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Jia Yao Holdings Limited (1626) AI Stock Analysis

HK:1626

Jia Yao Holdings Limited

(HKEX:1626)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:HKD 28.00â–²(7.69% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/17/26

The score is primarily constrained by weak financial performance, especially the collapse in profitability and negative free cash flow, and by extremely stretched valuation. Positive technical momentum provides partial support, but elevated momentum indicators and the very high P/E limit the overall score.

Positive Factors
Strong latest revenue growthThe reported 161.1% revenue growth indicates materially expanded sales in the latest annual period. If the enlarged order base persists, greater production scale and customer penetration could support future operating leverage, although profitability conversion remains a key constraint.
Negative Factors
Severe profitability collapseThe sharp decline in net margin and near-breakeven EBIT margin shows that strong revenue growth is not translating into durable earnings. Unless the higher operating costs or other headwinds are reversed, the company’s expanded sales base may generate little incremental shareholder value.

Jia Yao Holdings Limited (1626) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-200%0%200%400%600%800%1000%HK:1626+848.91%EWH+8.19%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
HKD 16.26B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
703.38K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
559.7
Beta (1Y)
0.19
Revenue Growth
161.08%
EPS Growth
―
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
778
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Operating as an investment holding company, Jia Yao Holdings Limited specializes in the design, production, printing, and distribution of paper packaging for both tobacco and various consumer goods across the People's Republic of China. Its business...

How the Company Makes Money

The company makes money mainly by manufacturing and selling printed paper packaging products. Its revenue is primarily generated from customer orders where it charges for (i) packaging product supply (the finished printed packaging delivered to custo...

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial performance is weak overall: the average of the provided income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow scores is approximately 42.7. Revenue growth and manageable leverage are offset by a sharp profitability decline, weak returns, and deeply negative free cash flow.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue725.21M644.94M770.48M1.46B968.36M688.94M
Gross Profit190.23M153.23M208.75M387.46M137.86M65.02M
EBITDA74.35M35.97M54.31M197.34M34.55M-10.33M
Net Income24.58M1.83M50.61M99.28M5.50M-26.22M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets662.21M713.90M866.44M1.47B1.07B755.98M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments82.25M136.88M262.91M384.54M298.70M75.60M
Total Debt103.73M137.67M133.20M92.78M76.00M103.52M
Total Liabilities313.28M384.35M374.14M925.22M690.38M549.64M
Stockholders Equity288.57M282.47M450.43M402.96M327.77M160.41M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.01M-8.11M-48.35M23.80M65.59M3.52M
Operating Cash Flow9.80M8.47M-22.19M68.50M80.54M34.22M
Investing Cash Flow-31.22M46.68M-51.63M-35.13M-7.82M-27.17M
Financing Cash Flow-14.64M-220.03M37.80M12.67M127.14M-11.72M

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price26.00

Price Trends

50DMA23.65Positive
100DMA22.02Positive
200DMA14.18Positive

Market Momentum

MACD0.99Positive
RSI52.01Neutral
STOCH51.81Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1626, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.76, above the 50-day MA of 23.65, and above the 200-day MA of 14.18, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:1626.

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:1626 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HK:6898HK:689855NeutralHKD 692.21M28.5712.61%0.56%19.35%53.85%
HK:1626HK:162650NeutralHKD 16.26B559.718.61%―161.08%―
HK:1820HK:182045NeutralHKD 841.77M-20.91-7.47%2.86%3.70%-24.49%
HK:8291HK:829145NeutralHKD 46.08M8.79-1.85%―50.21%-74.97%
HK:0716HK:071641NeutralHKD 869.51M11.351.77%9.59%-28.18%-67.44%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%250%500%750%HK:1626HK:0468HK:0716HK:1820HK:6898HK:8291Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HK:1626 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1626Jia Yao Holdings Limited26.0023.25845.45%
HK:0468Greatview Aseptic Packaging Company 2.500.000.00%
HK:0716Singamas Container Holdings 0.35-0.24-40.83%
HK:1820Pacific Millennium Packaging Group Corp.2.800.6530.11%
HK:6898China Aluminum Cans Holdings Ltd.0.720.011.40%
HK:8291Wan Cheng Metal Packaging Company Limited0.21-0.01-2.71%

Jia Yao Holdings Limited Corporate Events

Jia Yao Holdings Drops 80% Stake Acquisition Over Tax Uncertainty

Sep 4, 2026

Jia Yao Holdings Limited has terminated its previously announced plan to acquire 80% of the issued shares of a target company, a deal that would have been settled partly through the issue of consideration shares under its general mandate. Following a...

Jia Yao Swings Back to Profit on Higher Revenue and Margin Gains

Aug 28, 2026

Jia Yao Holdings Limited reported a strong recovery for the six months ended 30 June 2026, with revenue rising 30.7% year-on-year to RMB340.4 million and gross profit jumping 63.8% to RMB94.7 million. The gross profit margin improved from 22.2% to 27...

Jia Yao Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results and Consider Dividend

Aug 18, 2026

Jia Yao Holdings Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 August 2026 to review and approve the interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, and to authorize the publication of those figures. The board will also consider the declaration...

Jia Yao Holdings to Acquire Majority Stake in AI Gaming and Enterprise Tech Firm

Aug 12, 2026

Jia Yao Holdings Limited has agreed to acquire 80% of the issued shares of an AI-focused target company for up to HK$430.5 million, to be paid by issuing a maximum of 20.5 million new shares under its general mandate. Upon completion, the target will...

Jia Yao Signals Return to Profit on E-Vapor Chip Growth and E-Cigarette Recovery

Jul 23, 2026

Jia Yao Holdings Limited expects to swing to a net profit after tax of between RMB11 million and RMB15 million for the six months ended 30 June 2026, reversing a net loss of about RMB22.2 million a year earlier. The turnaround is driven by strong gro...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 17, 2026