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Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H (7688) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:7688

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H

(HKEX:7688)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:$20.50â–²(8.47% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/10/26

The score is held back primarily by weaker financial quality (very thin margins, higher leverage near ~1.85x debt-to-equity, and negative free cash flow) despite improving revenue growth and a positive operating cash-flow inflection. Technicals add support with clear upward momentum (price above 20/50-day averages, positive MACD, RSI ~62), but valuation is hindered by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors
Revenue Growth RecoveryThe sharp improvement in 2025 revenue growth indicates stronger demand for the company’s CNC and automation offerings after a period of limited expansion. If maintained, better top-line momentum can improve operating leverage, support investment, and strengthen its competitive position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Thin and Volatile ProfitabilityProfitability remains too thin to provide a substantial cushion against execution or demand setbacks. The history of large losses followed by only small profits indicates that earnings recovery is not yet durable, while limited operating margin leaves little room for cost increases or weaker utilization.

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H (7688) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%HK:7688-60.21%EWH+7.37%Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 7.90B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.99M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-27.1
Beta (1Y)
1.10
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
420
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Industrial - Machinery

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd., headquartered in Shanghai, China, specializes in the research, development, production, and distribution of intelligent manufacturing equipment. The company provides a comprehensive range of advanc...

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials show improvement but remain high risk. Revenue growth rebounded strongly in 2025 (15.0% vs. 0.6% in 2024) and gross margin stayed in the mid-30% range, but profitability is very thin (2025 net margin ~0.6%, operating margin ~1.7%) and results were volatile with large losses in 2022–2023. Balance-sheet risk increased as leverage rose (debt-to-equity ~1.85x in 2025), and cash flow remains the weakest area with free cash flow still negative in 2025 (~-13.7m) despite improved operating cash flow.

Income Statement

56Neutral

Balance Sheet

43Neutral

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue445.87M577.98M531.56M334.63M138.64M
Gross Profit127.03M204.36M199.88M115.81M-45.49M
EBITDA-191.77M41.23M47.53M-24.10M-162.09M
Net Income-222.07M3.57M8.88M-60.52M-195.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.64B1.01B984.09M1.12B1.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B221.20M143.89M174.23M377.50M
Total Debt385.87M346.41M251.72M130.96M119.07M
Total Liabilities862.04M833.37M815.03M988.36M1.05B
Stockholders Equity1.79B187.65M174.99M137.45M132.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow97.73M-13.67M-155.97M-280.15M-51.59M
Operating Cash Flow136.65M25.39M-53.94M-258.11M-47.30M
Investing Cash Flow-38.94M-38.56M-93.78M-14.52M84.88M
Financing Cash Flow45.12M88.56M132.39M75.02M113.03M

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

HK:7688 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:1286HK:128658NeutralHKD 11.23B13.7312.98%2.78%19.63%16.42%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
HK:7688HK:768850NeutralHKD 7.92B-27.10-22.50%―――
HK:9880HK:988045NeutralHKD 32.29B-44.04-8.41%―89.80%46.76%
HK:2432HK:243241NeutralHKD 7.47B-43.85-5.65%―66.66%-87.31%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%HK:7688HK:1286HK:9880HK:2432HK:3200HK:1021Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:7688 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:7688Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H18.90-28.60-60.21%
HK:1286Impro Precision Industries Limited5.760.8817.99%
HK:9880UBTECH ROBOTICS CORP LTD Class H63.45-73.85-53.79%
HK:2432Shenzhen Dobot Corp Ltd Class H16.99-34.16-66.78%
HK:3200Shenzhen Han's CNC Technology Co., Ltd. Class H51.45-58.02-53.00%
HK:1021Guangdong Huayan Robotics Co., Ltd. Class H6.16-12.24-66.55%

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. Class H Corporate Events

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Names New CFO as Finance Leadership Shifts

Sep 18, 2026

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. announced a leadership change in its finance function, with Chief Financial Officer Zhang Muqing resigning effective 18 September 2026 to pursue personal development, and confirming no disagreements...

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Gains Hang Seng Index, Stock Connect Inclusion

Sep 4, 2026

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd., a PRC-incorporated numerical control technology group listed in Hong Kong, provides manufacturing-related products and services via its H shares under stock code 7688. The company serves both mainl...

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Swings to Interim Loss on Steep Revenue Decline

Aug 28, 2026

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd., a PRC-incorporated industrial technology group listed in Hong Kong, focuses on numerical control technologies and associated products for manufacturing clients. The Group operates through multiple...

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Schedules Board Meeting on Interim Results and Dividend

Aug 18, 2026

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve its interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The meeting will also consider the payment of an interim dividend, i...

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Plans HK$300 Million H-Share Buyback

Jul 30, 2026

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. has received shareholder approval to repurchase up to 38,127,240 H shares, equivalent to 10% of its H-share capital, and now plans an on-market buyback of up to HK$300 million. The proposed repurcha...

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Wins Mandate for H-Share Buybacks at Hybrid EGM

Jul 29, 2026

Shanghai Top Numerical Control Technology Co., Ltd. held an extraordinary general meeting on 29 July 2026 as a hybrid event in Shanghai and online, with shareholders or proxies representing about 86.67% of the company’s 419,081,290 issued share...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 10, 2026