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Tsingtao Brewery Co (0168) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0168

Tsingtao Brewery Co

(HKEX:0168)

Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:HKD 42.00â–²(5.32% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/29/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality—high profitability and an exceptionally low-leverage balance sheet—tempered by softening revenue trends and only moderate cash conversion. Technical indicators are currently bearish (below major moving averages with negative MACD), while valuation is reasonably attractive with a moderate P/E and a high dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Strong ProfitabilityHealthy gross, operating, and net margins indicate that Tsingtao retains meaningful profitability across its beer portfolio. This provides internal funding capacity, supports brand investment, and gives earnings greater resilience when revenue growth is subdued.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue TrendThe multi-period revenue decline points to weakening top-line momentum and possible volume or pricing pressure. If sustained, softer sales could eventually limit operating leverage, constrain reinvestment capacity, and make continued earnings resilience harder to maintain.

Tsingtao Brewery Co (0168) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:0168-18.50%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 8.26B
Dividend Yield
6.77%
Average Volume (3M)
3.18M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
15.8
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
1.15%
EPS Growth
0.86%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
29,257
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Sector Strength
62
Industry
Beverages - Alcoholic

Tsingtao Brewery Co Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited, along with its affiliated enterprises, focuses on the worldwide manufacturing, distribution, and sale of beer products. Its operations are structured across seven distinct divisions: Shandong, South China, North Chin...

Tsingtao Brewery Co Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong financial base: solid profitability (TTM gross margin ~41.9%, EBIT margin ~19.2%, net margin ~14.6%) and an exceptionally conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~1.1%, ROE ~14–16%). The main offset is weakening revenue momentum in 2024–2025 and further decline in TTM, plus only moderate cash conversion (FCF ~58% of net income) despite positive operating and free cash flow.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

60Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue30.96B29.52B32.14B33.94B32.17B30.17B
Gross Profit12.87B10.77B12.93B13.12B11.85B11.08B
EBITDA5.81B6.29B7.09B6.90B6.10B5.61B
Net Income4.35B4.47B4.34B4.27B3.71B3.16B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.93B52.68B51.42B49.26B50.31B46.56B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments20.46B19.24B20.00B24.79B20.54B17.38B
Total Debt80.13M240.16M68.24M63.39M373.08M406.99M
Total Liabilities19.54B18.18B21.56B21.00B24.04B22.77B
Stockholders Equity32.48B30.66B29.06B27.45B25.49B23.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow3.46B2.82B3.01B1.16B3.10B4.41B
Operating Cash Flow5.77B5.02B5.15B2.78B4.88B6.04B
Investing Cash Flow-2.87B-3.71B-7.42B-3.46B-2.20B-10.25B
Financing Cash Flow-3.32B-3.02B-2.98B-2.87B-1.68B-1.61B

Tsingtao Brewery Co Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNeutral
Last Price39.88

Price Trends

50DMA40.27Negative
100DMA42.54Negative
200DMA45.17Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.37Positive
RSI49.88Neutral
STOCH34.43Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0168, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 39.88 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.86, below the 50-day MA of 40.27, and below the 200-day MA of 45.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HK:0168.

Tsingtao Brewery Co Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)

Financial Indicators

HK:0168 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0168HK:016869NeutralHKD 67.62B15.8113.77%6.77%1.15%0.86%
HK:0236HK:023669NeutralHKD 388.51M10.555.16%5.77%-8.21%―
HK:1876HK:187664NeutralHKD 77.65B18.015.51%7.51%-2.79%-6.76%
Sector *62Neutral$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
HK:0291HK:029151NeutralHKD 64.14B19.289.57%5.84%2.71%-48.12%
HK:0828HK:082846NeutralHKD 163.38M26.981.80%3.02%-49.66%-73.78%
HK:8146HK:814639UnderperformHKD 272.36M-67.30-3.96%―-9.97%94.50%

* Consumer Defensive Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%200%400%600%800%HK:0168HK:0291HK:1876HK:0236HK:8146HK:0828Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0168 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0168Tsingtao Brewery Co Class H39.88-9.38-19.05%
HK:0291China Resources Beer (Holdings) Co 19.77-5.26-21.00%
HK:1876Budweiser Brewing Co. APAC Ltd.5.89-1.50-20.28%
HK:0236San Miguel Brewery HK Ltd.1.04-0.13-11.19%
HK:8146Grace Wine Holdings Limited0.340.23222.12%
HK:0828Dynasty Fine Wines Group Limited0.12-0.17-60.00%

Tsingtao Brewery Co Corporate Events

Tsingtao Brewery’s Third-Quarter Profit Falls as Revenue Slips but Cash Flow Strengthens

Oct 28, 2026

Tsingtao Brewery reported unaudited results for its 2026 third quarter prepared under Chinese accounting standards, showing declines in revenue and profit despite a solid asset base. The board unanimously approved the quarterly figures, and managemen...

Tsingtao Brewery Sets Board Meeting to Approve Q3 2026 Results

Oct 12, 2026

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 October 2026 to review and approve its unaudited third quarterly results for the nine months ended 30 September 2026. The results, prepared under China Accounting Standards for Bus...

Tsingtao Brewery Restructures Senior Roles as Executive Director and CFO Retires

Sep 1, 2026

Tsingtao Brewery announced that executive director and chief financial officer Hou Qiu Yan will resign from all positions, including secretary to the board, joint company secretary, Strategy & Investment Committee member and authorised representa...

Tsingtao Brewery Clarifies Board Line-Up and Governance Committees

Sep 1, 2026

Tsingtao Brewery has announced the composition of its board of directors, naming Jiang Zong Xiang as chairman and executive director alongside fellow executive Liu Fu Hua, employee director Sun Jing, and five independent non-executive directors. The...

Tsingtao Brewery Posts Higher Assets and Equity in 2026 Interim Results

Aug 26, 2026

Tsingtao Brewery reported unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, showing total assets rising to RMB 55.49 billion from RMB 52.13 billion at year-end 2025. The growth was driven by higher financial assets held for trading and...

Tsingtao Brewery to Cut H-Share Board Lot Size to Boost Liquidity

Aug 26, 2026

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited will reduce the board lot size of its H shares traded on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange from 2,000 shares to 500 shares, effective 16 September 2026 at 9:00 a.m. The move is intended to lower the investment threshold, f...

Tsingtao Brewery Sets August Board Meeting to Approve 2026 Interim Results

Aug 11, 2026

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 26 August 2026 to review and approve the unaudited interim results for the six months ended 30 June 2026, prepared under China Accounting Standards for Business Enterprises. The appro...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026