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Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co (3618) AI Stock Analysis

HK:3618

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co

(HKEX:3618)

Select Model
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:HKD 7.50â–²(10.70% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/31/26

The score is driven by attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) and supportive technical trend (price above major moving averages with positive MACD). Financial performance is fundamentally healthy with strong cash conversion, but the overall score is tempered by volatility in revenue/margins and elevated recent leverage that adds balance-sheet risk.

Positive Factors
Strong Cash GenerationConsistently positive free cash flow and strong conversion of earnings into cash indicate that reported profitability is supported by real cash generation. This provides the bank with greater capacity to absorb operating pressures, maintain capital allocation, and support ongoing business activity.
Negative Factors
Elevated LeverageHigh and changing leverage increases the balance sheet’s sensitivity to funding costs, asset-quality pressure, and credit-cycle stress. It may reduce financial flexibility during adverse conditions and makes consistent leverage management important for preserving resilience over the next several quarters.

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co (3618) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%HK:3618+9.89%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 76.94B
Dividend Yield
5.32%
Average Volume (3M)
9.21M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.3
Beta (1Y)
0.36
Revenue Growth
3.92%
EPS Growth
15.22%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
14,266
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., along with its subsidiaries, delivers a comprehensive array of banking and financial offerings throughout the People's Republic of China. Its operations are structured into three main divisions: Corporate Ba...

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Fundamentals are solid, led by strong cash generation (positive free cash flow across periods and sharp TTM growth) and healthy profitability. Offsetting factors are meaningful volatility in revenue and margins, plus elevated recent leverage (debt-to-equity ~3.4–3.6x) that increases sensitivity to stress conditions.

Income Statement

74Positive

Balance Sheet

58Neutral

Cash Flow

81Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.83B27.88B52.28B22.02B54.73B56.53B
Gross Profit25.08B22.58B27.68B22.02B28.88B31.01B
EBITDA15.26B14.59B13.69B13.05B12.38B12.05B
Net Income12.89B12.13B11.51B10.90B10.28B9.56B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.77T1.67T1.52T1.44T1.35T1.27T
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments58.68B136.27B18.91B240.07B147.56B169.44B
Total Debt523.69B464.92B12.33B120.72B171.73B225.43B
Total Liabilities1.63T1.53T1.38T1.32T1.24T1.16T
Stockholders Equity143.91B137.19B132.13B122.17B113.72B104.95B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow27.54B16.97B11.15B38.42B70.29B40.35B
Operating Cash Flow31.55B18.66B11.64B39.46B70.90B41.23B
Investing Cash Flow-106.99B2.32B-53.10B30.84B-15.31B-72.05B
Financing Cash Flow-25.45B9.62B38.21B-58.62B-59.93B47.37B

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price6.78

Price Trends

50DMA6.41Positive
100DMA6.35Positive
200DMA6.32Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.05Negative
RSI66.88Neutral
STOCH64.87Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:3618, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.43, above the 50-day MA of 6.41, and above the 200-day MA of 6.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:3618.

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

HK:3618 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:3618HK:361877OutperformHKD 92.81B6.329.41%5.32%3.92%15.22%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-10%0%10%HK:3618Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:3618 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:3618Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Class H6.780.6710.90%

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co Corporate Events

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Delivers Double-Digit Profit Growth in Q3 2026

Oct 29, 2026

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank reported unaudited consolidated third-quarter 2026 results under IFRS, showing solid growth in profitability and income. The board and senior management explicitly assume legal responsibility for the truthfulness and c...

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Elevates Wu Tao to Executive Director and President

Oct 29, 2026

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank has nominated deputy party committee secretary Wu Tao as an executive director, subject to shareholder approval and regulatory vetting. His board term will align with the current board session, and he will be compensat...

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Sets Board Meeting to Approve Q3 2026 Results

Oct 16, 2026

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd. has scheduled a board meeting for 29 October 2026 to review and approve the unaudited quarterly results for the nine months ended 30 September 2026, along with their planned publication. The announcement unde...

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Publishes 2026 Interim Results and Clarifies Regulatory Status

Aug 30, 2026

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank has released its unaudited interim consolidated results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, prepared under Hong Kong listing rules and International Financial Reporting Standards and reviewed by its board and audit...

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Sets Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 18, 2026

Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank Co., Ltd., a PRC-incorporated joint stock commercial bank with a mainland banking licence, primarily offers banking and financial services within China and operates outside the supervisory framework of the Hong Kong Mo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2026