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Asia Grocery Distribution Limited (HK:8413)
:8413
Hong Kong Market
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Asia Grocery Distribution Limited (8413) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:8413

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited

(8413)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
HK$0.07
▼(-62.22% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:09/18/26
The score is driven primarily by a stable, low-debt balance sheet and solid recent cash generation, offset by fragile operating performance (thin margins, 2026 revenue decline, and gross-margin compression). Technicals add a neutral-to-weak backdrop due to longer-term downside versus the 200-day trend, while valuation looks only fair given a ~24.6 P/E without a dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and stable equity provide financial flexibility during operating volatility. The modest debt burden reduces financing pressure and leaves more capacity to support working capital, withstand weaker trading conditions, or fund selective business needs over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
2026 revenue decline
The reversal from several years of revenue growth to a 6.8% decline in 2026 signals weaker demand, customer activity, or market execution. A shrinking top line can reduce operating leverage and make it harder to absorb fixed costs, limiting the durability of future earnings growth.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage and stable equity provide financial flexibility during operating volatility. The modest debt burden reduces financing pressure and leaves more capacity to support working capital, withstand weaker trading conditions, or fund selective business needs over the next several quarters.
Read all positive factors

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited (8413) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Operating as an investment holding company, Asia Grocery Distribution Limited is a key player in the sourcing and distribution of food and beverage items throughout Hong Kong. Its comprehensive product portfolio includes staple commodities like ri...

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are mixed: the balance sheet is conservatively financed with low leverage and stable equity, and operating/free cash flow has been consistently positive in 2023–2026. However, revenue has turned down in 2026 and profitability remains very thin (low net margins), with 2026 showing a small operating loss and gross-margin compression versus 2025—making earnings durability fragile.
Income Statement
54
Neutral
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue281.99M302.54M292.48M286.24M241.37M
Gross Profit56.35M71.41M66.11M66.81M58.33M
EBITDA5.45M10.83M10.63M4.51M6.62M
Net Income1.81M1.06M1.86M-4.41M-2.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets131.63M125.13M132.30M135.60M123.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments70.04M60.87M47.03M34.98M29.80M
Total Debt9.67M4.76M13.62M19.79M8.47M
Total Liabilities29.89M25.20M33.43M38.60M21.75M
Stockholders Equity101.74M99.93M98.87M97.01M101.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow15.30M21.58M19.01M10.74M-4.79M
Operating Cash Flow16.32M23.94M19.51M14.05M-2.52M
Investing Cash Flow-948.00K-2.78M-419.00K-3.70M-1.78M
Financing Cash Flow-6.78M-7.36M-7.05M-5.17M-4.34M

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.18
Price Trends
50DMA
0.06
Positive
100DMA
0.06
Positive
200DMA
0.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Positive
RSI
49.27
Neutral
STOCH
20.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:8413, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.18 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, above the 50-day MA of 0.06, and above the 200-day MA of 0.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:8413.

Asia Grocery Distribution Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
HK$1.68B7.6740.50%17.26%1.19%-12.34%
67
Neutral
HK$308.94M8.495.61%10.13%1.35%38.28%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
HK$70.88M25.422.88%―-6.80%77.78%
58
Neutral
HK$589.39M15.111.54%6.67%4.12%―
45
Neutral
HK$331.54M7.977.70%6.89%7.32%-12.97%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:8413
Asia Grocery Distribution Limited
0.06
-0.04
-36.46%
HK:0831
Convenience Retail Asia Limited
0.40
0.10
33.45%
HK:3999
Dachan Food (Asia) Limited
0.58
-0.04
-6.45%
HK:2119
Tsit Wing International Holdings Limited
0.46
-0.06
-12.21%
HK:2360
Best Mart 360 Holdings Ltd.
1.68
-0.18
-9.58%
HK:2625
Jiangsu Horizon Chain Supermarket Company Limited Class H
0.82
-4.86
-85.63%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 18, 2026