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New World Development (0017) AI Stock Analysis

HK:0017

New World Development

(HKEX:0017)

Select Model
Rating:42Neutral
Price Target:HKD 5.00â–¼(-0.99% Downside)
Action:upgraded
Date:10/10/26

The score is primarily held down by weak financial performance—large recent losses, rising leverage, and negative operating/free cash flow. Technicals also reflect a sustained downtrend (price below key moving averages and negative MACD), though oversold RSI/Stoch modestly temper the outlook. Valuation is difficult to assess on a negative P/E, with no dividend yield data to offset risk.

Positive Factors
2026 Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2026 revenue rebound indicates that the business retains the capacity to recover top-line activity after a weak period. If sustained through project completions and property demand, stronger revenue can improve operating leverage and support future earnings recovery.
Negative Factors
Severe Profitability DeteriorationThe shift from modest profitability in 2022–2023 to very large losses through 2026 materially weakens earnings quality and predictability. Negative operating profit and the extreme net margin indicate that revenue recovery has not yet translated into durable shareholder returns.

New World Development (0017) vs. iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF (EWH)

-40%-20%0%20%40%60%HK:0017-29.27%EWH+7.37%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
HKD 1.70B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
6.43M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-0.7
Beta (1Y)
1.32
Revenue Growth
9.77%
EPS Growth
-72.68%
Country
Hong Kong
Employees
9,200
Sector
Real Estate
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Real Estate - Diversified

New World Development Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Founded in 1970 and headquartered in Central, Hong Kong, New World Development Company Limited functions as an investment holding company with a broad and diverse portfolio of businesses. Its primary focus is property development and investment, enco...

How the Company Makes Money

New World Development primarily makes money through real estate and investment-related activities. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Property development revenue from selling completed residential and commercial units, where earnings are rec...

New World Development Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 25, 2025(Q4-2025)|% Change Since:-35.50%|Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentNeutral

The earnings call presented a mixed picture with significant achievements in refinancing, property sales, and debt reduction. However, these were counterbalanced by substantial financial losses, impairments, and suspended dividend payments, leading to a cautious outlook.

Positive Updates

Successful HKD 88.2 Billion Bank Refinancing
New World Development completed a HKD 88.2 billion bank refinancing, enhancing short- to medium-term liquidity and allowing focus on core business development.

Negative Updates

HKD 16.3 Billion Loss Attributable to Shareholders
The company reported a loss of HKD 16.3 billion for FY '25, impacted by noncash provisions and one-off losses.

Company Guidance

During the call, New World Development provided detailed guidance on several financial metrics and strategic initiatives. The company completed a significant HKD 88.2 billion bank refinancing on June 30, 2025, which extended certain loan maturities to June 2028, improving short- to medium-term liquidity. Additionally, the company secured an additional HKD 3.95 billion in committed loan facilities to address debt-related needs, with the option to scale further. Despite market uncertainties, New World Development achieved its annual property sales target of HKD 26 billion, with strong sales in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company's total and net debt decreased by HKD 5.7 billion and HKD 4.5 billion, respectively, throughout FY 2025, while the net gearing ratio slightly increased to 58.1% due to a decline in shareholders' equity. Efforts to streamline costs resulted in a 16% reduction in G&A expenses, contributing to a 15% year-on-year decrease in CapEx to HKD 12.6 billion. The company plans to further reduce CapEx to below HKD 12 billion in FY 2026. Despite a reported loss of HKD 16.3 billion, largely due to noncash provisions and one-off losses, the company remains focused on debt reduction, enhancing operational efficiency, and optimizing cash flow.

New World Development Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Overall financial statements indicate deterioration versus 2022–2023: very large losses through 2024–2026, higher leverage with debt-to-equity rising to ~1.19, and renewed negative operating cash flow in 2026 with recurring negative free cash flow. Positives (more stable gross margin and a 2026 revenue rebound) are outweighed by weak earnings quality and liquidity pressure.

