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KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. (3816) AI Stock Analysis

HK:3816

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd.

(HKEX:3816)

Select Model
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:HKD 4.50â–²(17.96% Upside)
Action:downgraded
Date:10/09/26

The stock’s score reflects improving fundamentals driven by strong revenue growth, better margins, and reduced leverage, tempered by weak and volatile cash flows that increase execution and funding risk. Technicals show an extended uptrend but clearly overbought conditions, raising the likelihood of a short-term correction. A relatively high P/E with limited dividend yield implies a rich valuation that relies on continued earnings momentum and successful cash conversion to be sustained.

Positive Factors
Revenue and margin expansionThe strong FY2026 rebound in revenue, together with wider gross and net margins, indicates improved operating performance and stronger earnings capacity. If sustained, this combination can support reinvestment, reinforce the company’s market position, and improve profitability over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Inconsistent cash generationUneven operating cash flow weakens confidence that reported profits consistently convert into internally generated funds. This variability can make working-capital management and capital allocation less predictable, potentially limiting the company’s ability to fund expansion or provide dependable cash returns.

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. (3816) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-250%0%250%500%750%1000%1250%HK:3816+802.93%EWH+8.05%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 2.40B
Dividend Yield
0.33%
Average Volume (3M)
2.07M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
29.4
Beta (1Y)
0.09
Revenue Growth
37.42%
EPS Growth
124.96%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
1,667
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

KFM Kingdom Holdings Limited operates as an investment holding company primarily engaged in the global production and sale of precision metal components, specifically metal stampings and lathing products. Its extensive market reach spans the People's...

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth, margin expansion, and improving ROE are offset by weak, volatile cash generation and recent negative free cash flow, giving an overall solid but still developing financial profile.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

46Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue840.31M1.04B757.55M589.90M605.10M612.19M
Gross Profit154.35M222.03M137.28M107.26M103.28M99.92M
EBITDA85.08M140.02M74.78M67.74M61.91M49.73M
Net Income44.42M81.63M36.33M23.24M22.67M-48.19M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets902.36M1.03B842.35M778.28M728.73M776.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments212.48M118.97M152.50M159.47M293.54M304.20M
Total Debt73.78M103.72M86.60M58.04M114.64M143.69M
Total Liabilities246.75M346.31M218.70M175.48M215.61M271.83M
Stockholders Equity585.75M615.13M554.38M530.55M513.12M504.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow29.05M-10.34M-33.17M2.83M5.98M-95.76M
Operating Cash Flow65.19M35.79M-24.44M28.73M10.10M-53.41M
Investing Cash Flow-18.58M2.96M11.60M-12.78M27.16M-56.84M
Financing Cash Flow-29.54M-30.30M10.62M5.42M-20.49M-52.73M

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price3.81

Price Trends

50DMA4.10Negative
100DMA3.08Positive
200DMA2.52Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.02Positive
RSI43.01Neutral
STOCH14.38Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3816, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 3.81 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.56, below the 50-day MA of 4.10, and above the 200-day MA of 2.52, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.38 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:3816.

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

HK:3816 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:6680HK:668070OutperformHKD 34.80B33.6112.33%3.85%46.41%62.90%
HK:3816HK:381666NeutralHKD 2.40B29.3913.60%0.33%37.42%124.96%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
HK:0838HK:083862NeutralHKD 1.12B4.497.26%6.68%-4.88%-0.62%
HK:0255HK:025557NeutralHKD 881.27M-29.89-1.92%14.39%-17.65%-538.68%
HK:0929HK:092948NeutralHKD 499.82M43.180.61%5.89%23.21%11.11%
HK:2535HK:253545NeutralHKD 1.16B-182.40-2.37%―-31.18%-121.38%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%500%1000%HK:3816HK:0838HK:0255HK:0929HK:6680HK:2535Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:3816 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:3816KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd.4.003.56802.93%
HK:0838Eva Precision Industrial Holdings Limited0.65-0.46-41.68%
HK:0255Lung Kee (Bermuda) Holdings Limited1.39-0.21-12.91%
HK:0929IPE Group Limited0.47-0.29-37.58%
HK:6680JL MAG Rare-Earth Co., Ltd. Class H14.08-5.42-27.80%
HK:2535WK Group (Holdings) Limited0.58-0.18-23.68%

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. Corporate Events

KFM Kingdom Sets Date for Interim Results Review

Nov 2, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings said its board will meet on 24 November 2026 to review and approve, among other matters, interim results for the six months ended 30 September 2026 and consider whether to recommend an interim dividend. The announcement sets the...

KFM Kingdom Sets EGM to Approve Luxshare-Linked Financing Deal

Oct 30, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings Limited, a Cayman Islands-incorporated, Hong Kong-listed precision manufacturing company, supplies specialized components and services to industrial and electronics customers. Its market focus is on regional supply chains in Hong...

KFM Kingdom Delays Circular on Luxshare Convertible Bond Deal

Oct 23, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. has announced a delay in sending a shareholder circular related to its proposed subscription of convertible bonds, including a connected transaction with Luxshare Precision Limited. The circular, which will detail the subscr...

Luxshare’s Mandatory Offer for KFM Delayed Pending Vietnam Merger Clearance

Oct 21, 2026

Luxshare Hong Kong and KFM Kingdom Holdings have announced a delay in sending shareholders the composite offer document for Luxshare’s proposed unconditional mandatory cash offer for KFM shares. The offer documentation, which combines the offer...

KFM Kingdom Holdings Appoints Independent Adviser for Potential Luxshare Deal

Oct 7, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd., a Cayman Islands-incorporated company listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under stock code 3816, operates in the manufacturing space and follows standard Hong Kong-listed corporate governance practices. Its board include...

Luxshare Moves Toward Control of KFM Kingdom via HK$360 Million Convertible Bond Deal

Sep 30, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd., incorporated in the Cayman Islands and listed in Hong Kong, operates in the precision manufacturing and engineering sector, supplying components and related services to industrial customers. The company targets regional and...

KFM Kingdom Halts Trading Ahead of Takeover and Buy-Back Announcement

Sep 14, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. has requested a trading halt in its shares on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong, effective from 9:00 a.m. on 14 September 2026. The suspension comes as the company prepares to release an announcement related to Hong Kong&#8217...

KFM Kingdom Issues Update on Share Price Surge as Major Shareholder Explores Deals

Sep 4, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. has reported unusual movements in its share price and trading volume on 4 September 2026, prompting a voluntary update to the market. After internal enquiries, the board stated it is unaware of any specific reason for the sp...

KFM Kingdom Holdings Wins Unanimous Shareholder Backing at 2026 AGM

Aug 21, 2026

Shareholders of KFM Kingdom Holdings Ltd. approved all ordinary resolutions at the annual general meeting held on 21 August 2026, with 452,155,012 votes cast entirely in favour and none against. The AGM endorsed the audited financial statements for t...

KFM Kingdom Clarifies Caps and Controls for Connected Manufacturing Deal

Aug 3, 2026

KFM Kingdom Holdings has detailed how it set the annual caps for continuing connected transactions under its contract manufacturing agreement with HHY, relying on past transaction values, current market prices and expected demand. The company factore...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2026