and the U.K. already in construction phase, will open successively over the next 2 years. There is currently no definite entry plan for new countries. For new stores, management is looking at a standard payback period of 3 to 4 years, roughly, with Southeast Asia relatively faster and Europe and America relatively slower, while overall per store expenditure remains stable. Management has no plans for a uniform price adjustment, will continue Pomegranate Plan investment while controlling the pace and strictly managing budgets, and expects operating leverage as the second half enters the peak season.

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Revenue growth is a clear strength and the company’s financial profile is much improved versus 2021–2022 (better equity position and stronger cash generation). The key drag is the sharp profitability step-down in TTM, with net margin and returns on equity softening materially despite continued top-line expansion.

Income Statement

64Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

70Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue888.35M842.00M778.31M686.36M558.23M312.37M
Gross Profit243.74M190.21M233.72M225.61M183.53M43.39M
EBITDA135.63M137.24M135.61M120.09M53.22M-60.52M
Net Income10.28M36.48M21.80M25.65M-41.25M-150.75M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets750.98M745.78M684.42M576.88M576.11M626.72M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments269.91M274.75M254.72M152.91M93.89M126.12M
Total Debt234.35M228.77M212.63M202.94M242.30M745.57M
Total Liabilities351.33M354.19M322.76M304.76M334.07M813.90M
Stockholders Equity395.93M390.05M360.03M270.09M239.81M-187.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow89.28M61.36M84.95M81.07M7.85M-63.03M
Operating Cash Flow120.83M114.65M119.70M114.05M68.32M4.38M
Investing Cash Flow-182.34M-177.31M-27.62M-11.78M888.00K-87.46M
Financing Cash Flow-48.70M-51.03M12.58M-43.79M-65.87M108.50M

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price7.94

Price Trends

50DMA9.28Negative
100DMA9.81Negative
200DMA10.91Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.40Positive
RSI33.07Neutral
STOCH23.57Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:9658, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.94 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.46, below the 50-day MA of 9.28, and below the 200-day MA of 10.91, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:9658.

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Risk Analysis

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Super Hi International Holding Ltd. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:9658 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:6811HK:681172OutperformHKD 1.52B10.6915.54%7.13%8.46%56.14%
HK:6862HK:686268NeutralHKD 52.53B10.9340.40%8.07%10.63%-5.49%
HK:0052HK:005263NeutralHKD 642.58M15.506.33%6.04%-0.04%16.95%
HK:0341HK:034162NeutralHKD 3.35B20.376.13%6.73%-4.50%-29.22%
HK:0538HK:053862NeutralHKD 845.94M34.000.75%10.21%8.18%100.92%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HK:9658HK:965858NeutralHKD 4.67B50.862.63%―10.84%-79.93%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%HK:9658HK:0052HK:6862HK:0341HK:0538HK:6811Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:9658 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:9658Super Hi International Holding Ltd.7.94-5.62-41.45%
HK:0052Fairwood Holdings 4.960.163.23%
HK:6862Haidilao International Holding 9.43-2.67-22.08%
HK:0341Cafe de Coral Holdings Ltd.5.940.101.69%
HK:0538Ajisen (China) Holdings Limited0.78-0.08-9.04%
HK:6811Tai Hing Group Holdings Ltd.1.560.5351.35%

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. Corporate Events

Super Hi reshuffles finance and secretarial leadership as CFO departs for Haidilao

Sep 2, 2026

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. has announced the resignation of joint company secretary, authorised representative and chief financial officer Qu Cong, effective 2 September 2026, as she departs to take a central support role at Haidilao Interna...

Super Hi boosts Q2 revenue and margins as Haidilao overseas business gains efficiency

Aug 26, 2026

Super Hi reported unaudited second-quarter 2026 revenue of US$218.8 million, up 10% year on year, as it modestly expanded its Haidilao network from 127 to 129 restaurants and lifted overall average table turnover and same-store turnover to 3.9 and 4....

Super Hi boosts operating income and diversifies revenue as profits slip

Aug 26, 2026

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., the international operator of Haidilao hot pot restaurants, has expanded its network to 129 outlets across Southeast Asia, East Asia, North America and other regions. The group is also building ancillary businesse...

Super Hi International Sets August 26 Board Meeting for Interim Results and Possible Dividend

Aug 14, 2026

Super Hi International Holding Ltd. will convene its board of directors on August 26, 2026, to review and approve the group’s unaudited financial results for the second quarter and the first half of 2026. The board will also consider the potent...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 15, 2026