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Galapagos (GLPG)
NASDAQ:GLPG
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Galapagos (GLPG) AI Stock Analysis

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GLPG

Galapagos

(NASDAQ:GLPG)

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Neutral 47 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$31.00
▼(-4.47% Downside)
Galapagos' overall stock score reflects a challenging financial and operational landscape. The company's strong cash position and strategic partnerships are positive, but are overshadowed by significant operating losses, poor valuation metrics, and technical indicators suggesting potential downward pressure. Investors should be cautious and monitor the company's ability to execute its strategic transformation and improve financial performance.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Position
A robust cash position provides Galapagos with financial flexibility to invest in R&D and strategic initiatives, supporting long-term growth.
Strategic Partnerships
The partnership with Gilead enhances Galapagos's ability to develop and commercialize new therapies, potentially expanding market reach and revenue.
Pipeline Developments
Progress in the TYK2 program indicates potential future revenue streams and strengthens Galapagos's position in the competitive biotech market.
Negative Factors
Failed Cell Therapy Spin-Off
The failure to spin off the cell therapy business reflects strategic challenges and may limit Galapagos's ability to focus on core competencies.
Significant Operating Loss
Substantial operating losses highlight ongoing financial struggles, which could hinder investment in growth and innovation initiatives.
High Restructuring Costs
High restructuring costs from winding down the cell therapy business could strain financial resources and delay profitability improvements.

Galapagos (GLPG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Galapagos Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGalapagos NV, an integrated biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of various medicines for high unmet medical need. Its pipeline products include filgotinib, a JAK1 inhibitor that is in various phases of clinical trials for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis, Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, small bowel CD, fistulizing CD, ankylosing spondylitis, psoriatic arthritis, and uveitis. The company's pipeline products also comprise GLPG1972 that has completed Phase 2b trial for treating osteoarthritis; Toledo molecules, including GLPG3970, GLPG4399, and GLPG4876 for inflammation; and GLPG4716 and Ziritaxestat to treat idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. In addition, its other pipeline products include GLPG2737, a cystic fibrosis transmembrane conductance regulator that is in Phase 2 clinical trials to treat patients with autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease; and GLPG0555, a JAK1 inhibitor, which is in Phase 1b for treatment of patients with osteoarthritis. The company has collaboration agreements with Gilead Sciences, Inc.; AbbVie S.à r.l.; and Novartis Pharma AG. Galapagos NV was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Mechelen, Belgium.
How the Company Makes MoneyGalapagos generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its pharmaceuticals. The company earns money from several key revenue streams: milestone payments from partnerships with larger pharmaceutical companies, royalties from sales of partnered products, and potentially revenue from its own marketed products once they are approved. Significant partnerships, such as those with Gilead Sciences, contribute to Galapagos's earnings through upfront payments and success-based milestones as products progress through clinical trials. Additionally, grants and collaborations with academic institutions may also supplement its income.

