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China Agri-Products Exchange Limited (0149) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0149

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited

(HKEX:0149)

Select Model
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:HKD 0.07â–²(6.45% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/22/26

The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (shrinking revenue and very low net profitability/ROE despite healthy operating margins) and an expensive-looking valuation (very high P/E). These negatives are partially offset by consistently positive and improving free cash flow and a largely neutral technical picture with only mild positive momentum.

Positive Factors
Improving Cash GenerationPositive operating cash flow across all reported years, together with a sharp 2026 improvement in free cash flow, indicates useful internal funding capacity. This can support maintenance, investment, and balance-sheet resilience without relying entirely on external financing.
Negative Factors
Material Revenue ContractionA two-year decline in revenue signals weakening top-line momentum in the company’s agricultural wholesale-market activities. Sustained contraction could reduce operating leverage, limit reinvestment capacity, and make it harder for strong platform margins to translate into durable earnings growth.

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited (0149) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%HK:0149-17.33%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 617.09M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
2.67M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
155.0
Beta (1Y)
-0.02
Revenue Growth
-28.53%
EPS Growth
0.00%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
711
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Diversified

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited operates as an investment holding company, with a core business centered on the establishment, development, operation, and management of wholesale markets for agricultural goods throughout the People's Republic of...

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Mixed fundamentals. Income statement is weak (revenue down materially over the last two years and net margin ~2% despite strong operating margin), indicating below-the-line drag and low earnings quality. Balance sheet is serviceable with moderate leverage, but ROE is very low. Cash flow is the bright spot with consistently positive and improving free cash flow in 2026, though volatility and inconsistent coverage metrics limit confidence.

Income Statement

38Negative

Balance Sheet

55Neutral

Cash Flow

64Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue609.55M383.69M530.76M698.39M596.40M868.68M
Gross Profit309.96M253.14M531.14M579.13M330.76M456.19M
EBITDA158.04M159.62M149.92M284.57M164.84M254.76M
Net Income5.31M7.69M7.83M7.35M18.50M37.04M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.48B4.48B4.23B4.64B4.92B5.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0446.93M181.73M283.52M341.31M440.44M
Total Debt1.06B1.42B1.15B1.35B1.43B1.51B
Total Liabilities2.47B2.47B2.21B2.57B2.79B3.14B
Stockholders Equity1.75B1.75B1.63B1.68B1.74B1.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow61.57M139.09M64.76M139.55M45.56M140.92M
Operating Cash Flow80.33M149.77M83.35M161.47M63.53M160.22M
Investing Cash Flow-109.80M-97.07M100.97M-30.90M-10.52M-105.66M
Financing Cash Flow17.99M182.47M-264.00M-194.01M-145.64M-43.83M

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price0.06

Price Trends

50DMA0.06Negative
100DMA0.06Negative
200DMA0.07Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Positive
RSI47.03Neutral
STOCH50.53Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0149, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.06, below the 50-day MA of 0.06, and below the 200-day MA of 0.07, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0149.

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0149 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0050HK:005075OutperformHKD 1.65B5.634.00%5.41%13.79%49.55%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0149HK:014950NeutralHKD 617.09M155.000.21%―-28.53%0.00%
HK:2349HK:234948NeutralHKD 303.44M-2.94-19.80%―36.31%-43.40%
HK:1965HK:196546NeutralHKD 49.29M1.45-93.63%―-1.98%―

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%150%HK:0149HK:0050HK:1965HK:2349Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0149 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0149China Agri-Products Exchange Limited0.06-0.02-22.50%
HK:0050Hong Kong Ferry Holdings Co. Ltd.4.620.040.98%
HK:1965Landsea Green Life Service Company Limited0.12-0.01-7.69%
HK:2349China City Infrastructure Group Limited0.100.0459.02%

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited Corporate Events

China Agri-Products Exchange Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at AGM

Aug 19, 2026

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited reported that shareholders at its 19 August 2026 annual general meeting approved all resolutions by poll, covering the adoption of the audited financial statements for the year ended 31 March 2026 and the re-elect...

China Agri-Products Exchange, Wang On Group Seal RMB64 Million Sale-Leaseback with Haier

Jul 24, 2026

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited and its parent Wang On Group Limited have entered into a sale and leaseback arrangement through their subsidiaries Qinzhou Hongjin and Kaifeng Hongjin with Haier as lessor, involving assets sold for RMB64 million,...

China Agri-Products Exchange Sets 2026 AGM and Seeks Fresh Share Issuance Mandate

Jul 24, 2026

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited has called its annual general meeting for 19 August 2026 in Hong Kong, where shareholders will review and adopt the audited consolidated financial statements, as well as the directors’ and independent audito...

China Agri-Products Exchange Updates Bermuda Registered Office Address

Jul 21, 2026

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited, a Hong Kong-listed company in the agricultural products trading and exchange services industry, manages its corporate affairs through a Bermuda registered office and a Hong Kong branch share registrar. Its board...

China Agri-Products Exchange issues HK$22m July 2038 notes under MTN programme

Jul 3, 2026

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited has issued a new tranche of unsecured fixed-rate notes under its HK$1 billion medium-term note programme, continuing to tap the debt market for long-term funding. The first tranche of series number 6 notes, dubbed...

China Agri-Products Exchange Profit Halves as Revenue Slides, Property Gains Bolster Liquidity

Jun 25, 2026

China Agri-Products Exchange Limited reported a sharp deterioration in financial performance for the year ended 31 March 2026, with revenue falling 28.9% to HK$377.4 million and gross profit down 10.3% to HK$265.7 million. Net profit halved to HK$15....

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 22, 2026