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Guoco Group Limited (HK:0053)
:0053
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Guoco Group (0053) AI Stock Analysis

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HK:0053

Guoco Group

(0053)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
HK$72.00
▲(1.41% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:10/21/26
The overall score reflects solid but uneven financial performance (good profitability, improved leverage, strong 2026 free cash flow but with recent revenue/margin softness and multi-year volatility), weighed down by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Attractive valuation (low P/E and high dividend yield) provides meaningful support to the score.
Positive Factors
Diversified operating platform
Guoco Group’s presence across property, hospitality, leisure, and financial services gives it multiple operating platforms and asset exposures. This diversification can support resilience over the medium term because performance is not tied to a single business line or market.
Negative Factors
Recent revenue contraction
The latest period shows a reversal from the company’s longer-term revenue growth, with annual revenue declining and broader reported growth also negative. Continued top-line softness would limit operating leverage, reduce reinvestment capacity, and make sustained earnings expansion harder to achieve.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified operating platform
Guoco Group’s presence across property, hospitality, leisure, and financial services gives it multiple operating platforms and asset exposures. This diversification can support resilience over the medium term because performance is not tied to a single business line or market.
Read all positive factors

Guoco Group (0053) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

Guoco Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Guoco Group Limited functions as an investment holding company, overseeing a range of operations that include principal investments, property development and ownership, hospitality and leisure, and financial services. Its Principal Investment divi...

Guoco Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are stable but uneven: profitability remains solid (2026 net margin ~14.4%) and leverage improved (debt-to-equity ~0.54 vs ~0.70 prior year), supported by stronger equity. Offsetting this, 2026 revenue declined (~-4.7%) with lower margins/earnings vs 2025, and both cash flow and reported balance sheet levels show meaningful volatility across years, reducing confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownJun 2026Jun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.87B3.11B2.88B2.49B1.90B
Gross Profit848.78M1.11B1.07B909.36M750.01M
EBITDA781.13M873.72M968.73M413.28M566.33M
Net Income412.83M513.46M458.58M438.97M249.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets17.68B18.67B17.35B132.62B130.28B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.03B3.26B3.14B22.48B20.59B
Total Debt4.91B6.15B5.82B5.75B5.82B
Total Liabilities6.35B7.62B7.23B55.29B54.93B
Stockholders Equity9.04B8.75B7.86B59.34B57.73B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.25B5.17B921.75M829.90M409.37M
Operating Cash Flow1.36B5.97B1.02B892.38M451.67M
Investing Cash Flow514.00M-5.94B-264.70M-384.86M-293.91M
Financing Cash Flow-1.54B-3.74B-451.27M-613.06M-98.61M

Guoco Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price71.00
Price Trends
50DMA
70.78
Negative
100DMA
70.09
Negative
200DMA
70.30
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.60
Positive
RSI
37.44
Neutral
STOCH
43.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0053, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 71 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 69.90, above the 50-day MA of 70.78, and above the 200-day MA of 70.30, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.60 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0053.

Guoco Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
HK$124.53B16.103.38%3.81%6.76%618.77%
72
Outperform
HK$354.03B5.188.21%5.63%12.61%10.92%
64
Neutral
HK$250.68B6.636.62%3.59%-2.34%388.55%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
HK$14.39B7.084.00%8.46%-28.06%-23.13%
59
Neutral
HK$22.28B6.874.57%5.26%-10.61%-20.00%
51
Neutral
HK$35.55B-1.35-23.63%0.46%-1.33%-409.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HK:0053
Guoco Group
68.50
-5.44
-7.36%
HK:0001
CK Hutchison Holdings
65.45
15.67
31.47%
HK:0267
CITIC
12.17
0.82
7.23%
HK:0656
Fosun International
4.39
-0.54
-11.05%
HK:0363
Shanghai Industrial Holdings
13.24
0.64
5.05%
HK:0019
Swire Pacific
105.00
43.50
70.74%

Guoco Group Corporate Events

Guoco Group Sets November AGM to Approve Dividend, Board Mandates and Share Issuance Powers
Oct 16, 2026
Guoco Group Limited, a Bermuda-incorporated investment holding company listed in Hong Kong, oversees diversified businesses in financial services, property, hospitality and strategic investments across Asia. The group emphasizes strong corporate g...
Guoco Group Profit Falls but Dividend Rises on Strong Asset Backing
Sep 28, 2026
Guoco Group reported a decline in turnover to HK$22.95 billion and revenue to HK$22.02 billion for the year ended 30 June 2026, down 15% and 10% respectively, with profit attributable to equity shareholders falling 20% to HK$3.21 billion. Earnings...
Guoco Group Declares HKD 2.9 Final Dividend for FY2026
Sep 28, 2026
Guoco Group Limited, a Hong Kong-listed investment holding company, announced a final ordinary cash dividend of HKD 2.9 per share for the financial year ended 30 June 2026. The board is led by Executive Chairman Kwek Leng Hai and CEO Christian K. ...
Guoco Group Sets Board Meeting to Approve Annual Results and Consider Final Dividend
Sep 15, 2026
Guoco Group Limited has scheduled a board meeting for 28 September 2026 to review and approve the annual results for the financial year ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider recommending a final dividend, which could have implications f...
GuocoLand Profit Falls but Dividend Raised as Guoco Group Prepares Consolidation
Aug 28, 2026
GuocoLand Group reported revenue of S$1.43 billion for the year ended 30 June 2026, down from S$1.92 billion a year earlier, as gross profit fell to S$186.8 million from S$365.8 million. Profit for the year dropped to S$78.6 million from S$138.8 m...
Guoco Group Flags Release of GuocoLand 2026 Interim and Full-Year Results
Aug 28, 2026
Guoco Group has issued an overseas regulatory announcement to inform investors that its Singapore-listed subsidiary, GuocoLand Limited, has published its condensed interim financial statements for the six months and full year ended 30 June 2026 on...
Rank Group lifts underlying profit on stronger gaming revenue despite statutory profit dip
Aug 13, 2026
Guoco Group has issued an overseas regulatory announcement highlighting preliminary results from its subsidiary The Rank Group for the year to 30 June 2026. Rank reported strong underlying like-for-like net gaming revenue of £834.1 million, w...
Guoco’s Rank Subsidiary Lifts Revenue and Dividend Despite One-Off Charges
Aug 13, 2026
Guoco Group has released headline financial information from its London-listed subsidiary The Rank Group for the year ended 30 June 2026, showing modest growth in underlying performance. The disclosure aims to keep Hong Kong investors informed abo...
Guoco Group Updates Bermuda Registered Office and Confirms Hong Kong Share Registrar
Aug 3, 2026
Guoco Group Limited has changed the address of its registered office, principal share registrar, and transfer office in Bermuda to a new location in Hamilton, effective 3 August 2026. The company’s branch share registrar and transfer office ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 21, 2026