Income Statement

22Negative

Balance Sheet

41Neutral

Cash Flow

28Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue22.02B20.85B27.71B35.78B95.55B68.21B
Gross Profit10.16B8.05B10.63B12.85B20.76B17.41B
EBITDA-18.80B-19.60B1.71B3.74B11.70B10.70B
Net Income-26.16B-26.16B-15.31B-17.51B900.90M1.25B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets391.70B391.70B420.26B445.16B616.48B635.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments17.41B17.41B25.99B28.24B70.01B76.54B
Total Debt178.57B178.57B155.01B160.95B195.56B199.11B
Total Liabilities234.74B234.74B213.53B220.27B395.43B395.40B
Stockholders Equity149.74B149.74B198.89B216.11B196.05B213.36B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-10.19B-10.19B-656.10M-13.17B3.76B1.90B
Operating Cash Flow-8.23B-8.23B3.56B-8.35B10.99B7.45B
Investing Cash Flow3.12B3.12B1.45B6.49B1.69B-3.26B
Financing Cash Flow-3.83B-3.83B-7.21B-31.81B-14.78B-5.72B

New World Development Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price5.05

Price Trends

50DMA5.87Negative
100DMA6.36Negative
200DMA7.76Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.25Negative
RSI36.03Neutral
STOCH55.38Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HK:0017, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.19, below the 50-day MA of 5.87, and below the 200-day MA of 7.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 36.03 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.38 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for HK:0017.

New World Development Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

HK:0017 against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
HK:0010HK:001071OutperformHKD 16.63B11.741.41%7.04%9.19%-0.21%
Sector *65Neutral$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
HK:0041HK:004158NeutralHKD 10.32B-38.22-0.52%7.78%74.94%84.97%
HK:0012HK:001252NeutralHKD 135.75B20.322.11%4.49%45.52%13.35%
HK:0978HK:097842NeutralHKD 1.16B-0.45-39.42%―25.82%-27.10%
HK:0017HK:001742NeutralHKD 12.71B-0.65-16.35%―9.77%-72.68%
HK:3377HK:337738UnderperformHKD 356.62M-0.03239.84%―-4.40%-61.12%

* Real Estate Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%HK:0017HK:0041HK:0012HK:0010HK:3377HK:0978Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
HK:0017 and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HK:0017New World Development Co. Ltd.5.05-2.36-31.85%
HK:0041Great Eagle Holdings 13.76-0.03-0.21%
HK:0012Henderson Land Development Co 28.041.596.03%
HK:0010Hang Lung Group 12.21-1.93-13.66%
HK:3377Sino-Ocean Group Holding 0.03-0.09-76.27%
HK:0978China Merchants Land Limited0.24-0.06-19.66%

New World Development Corporate Events

New World Development Pays HK$2.3 Billion to Exit Hong Kong Airport Sub-Lease Early

Sep 30, 2026

New World Development has agreed an early termination of a long-term sub-lease arrangement at Hong Kong International Airport, under which its indirect wholly owned subsidiary Roxy had been contracted to construct and operate a development on the sit...

New World Development Seeks Shareholder Nod for Overhaul of Articles

Sep 30, 2026

New World Development plans to replace its existing articles of association with a new set designed to align with recent changes to Hong Kong company and securities regulations. The board will seek shareholder approval for the new articles by special...

New World Development Returns to Underlying Profit Amid Hong Kong Property Market Recovery

Sep 30, 2026

New World Development reported a sharp 28% drop in revenue to HK$19,992 million and a 19% decline in gross profit, though gross margin improved to 47% and core operating profit rose 28% to HK$7,702 million. Despite a headline loss of HK$26,818 millio...

New World Development Publishes FY2026 Results Presentation

Sep 30, 2026

New World Development Company Limited has released a presentation detailing its financial results for the year ended 30 June 2026, signalling completion of its fiscal 2026 reporting cycle. The materials, published alongside a formal board-approved an...

New World Development Ups Mortgage-Backed Facility for Victoria Dockside

Sep 30, 2026

New World Development has increased its secured financing for the landmark Victoria Dockside complex, raising lender commitments under a Deutsche Bank-arranged facility from HKD 3.95 billion to HKD 4.9 billion. The loan is backed by a first-ranking m...

New World Development Advances Shanghai REIT Spin-Off Plan

Sep 20, 2026

New World Development plans a proposed spin-off and separate listing of a real estate investment trust on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, involving the disposal of most of its interest in a project company that owns a key asset. Following completion, it...

New World Development Sets Date to Approve 2026 Final Results and Dividend Plan

Sep 18, 2026

New World Development has scheduled a board meeting for 30 September 2026 to approve the annual results for the year ended 30 June 2026. The board will also consider whether to recommend a final dividend, signaling a forthcoming update on the group&#...

New World Development Plans Shanghai REIT Spin-Off for Flagship Tower

Sep 17, 2026

New World Development has announced plans to spin off a commercial real estate investment trust backed by its Shanghai Hong Kong New World Tower asset, a mixed-use complex on Huaihai Road Central that includes the Shanghai K11 Art Mall and K11 ATELIE...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 10, 2026