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Viva Biotech Holdings (1873) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:1873

Viva Biotech Holdings

(HKEX:1873)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:HKD 1.50â–²(20.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/08/26

The score is primarily driven by improved profitability and a healthier leverage profile, partially offset by declining revenue and weakening 2025 cash-flow momentum. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and positive MACD, while valuation is only moderate with a mid-range P/E and no dividend data.

Positive Factors
Return to ProfitabilityThe return to solid net profits in 2024 and 2025 indicates that Viva Biotech’s operating model can generate earnings after the prior loss years. If maintained, profitability should support internal investment, strengthen financial resilience, and improve the company’s ability to fund growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Declining RevenueA multi-year revenue decline, including the 8.3% reduction in 2025, signals that demand growth has not yet become durable. Continued top-line contraction could limit operating leverage, constrain reinvestment capacity, and make recent profitability harder to sustain or expand over time.

Viva Biotech Holdings (1873) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-60%-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:1873-45.89%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 2.58B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
5.75M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.9
Beta (1Y)
1.93
Revenue Growth
7.38%
EPS Growth
7.90%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
2,213
Sector
Healthcare
Sector Strength
51
Industry
Biotechnology

Viva Biotech Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Viva Biotech Holdings, founded in 2008 and based in Shanghai, China, operates as an investment holding company primarily dedicated to providing comprehensive, structure-based drug discovery services to biotechnology and pharmaceutical clients worldwi...

How the Company Makes Money

Viva Biotech primarily makes money by providing fee-for-service research and development work to external customers and recognizing revenue under service contracts. Key revenue streams include: (1) Contract research services: clients pay for outsourc...

Viva Biotech Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement shows a meaningful return to profitability (2024–2025) with stable mid-30% gross margin and low-teens operating margin, and the balance sheet has improved leverage (debt-to-equity down to ~one-third). However, multi-year revenue decline (including -8.3% in 2025) and a sharp 2025 free-cash-flow drop (~59% YoY) reduce confidence in durability of the turnaround.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

70Positive

Cash Flow

48Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.89B1.73B1.99B2.16B2.38B2.10B
Gross Profit653.15M655.56M687.40M738.43M815.68M650.98M
EBITDA392.81M404.30M443.53M403.90M451.35M390.06M
Net Income176.93M219.76M167.29M-116.11M-528.48M287.55M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets6.89B7.20B7.05B7.45B7.92B8.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06B1.13B941.58M1.04B678.57M800.95M
Total Debt897.96M1.33B1.28B1.90B2.82B2.65B
Total Liabilities2.92B3.19B3.23B3.76B4.32B4.13B
Stockholders Equity3.96B4.00B3.80B3.69B3.60B3.91B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow284.60M88.02M182.32M195.57M136.72M-487.35M
Operating Cash Flow427.35M206.04M373.99M383.40M386.05M77.83M
Investing Cash Flow46.96M-93.76M185.90M439.17M-372.80M-868.84M
Financing Cash Flow-356.38M36.61M-657.76M-429.50M-143.20M-653.16M

Viva Biotech Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price1.25

Price Trends

50DMA1.42Negative
100DMA1.35Negative
200DMA1.64Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.05Positive
RSI40.47Neutral
STOCH30.00Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1873, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.41, below the 50-day MA of 1.42, and below the 200-day MA of 1.64, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1873.

Viva Biotech Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)

Financial Indicators

HK:1873 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:2269HK:226981OutperformHKD 183.11B31.1910.51%―21.93%21.94%
HK:1548HK:154871OutperformHKD 79.58B-14.95-16.23%―53.48%-120.02%
HK:2315HK:231569NeutralHKD 17.02B38.2315.94%―48.04%166.72%
HK:1873HK:187364NeutralHKD 2.60B12.924.45%―7.38%7.90%
HK:6821HK:682154NeutralHKD 54.78B40.796.66%1.44%23.95%18.73%
HK:3759HK:375953NeutralHKD 80.45B41.7910.93%0.85%24.21%19.72%
Sector *51Neutral$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%

* Healthcare Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%150%HK:1873HK:1548HK:2269HK:3759HK:2315HK:6821Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1873 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1873Viva Biotech Holdings1.25-1.14-47.70%
HK:1548Genscript Biotech Corporation35.0217.98105.52%
HK:2269Wuxi Biologics (Cayman) 44.488.8624.87%
HK:3759Pharmaron Beijing Co., Ltd. Class H26.981.656.50%
HK:2315Biocytogen Pharmaceuticals (Beijing) Co. Ltd. Class H38.309.0630.98%
HK:6821Asymchem Laboratories (Tianjin) Co., Ltd. Class H103.9019.4222.99%

Viva Biotech Holdings Corporate Events

Viva Biotech grows revenue but faces profit margin squeeze in first half of 2026

Aug 26, 2026

Viva Biotech Holdings reported interim unaudited results for the six months ended June 30, 2026, showing revenue of RMB1,006.5 million, up from RMB831.9 million a year earlier, while gross profit was broadly flat at RMB341.7 million and gross margin...

Viva Biotech Sets Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Mull Dividend

Aug 14, 2026

Viva Biotech Holdings has scheduled a board meeting for August 26, 2026 to review and approve the interim financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2026. The board will also consider the possible declaration of an interim dividend, signalin...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 08, 2026