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Lai Fung Holdings (1125) AI Stock Analysis

HK:1125

Lai Fung Holdings

(HKEX:1125)

Select Model
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.70â–²(24.64% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The score is driven primarily by weak financial performance—declining revenue, ongoing profitability pressure, and deteriorating free cash flow. Technicals also weigh on the outlook as the stock remains in a clear downtrend with negative momentum, while valuation is constrained by losses (negative P/E) and no provided dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Recurring rental incomeLai Fung's business mixes property development with recurring rental income from investment properties. That recurring rental stream provides steadier, less cyclical cash inflows than one‑time project sales, supporting liquidity and operational stability across property cycles.
Negative Factors
Declining revenue and negative profit marginReported revenue fell sharply (-11.99% in 2025) while net profit margin is negative. Continued top-line contraction combined with unprofitable operations weakens earnings power, limits retained earnings for reinvestment, and stresses a business model that depends on both sales and rental income.

Lai Fung Holdings (1125) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%HK:1125-37.78%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 185.38M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
16.06K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.3
Beta (1Y)
0.12
Revenue Growth
12.74%
EPS Growth
-41.06%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
1,310
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Development

Lai Fung Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Lai Fung Holdings Limited, an investment holding company established in 1997 and based in Central, Hong Kong, primarily focuses on the real estate sector. Its activities involve both the development and acquisition of properties across Mainland China...

How the Company Makes Money

The company primarily makes money through (1) property development sales and (2) recurring income from investment properties. For property development, revenue is generated when completed residential, commercial, or mixed-use units are sold to buyers...

Lai Fung Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement weakness (revenue down -11.99% and negative net profit margin) and pressured cash generation (notable free cash flow decline) outweigh the relatively steadier balance sheet metrics (moderate leverage and stable equity ratio).

Income Statement

45Neutral

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

40Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJul 2025Jul 2024Jul 2023Jul 2022Jul 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.67B1.38B2.29B1.89B2.63B3.28B
Gross Profit197.95M409.37M751.52M687.06M948.12M291.58M
EBITDA60.49M337.72M991.19M328.85M921.08M433.03M
Net Income-639.40M-419.42M-267.66M-584.70M-134.52M-538.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.87B28.59B28.47B30.12B33.78B35.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.80B1.04B1.01B1.65B2.11B2.82B
Total Debt10.43B10.26B9.81B10.57B11.89B11.54B
Total Liabilities16.32B16.24B15.76B17.61B19.32B19.69B
Stockholders Equity12.13B12.03B12.32B12.78B14.61B15.43B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-132.46M292.17M342.64M553.26M238.23M1.38B
Operating Cash Flow-120.90M320.90M394.71M626.41M407.38M1.65B
Investing Cash Flow194.65M-22.07M-261.62M798.02M-907.80M-1.19B
Financing Cash Flow162.24M-281.25M-749.85M-1.77B-118.37M1.09B

Lai Fung Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.56

Price Trends

50DMA0.66Negative
100DMA0.70Negative
200DMA0.83Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.03Positive
RSI23.02Positive
STOCH3.45Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:1125, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.56 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.63, below the 50-day MA of 0.66, and below the 200-day MA of 0.83, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.02 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.45 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:1125.

Lai Fung Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:1125 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:1125HK:112544NeutralHKD 185.38M-0.31-4.81%―12.74%-41.06%
HK:1233HK:123343NeutralHKD 138.21M0.02-50.76%―-73.22%―
HK:3301HK:330141NeutralHKD 119.52M-0.0143.10%―-66.81%17.12%
HK:0216HK:021640UnderperformHKD 204.01M-0.43-6.78%―-17.26%16.31%
HK:6158HK:615839UnderperformHKD 69.88M-0.0060.28%―-56.20%-81.98%
HK:0124HK:012431UnderperformHKD 352.58M-0.46-24.01%―-34.52%13.87%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:1125HK:1233HK:6158HK:0124HK:0216HK:3301Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:1125 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:1125Lai Fung Holdings 0.56-0.34-37.78%
HK:1233Times China Holdings 0.05-0.08-64.34%
HK:6158Zhenro Properties Group Limited0.02-0.02-56.76%
HK:0124Guangdong Land Holdings Limited0.21-0.06-22.26%
HK:0216Chinney Investments, Limited0.37-0.25-40.32%
HK:3301Ronshine China Holdings Ltd.0.07-0.10-57.23%

Lai Fung Holdings Corporate Events

Lai Fung Updates Market on Efforts to Restore Public Float Compliance

Aug 5, 2026

Lai Fung Holdings Limited, a Hong Kong-listed company, continues to operate its businesses normally following the resumption of trading in its shares in November 2022. The group is overseen by a board that includes both executive and independent non-...

Lai Fung Warns on Low Public Float as Trading Operations Continue Normally

Jul 6, 2026

Lai Fung Holdings Limited has confirmed that its operations have remained normal following the resumption of trading in its shares in November 2022, but its public float still falls short of Hong Kong listing requirements. As of the latest update, pu...

Lai Fung Pressed to Restore Public Float as Trading Resumes Normally

Jun 3, 2026

Lai Fung Holdings has confirmed that its business operations have remained normal since the resumption of trading in its shares in November 2022, despite ongoing issues with its public float. The company continues to function under the oversight of i...

Lai Fung Outlines Plan to Restore Public Float After Falling Below HKEX Threshold

May 6, 2026

Lai Fung Holdings has confirmed that its business operations have remained normal since trading in its shares resumed in November 2022, and its board composition continues to include a mix of executive and independent non-executive directors. The com...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026