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Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO)
:GRO
US Market
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Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) AI Stock Analysis

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GRO

Brazil Potash Corp.

(GRO)

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Neutral 49 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▼(-19.68% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/21/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—no revenue, ongoing losses, and persistent cash burn—partly offset by a low-leverage balance sheet. Technical indicators are moderately supportive in the near term (price above short-term averages and positive MACD), but longer-term trend confirmation is limited. Valuation is constrained by negative earnings (negative P/E) and no indicated dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Very low leverage
Minimal debt gives Brazil Potash greater financial flexibility while it advances its development project. The low interest burden preserves more capital for technical, permitting, and construction work, while reducing balance-sheet pressure during the period before commercial revenue begins.
Negative Factors
No operating revenue
Brazil Potash has not yet demonstrated commercial demand through recurring operating sales, leaving its business model dependent on successfully completing development and reaching production. Until that occurs, revenue visibility and operating scale remain unproven, increasing execution dependence over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very low leverage
Minimal debt gives Brazil Potash greater financial flexibility while it advances its development project. The low interest burden preserves more capital for technical, permitting, and construction work, while reducing balance-sheet pressure during the period before commercial revenue begins.
Read all positive factors

Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Brazil Potash Corp. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Brazil Potash Corp. focuses on identifying and developing potash resources within Brazil. A significant asset for the company is its interest in the Autazes Project, which is situated in the Brazilian state of Amazonas. Established in 2006, the fi...
How the Company Makes Money
Brazil Potash Corp.’s intended revenue model is to generate sales by producing and selling potash (a key potassium-based fertilizer input) from its development-stage project(s) in Brazil to fertilizer blenders, distributors, and agricultural input...

Brazil Potash Corp. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall financials look development-stage: the company reports zero revenue and persistent, sizable losses (TTM net loss ~-$34.2M). Cash flow is consistently negative (TTM operating cash flow ~-$15.2M; TTM free cash flow ~-$17.6M) with worsening free cash flow versus the prior annual period. The main offset is a relatively solid balance sheet with extremely low leverage (TTM debt-to-equity ~0.0023) and higher equity/assets from 2025 to TTM, but returns remain negative (TTM ROE ~-14.7%).
Income Statement
8
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-4.54K0.000.000.000.000.00
EBITDA-47.60M-70.98M-46.65M-13.36M-32.66M-4.43M
Net Income-34.23M-72.88M-46.41M-13.21M-32.62M-5.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets323.00M231.72M141.06M175.57M180.51M165.37M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments107.41M38.08M18.86M3.23M16.00M19.13M
Total Debt697.21K759.60K605.61K0.000.0014.07K
Total Liabilities17.45M15.37M5.64M5.18M4.12M4.58M
Stockholders Equity305.55M216.36M135.42M170.39M176.40M160.79M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-17.59M-17.65M-15.06M-12.13M-11.95M-10.78M
Operating Cash Flow-15.21M-17.62M-11.28M-8.20M-8.22M-9.61M
Investing Cash Flow-16.08M-15.18M-3.77M-3.64M-3.47M-1.16M
Financing Cash Flow124.14M45.34M31.61M2.50M8.35M25.88M

Brazil Potash Corp. Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.49
Price Trends
50DMA
2.31
Negative
100DMA
2.32
Negative
200DMA
2.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
37.68
Neutral
STOCH
4.48
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GRO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.49 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.36, above the 50-day MA of 2.31, and below the 200-day MA of 2.56, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.68 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 4.48 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GRO.

Brazil Potash Corp. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$1.61B5.6225.68%1.08%23.37%―
59
Neutral
$925.26M49.247.13%2.87%5.46%―
59
Neutral
$742.77M-18.99-5.64%1.45%-8.54%61.49%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
$338.08M-13.95-27.57%―――
49
Neutral
$136.90M-2.95-14.69%――66.57%
48
Neutral
$245.78M-13.99-3.66%――26.53%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GRO
Brazil Potash Corp.
2.11
-0.45
-17.58%
CMP
Compass Minerals International
21.81
2.45
12.65%
GSM
Ferroglobe
4.08
-0.39
-8.81%
NEXA
Nexa Resources SA
11.80
6.84
138.00%
LZM
Lifezone Metals
3.75
-1.85
-33.04%
IONR
ioneer Limited Sponsored ADR
2.88
-1.54
-34.84%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 21, 2026