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MTR (0066) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0066

MTR

(HKEX:0066)

Select Model
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:HKD 35.00â–²(5.04% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/04/26

The score is primarily held back by weak cash-flow quality and persistently negative free cash flow alongside rising leverage, despite strong reported profitability. Offsetting that, technicals are moderately constructive (price above key moving averages with positive MACD), and valuation is supportive with a reasonable P/E and an attractive dividend yield.

Positive Factors
Integrated rail–property business modelMTR's dual rail-plus-property model creates durable, diversified cash streams: fare revenue plus property development, rentals and station retail. That structural linkage captures value uplift from new lines, smoothing earnings across cycles and aligning incentives for long-term urban development.
Negative Factors
Persistent negative free cash flowNegative free cash flow across multiple years signals that accounting profits are not converting into surplus cash, constraining internal funding for capex, dividends or debt paydown. Over months this raises reliance on external financing and heightens liquidity and refinancing risk for capital projects.

MTR (0066) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%HK:0066+19.97%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 26.59B
Dividend Yield
3.93%
Average Volume (3M)
5.11M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
9.1
Beta (1Y)
0.39
Revenue Growth
-6.48%
EPS Growth
30.99%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
29,866
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Railroads

MTR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

MTR Corporation Limited, established in 1975 and based in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong, is a diversified global enterprise that designs, builds, operates, maintains, and invests in railway systems. Its extensive geographical reach includes operations in Ho...

How the Company Makes Money

MTR makes money primarily through a mix of (1) transport operations and (2) property and commercial businesses. 1) Transport operations (fare and service revenue) - Passenger fares: Revenue from riders using MTR’s rail services (and related transport...

MTR Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Reported profitability is strong (income statement score 72) and the equity base is solid (balance sheet score 63), but cash conversion is a major weakness (cash flow score 38) with persistently negative free cash flow and only modest operating cash flow coverage of earnings. Rising leverage and a recent revenue decline add risk, pulling the combined financial performance score down.

Income Statement

72Positive

Balance Sheet

63Positive

Cash Flow

38Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue54.34B55.47B60.01B56.98B47.81B47.20B
Gross Profit9.88B13.41B13.71B9.60B2.47B3.03B
EBITDA8.17B14.82B27.06B17.67B17.90B17.80B
Net Income22.80B14.04B15.77B7.78B9.83B9.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets492.34B398.94B367.50B346.43B327.08B292.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments114.00B44.24B27.89B22.38B16.37B21.20B
Total Debt203.82B122.43B77.68B59.63B47.99B43.90B
Total Liabilities287.38B206.04B181.37B167.57B147.17B112.05B
Stockholders Equity204.27B192.22B185.63B178.34B179.29B179.71B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.11B-7.72B-925.00M-1.14B-12.53B-1.17B
Operating Cash Flow13.74B11.87B18.49B11.20B6.76B7.47B
Investing Cash Flow-24.85B-16.57B-20.27B-7.72B-1.99B5.97B
Financing Cash Flow67.82B20.91B8.50B1.87B-4.57B-14.53B

MTR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

HK:0066 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0077HK:007774OutperformHKD 135.96M7.5652.46%12.00%5.09%113.92%
HK:0306HK:030668NeutralHKD 1.14B4.7110.95%8.33%10.86%90.59%
HK:0062HK:006266NeutralHKD 4.54B18.921.37%9.46%0.54%-12.72%
HK:0066HK:006664NeutralHKD 207.41B9.0811.50%3.93%-6.48%30.99%
HK:0525HK:052564NeutralHKD 23.44B16.234.61%4.74%――
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
HK:3969HK:396962NeutralHKD 55.73B15.807.16%6.59%5.74%4.38%

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%HK:0066HK:3969HK:0525HK:0062HK:0306HK:0077Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0066 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0066MTR Corporation 33.325.4719.65%
HK:3969China Railway Signal & Communication Corp Class H2.96-0.28-8.71%
HK:0525Guangshen Railway Company Class H2.180.031.25%
HK:0062Transport International Holdings Limited8.46-1.71-16.83%
HK:0306Kwoon Chung Bus Holdings Limited2.400.177.58%
HK:0077AMS Public Transport Holdings Limited0.500.1025.31%

MTR Corporate Events

MTR sets August board meeting to review interim results and dividend

Jul 23, 2026

MTR Corporation Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 13 August 2026 to approve the unaudited financial results for the six months ended 30 June 2026 and to consider declaring an interim dividend. The timing of this meeting signals the company&#8...

MTR updates board and executive roles ahead of new governance term

Jul 20, 2026

MTR Corporation Limited has announced an updated list of members of its Board and Executive Directorate, detailing their roles as non-executive, independent non-executive and executive directors as well as committee responsibilities. The board includ...

MTR Shareholders Approve All AGM Resolutions and Refresh Board Committees

May 27, 2026

MTR Corporation reported that all resolutions at its 2026 annual general meeting were passed by substantial majorities, including approval of the 2025 audited financial statements, declaration of a final dividend, re-election and election of several...

MTR Updates Board and Executive Roles in Governance Restructuring

May 27, 2026

MTR Corporation has announced an updated list of its Board members and Executive Directorate, detailing the roles of non-executive, independent non-executive and executive directors across key governance committees. The structure underscores strong r...

MTR reshapes government-linked board representation with new alternate director

May 11, 2026

MTR Corporation has announced a change in its board representation linked to the Hong Kong government’s transport bureau, reflecting routine rotation within its non-executive oversight structure. The shift underscores the continued influence of...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026