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Guoco Group
(0053)
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Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
HK$78.00
â–²(9.86% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/13/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance—especially the sharp improvement in 2025 cash generation—combined with very attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield). These positives are tempered by weaker/neutral technical momentum and some financial volatility plus moderate leverage.
Positive Factors
Strong 2025 cash generation
Exceptional 2025 operating and free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility: supports capital allocation to development, investment, dividends or debt reduction and cushions cyclical revenue swings. High cash conversion strengthens long-term solvency and funding optionality.
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage
Debt near 0.7x equity is workable for a conglomerate but limits cushion in a property or hospitality downturn. Moderate leverage increases interest and refinancing sensitivity, constraining aggressive acquisitions or large buybacks and reducing capital flexibility over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong 2025 cash generation
Exceptional 2025 operating and free cash flow provide durable financial flexibility: supports capital allocation to development, investment, dividends or debt reduction and cushions cyclical revenue swings. High cash conversion strengthens long-term solvency and funding optionality.
Read all positive factors
Guoco Group (0053) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)
Market Cap
HK$23.42B
Dividend Yield5.03%
Average Volume (3M)4.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)5.5
Beta (1Y)0.29
Revenue Growth2.39%
EPS Growth7.81%
CountryHK
Employees10,900
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryConglomerates
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.67
Shares Outstanding329,051,360
10 Day Avg. Volume3,100
30 Day Avg. Volume4,600
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.47
Price to Book (P/B)0.33
Price to Sales (P/S)0.94
P/FCF Ratio0.57
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Guoco Group Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Guoco Group Limited functions as an investment holding company, overseeing a range of operations that include principal investments, property development and ownership, hospitality and leisure, and financial services. Its Principal Investment divi...
How the Company Makes Money
Guoco Group makes money primarily through a mix of property-related income, hospitality operations, and returns from financial-sector investments.
1) Property development and property investment: The group earns revenue from selling developed pro...
Guoco Group Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Jun 2025 | Jun 2024 | Jun 2023 | Jun 2022 | Jun 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.01B | 3.11B | 2.88B | 2.49B | 1.90B | 1.32B |
| Gross Profit | 1.06B | 1.11B | 1.07B | 909.36M | 750.01M | 351.64M |
| EBITDA | 700.31M | 836.71M | 968.73M | 376.82M | 516.19M | 234.98M |
| Net Income | 543.39M | 513.46M | 458.58M | 438.97M | 249.86M | 322.10M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 17.91B | 18.67B | 17.35B | 132.62B | 130.28B | 131.75B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 3.07B | 3.26B | 3.14B | 22.48B | 20.59B | 21.55B |
| Total Debt | 6.34B | 6.15B | 5.82B | 5.75B | 5.82B | 5.92B |
| Total Liabilities | 6.58B | 7.62B | 7.23B | 55.29B | 54.93B | 54.76B |
| Stockholders Equity | 8.99B | 8.75B | 7.86B | 59.34B | 57.73B | 59.78B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 655.18M | 5.17B | 921.75M | 829.90M | 409.37M | 437.45M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 1.84B | 5.97B | 1.02B | 892.38M | 451.67M | 458.36M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -6.36B | -5.94B | -264.70M | -384.86M | -293.91M | -211.10M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 33.63M | -3.74B | -451.27M | -613.06M | -98.61M | -567.86M |
Guoco Group Technical Analysis
Positive
71.00
Price Trends
70.32
Positive
69.93
Positive
70.58
Positive
Market Momentum
0.34
Positive
54.98
Neutral
81.27
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0053, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.34, above the 50-day MA of 70.32, and above the 200-day MA of 70.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.34 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.27 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HK:0053.
Guoco Group Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | HK$23.42B | 5.47 | 6.12% | 5.03% | 2.39% | 7.81% | |
73 Outperform | HK$126.99B | 16.52 | 3.38% | 3.71% | 6.76% | 618.77% | |
64 Neutral | HK$15.11B | 7.44 | 4.00% | 6.44% | -28.06% | -23.13% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
59 Neutral | HK$265.23B | 7.03 | 6.62% | 3.33% | -2.34% | 388.55% | |
55 Neutral | HK$42.20B | -1.59 | -23.63% | 0.38% | -1.33% | -409.12% | |
48 Neutral | HK$395.63B | 5.75 | 8.21% | 4.90% | 12.61% | 10.92% |
* Industrials Sector Average
HK:0053
Guoco Group
71.60
0.04
0.06%
HK:0001
CK Hutchison Holdings
69.35
19.56
39.28%
HK:0267
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13.52
2.24
19.88%
HK:0656
Fosun International
5.11
-0.44
-7.93%
HK:0363
Shanghai Industrial Holdings
13.92
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4.33%
HK:0019
Swire Pacific
107.70
42.42
64.98%
Guoco Group Corporate Events
Guoco Group Sets Final Timetable for GuocoLand Malaysia Privatisation and Delisting
Jul 20, 2026
Guoco Group, an investment holding company with substantial exposure to Malaysian property developer GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad, operates across Asian real estate and financial markets and is listed in Hong Kong. Its board, led by Executive Chair...
Guoco Group Moves to Privatise Malaysian Property Subsidiary GLM
Jul 14, 2026
Guoco Group has provided an update on its plan to privatise its Malaysian property arm, GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad, through a selective capital reduction and cash repayment of RM1.10 per share to eligible minority shareholders. Once completed, ex...
Guoco Group Renews Connected Management Services Deal with GGMC
Jun 30, 2026
Guoco Group has renewed its central management services framework with Hong Leong-linked service provider GGMC, securing strategic, financial, legal and corporate support for three financial years from 1 July 2026 to 30 June 2029. The arrangement ...
Guoco Group Sets Three-Year Framework for Connected Property Leases with Hong Leong
Jun 30, 2026
Guoco Group, a Hong Kong-listed conglomerate with substantial property holdings, regularly enters lease, tenancy and licence agreements to monetise its portfolio, including arrangements with the affiliated Hong Leong Group. Its property leasing op...
GuocoLand Enters Connected JV for S$657m Lentor Central Project in Singapore
Jun 3, 2026
GuocoLand’s subsidiary GLS has entered a joint venture with Intrepid and TIDR to develop a residential site at Lentor Central in Singapore, with the parties holding 50%, 40% and 10% stakes respectively. The project company LCPL acquired the ...
Guoco Group Advances Privatisation of Malaysian Property Arm After Shareholder Approval
May 29, 2026
Guoco Group has provided an update on the proposed privatisation of its Malaysian property arm, GuocoLand (Malaysia) Berhad, via a selective capital reduction and repayment exercise under Malaysian company law. At an extraordinary general meeting ...
Guoco Group Tightens Governance with Revised Audit and Risk Committee Mandate
May 4, 2026
Guoco Group Limited has updated the terms of reference for its Board Audit and Risk Management Committee, effective 4 May 2026, reaffirming its focus on ethical conduct, regulatory compliance, and sound risk management. The committee, composed mai...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.