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Wynn Macau (1128) AI Stock Analysis

HK:1128

Wynn Macau

(HKEX:1128)

Select Model
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:HKD 4.50â–²(0.22% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/04/26

The score is held back primarily by balance-sheet risk (negative equity and very high debt) and the steep 2025 revenue decline, despite strong recent profitability and positive free cash flow. Technicals are modestly supportive with positive momentum, and valuation is helped by the high dividend yield and a moderate P/E.

Positive Factors
Strong Operating ProfitabilityThe return to strong operating profitability gives Wynn Macau meaningful earnings capacity across its integrated resorts. A high EBITDA margin can support reinvestment in hotels, gaming, dining, and entertainment while helping the company service obligations through the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
High Leverage and Negative EquityVery high debt combined with negative equity leaves Wynn Macau with limited financial flexibility if operating conditions weaken. The capital structure can increase refinancing and fixed-payment pressure, constrain investment choices, and make downturns more damaging to long-term business resilience.

Wynn Macau (1128) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:1128-27.09%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 3.01B
Dividend Yield
9.92%
Average Volume (3M)
4.61M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.9
Beta (1Y)
0.60
Revenue Growth
9.38%
EPS Growth
60.07%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
11,600
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos

Wynn Macau Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Wynn Macau, Limited, a company incorporated in 2009 and based in Macau, operates as a division of WM Cayman Holdings Limited I. This entity, along with its subsidiaries, is responsible for the development, ownership, and management of two major integ...

How the Company Makes Money

Wynn Macau makes money primarily by operating casino gaming and related resort services at its Macau integrated resorts. The largest revenue contributor is casino gaming, which typically includes (i) table games in the mass-market segment where the c...

Wynn Macau Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operating performance and cash generation are solid in 2023–2025 (2025 EBIT margin ~28%, EBITDA margin ~44%, and free cash flow ~HK$5.4B). However, financial risk is elevated due to persistently negative equity (about -HK$13.5B in 2025) alongside very high total debt (~HK$45–53B). The sharp 2025 revenue decline (~41% YoY) adds volatility to an already leveraged capital structure.

Income Statement

62Positive

Balance Sheet

24Negative

Cash Flow

66Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.96B28.99B28.74B24.27B5.64B11.73B
Gross Profit12.04B11.34B11.87B9.67B-676.72M2.37B
EBITDA7.60B7.08B7.86B6.26B-2.31B77.93M
Net Income2.95B1.63B3.20B1.17B-7.34B-5.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets39.49B40.56B39.23B44.83B36.08B41.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.55B11.82B11.33B15.75B7.42B11.66B
Total Debt45.31B45.18B44.98B52.83B48.40B46.75B
Total Liabilities52.55B54.06B52.52B60.64B53.23B51.92B
Stockholders Equity-13.06B-13.50B-13.29B-15.81B-17.15B-10.02B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.06B5.43B6.38B6.10B-2.47B-1.69B
Operating Cash Flow5.08B7.37B7.69B6.81B-2.12B-1.21B
Investing Cash Flow-6.59B-6.84B4.83B-5.41B-1.29B-453.91M
Financing Cash Flow-2.57B-4.72B-11.42B1.49B-860.42M-5.57B

Wynn Macau Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price4.49

Price Trends

50DMA5.19Negative
100DMA5.21Negative
200DMA5.26Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.19Positive
RSI25.82Positive
STOCH5.22Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1128, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.88, below the 50-day MA of 5.19, and below the 200-day MA of 5.26, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 25.82 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 5.22 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1128.

Wynn Macau Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

HK:1128 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0027HK:002780OutperformHKD 140.33B13.0912.77%5.30%8.39%11.34%
HK:1928HK:192869NeutralHKD 86.44B12.5865.49%9.36%8.73%-3.66%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
HK:1128HK:112860NeutralHKD 23.80B7.88-22.18%9.92%9.38%60.07%
HK:2282HK:228259NeutralHKD 34.66B7.60129.87%6.61%11.01%6.83%
HK:0200HK:020052NeutralHKD 5.09B4.8752.47%―6.61%―
HK:0880HK:088044NeutralHKD 8.06B-14.88-4.07%―-16.41%-3217.39%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-60%-40%-20%0%HK:1128HK:0880HK:0200HK:2282HK:0027HK:1928Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1128 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1128Wynn Macau 4.49-1.65-26.87%
HK:0880SJM Holdings1.14-1.74-60.45%
HK:0200Melco International Development Limited2.24-2.54-53.13%
HK:2282Mgm China Holdings(OTC)9.12-5.27-36.62%
HK:0027Galaxy Entertainment Group 32.06-4.44-12.15%
HK:1928Sands China 10.68-7.88-42.46%

Wynn Macau Corporate Events

Wynn Macau Commits MOP1.37 Billion to Macau Diversification Fund

Oct 23, 2026

Wynn Macau has committed up to MOP1.37 billion to a new fund established in Macau, in a transaction classified as discloseable under Hong Kong listing rules. The investment will count toward the company’s obligations under its gaming concession...

Wynn Macau Grants New Employee Share Awards to Strengthen Long-Term Incentives

Oct 5, 2026

Wynn Macau has granted share awards to 315 employees under its Employee Ownership Scheme, covering a total of 317,938 ordinary shares, or about 0.01% of its issued share capital, at no purchase price. The awards, largely vesting between 2029 and 2030...

Wynn Macau Cuts Convertible Bond Conversion Price After Interim Dividend

Sep 15, 2026

Wynn Macau has adjusted the conversion price of its US$600 million 4.50% convertible bonds due 2029 following the declaration of an interim cash dividend of HK$0.223 per share. Under the bond terms, capital distributions trigger a formula‑based...

Wynn Macau Grants 36 Million Share Awards Under Employee Ownership Scheme

Sep 3, 2026

Wynn Macau has granted share awards under its Employee Ownership Scheme, issuing rights over 35,975,508 ordinary shares, or about 0.68% of its existing share capital, to more than 11,000 employees, 16 related-entity participants and one service provi...

Wynn Macau Profit Surges as Casino Revenues Jump, Interim Dividend Declared

Aug 27, 2026

Wynn Macau reported strong interim results for the six months to 30 June 2026, with casino revenues rising to HK$13.35 billion from HK$11.39 billion and total operating revenues reaching HK$15.59 billion. Adjusted EBITDA increased to HK$3.98 billion,...

Wynn Macau Declares Interim Dividend for First Half of 2026

Aug 27, 2026

Wynn Macau, Limited has declared an interim ordinary dividend of HKD 0.223 per share for the six months ended 30 June 2026, payable on 24 September 2026 to shareholders on record as of 15 September 2026. The ex-dividend date is set for 9 September 20...

Wynn Macau Sets August Board Meeting to Approve Interim Results

Aug 17, 2026

Wynn Macau has scheduled a board meeting for 27 August 2026 to review and approve the group’s interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider whether to declare, recommend or pay an interim dividend and addre...

Wynn Macau Flags Accounting Differences in Parent Wynn Resorts’ Q2 Filing

Aug 6, 2026

Wynn Macau has disclosed that its controlling shareholder, Wynn Resorts, has filed an unaudited Form 10-Q quarterly report for the second quarter and first half of fiscal 2026, which includes segmented financial information on the group’s Macau...

Wynn Macau flags unaudited Wynn Resorts results and GAAP–IFRS gap

Aug 4, 2026

Wynn Macau has alerted investors that its controlling shareholder, Wynn Resorts, has released unaudited second-quarter and first-half fiscal 2026 results, including segmented data on the Macau operations owned by Wynn Macau. The announcement ensures...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026