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HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) AI Stock Analysis

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HAWK

HawkEye 360, Inc.

(NYSE:HAWK)

Rating:―N/A
Action:N/A
Date:―

No summary available

Positive Factors
Negative Factors

HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%HAWK-55.12%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.49B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
1.45M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-107.8
Beta (1Y)
2.56
Revenue Growth
88.23%
EPS Growth
-28.02%
Country
US
Employees
395
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Aerospace & Defense

HawkEye 360, Inc. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

HawkEye 360, Inc., established in 2015 and headquartered in Herndon, Virginia, is a specialized provider of radio frequency (RF) data analytics. The company leverages its proprietary commercial satellite constellation to detect, process, and interpre...

HawkEye 360, Inc. Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2026(Q2-2026)|% Change Since:-37.38%|Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2026
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call highlighted strong top-line growth (total revenue +87% YoY), record international momentum (+134% YoY), improved free cash flow, a healthy backlog (~$292M) and substantial liquidity from a ~$437.5M IPO, plus meaningful technical progress (ISA integration, reduced latency, Aegis integration, new clusters and Block 3/4 road map). Near-term challenges include a Q2 net loss ($15.3M), a modest decline in adjusted EBITDA (from $7.8M to $7.0M) driven by elevated public-company and R&D investments, some legacy U.S. contract timing disruptions, and schedule/launch availability risks. Overall, achievements, strategic investments, and significant liquidity position the company for growth, while management is accepting near-term margin and execution risk to accelerate capability expansion.

Positive Updates

Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue increased 87% year-over-year to $49.8M in Q2 2026, driven by persistent government and international demand and the acquisition of ISA; on an organic basis (ex-ISA) revenue grew 33% YoY.

Negative Updates

Net Loss and Earnings Swing
Reported a Q2 2026 net loss of $15.3M compared with net income of $1.6M in the prior-year quarter, driven by higher expenses including non-cash and one-time costs related to the transition to public company status.

Company Guidance

Management guided full‑year 2026 revenue of $215–220 million and adjusted EBITDA of $30–36 million; they pointed to Q2 results of $49.8M revenue (+87% YoY), $7.0M adjusted EBITDA (14% margin), a $15.3M net loss, $5.4M free cash flow (vs. -$1.3M in Q2 2025), and $292M backlog as of June 30 (up from $285M, with $82M to be recognized in H2). The company ended Q2 with $503M cash, raised roughly $437.5M net in the IPO (18.4M shares), repaid $49.5M of borrowings and has an undrawn $125M revolver; Q2 mix included $21M international revenue (+134% YoY) and $28.8M U.S. revenue (+63% YoY, including $14.4M from ISA) with 33% organic revenue growth ex‑ISA. Management expects Q3 EBITDA roughly in line with Q2 with a ramp into Q4, reiterated H2 launch plans for Clusters 15–16 and a Block 3 launch in ~6 months (Block 4 prototype demo in 2027), and reiterated targets to reach ~10‑minute revisit and 10‑minute data latency in ~2–3 years while pursuing a TAM they peg at ~$25B growing to ~$35B in ~5 years (with $7–8B space‑based).

HawkEye 360, Inc. Risk Analysis

HawkEye 360, Inc. disclosed 61 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. HawkEye 360, Inc. reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

HawkEye 360, Inc. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

HAWK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
NOCNOC77Outperform$77.94B17.3525.70%1.74%6.51%14.02%
LHXLHX75Outperform$51.38B25.6610.17%1.79%7.33%15.31%
RKLBRKLB62Neutral$39.63B-182.53-6.83%―59.03%5.29%
KTOSKTOS56Neutral$6.91B303.730.72%―28.17%-0.16%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
PLPL53Neutral$5.19B-13.04-93.11%―44.12%-262.46%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%300%HAWKLHXKTOSNOCRKLBPLDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
HAWK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
HAWKHawkEye 360, Inc.15.26-18.74-55.12%
LHXL3harris Technologies276.59-7.07-2.49%
KTOSKratos Defense & Security36.69-35.00-48.82%
NOCNorthrop Grumman Corp.550.961.910.35%
RKLBRocket Lab Usa, Inc.66.1520.9046.19%
PLPlanet Labs Pbc14.342.9325.68%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.