Galapagos Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 24, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Galapagos presents a mixed outlook with significant strategic shifts and financial restructuring. The company's strong cash position and potential partnerships offer opportunities for growth, but the wind down of the cell therapy business and substantial operating losses highlight challenges. Strategic partnerships, particularly with Gilead, and a leaner organizational focus are expected to guide future developments.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Cash Position
Galapagos has a cash balance of approximately EUR 3 billion, representing EUR 46 per share, generating significant interest income. Through the first 9 months of the year, they received approximately EUR 77 million in interest income.
Partnership and Strategic Opportunities
Galapagos is leveraging its partnership with Gilead to pursue business development opportunities. Gilead owns 25% of Galapagos, and the collaboration agreement allows them to opt into U.S. rights of proof-of-concept assets.
Potential Income Streams
Galapagos receives royalties and earn-outs from Gilead and Alfasigma on sales of Jyseleca, expected to continue into the mid-2030s. They also anticipate receiving tax receivables of approximately EUR 20 million to EUR 35 million per year over the next 3 years.
Pipeline Developments
The development team has progressed the Phase III enabling studies for the TYK2 program, GLPG3667, which is expected to report data from two fully enrolled trials in early 2026.
Negative Updates
Failed Cell Therapy Spin-Off
The planned spin-off of the cell therapy business could not be executed, and after a strategic review, no viable proposals for sale or investment were found. The Board decided to wind down the cell therapy business, impacting approximately 365 employees across multiple locations.
Significant Operating Loss
Galapagos reported a total operating loss from continuing operations of EUR 462.2 million for the first 9 months of 2025, compared to a loss of EUR 125.6 million in the same period of 2024. This was primarily due to an impairment on the cell therapy business and strategic reorganization costs.
High Restructuring Costs
The wind down of the cell therapy business is expected to incur cash impacts of EUR 100 million to EUR 125 million from Q4 2025 through 2026, with EUR 150 million to EUR 200 million of one-time restructuring cash costs in 2026.
Company Guidance
In the third-quarter financial results call for 2025, Galapagos provided several key metrics and strategic updates. The company announced a significant cash balance of approximately EUR 3 billion, translating to about EUR 46 per share, and projected to end the year with EUR 2.975 billion to EUR 3.05 billion, excluding business development activities. Interest income for the first nine months was EUR 77 million, while income from Jyseleca royalties ranged between EUR 15 million to EUR 20 million annually. The company also anticipated receiving tax receivables of EUR 20 million to EUR 35 million per year over the next three years. Galapagos faced an operating loss of EUR 462.2 million, impacted by a EUR 204.8 million impairment on the cell therapy business and a strategic reorganization cost of EUR 135.5 million. As part of its strategic transformation, Galapagos plans to wind down its cell therapy business, impacting up to 365 employees and incurring restructuring costs of EUR 150 million to EUR 200 million. The company is actively pursuing business development opportunities, leveraging its partnership with Gilead, which owns a 25% stake in Galapagos.

Galapagos Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Galapagos shows a mixed financial performance. The company has a strong gross profit margin and low leverage, but struggles with profitability and cash flow generation. The negative net profit and EBIT margins, along with ongoing cash flow issues, highlight significant challenges.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Galapagos shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM gross profit margin is strong at 87.59%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the company struggles with profitability, as evidenced by negative net profit and EBIT margins, reflecting ongoing losses. Revenue growth is modest at 4.10% TTM, but the company has faced revenue declines in previous years, highlighting volatility in sales performance.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet of Galapagos is relatively stable with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0032 TTM, suggesting minimal leverage and financial risk. However, the return on equity is negative at -10.20% TTM, indicating inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is not explicitly calculated, but the low debt levels suggest a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Galapagos faces challenges in cash flow management, with negative operating cash flow and free cash flow TTM. The free cash flow to net income ratio is slightly positive at 1.07, indicating some alignment between cash flow and accounting profits. However, the negative free cash flow growth rate of -3.58% TTM highlights ongoing cash flow issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue286.92M275.65M239.72M241.25M484.85M478.05M
Gross Profit422.74M240.79M239.72M241.25M483.22M478.05M
EBITDA-346.93M43.33M51.04M3.87M-100.93M-281.70M
Net Income-435.95M74.08M211.70M-217.99M-125.42M-305.44M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.13B4.14B4.36B4.73B5.19B5.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.58B3.12B3.68B4.09B4.70B5.16B
Total Debt8.81M11.72M9.60M21.90M26.86M29.44M
Total Liabilities1.25B1.24B1.56B2.21B2.55B3.05B
Stockholders Equity2.88B2.90B2.80B2.53B2.64B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-287.04M-402.14M-425.24M-537.49M-561.71M-518.65M
Operating Cash Flow-269.36M-320.03M-405.97M-500.54M-503.83M-427.34M
Investing Cash Flow284.55M220.60M71.19M-1.25B541.24M757.29M
Financing Cash Flow-4.47M-4.92M-5.00M-1.49M-3.88M22.04M

Galapagos Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price32.45
Price Trends
50DMA
32.93
Negative
100DMA
31.98
Positive
200DMA
29.00
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.59
Negative
RSI
51.61
Neutral
STOCH
78.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLPG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 32.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.04, below the 50-day MA of 32.93, and above the 200-day MA of 29.00, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GLPG.

Galapagos Risk Analysis

Galapagos disclosed 79 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Galapagos reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Galapagos Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
59
Neutral
$2.37B-27.57%36.26%-158.98%
55
Neutral
$2.90B-28.35%182.44%47.21%
54
Neutral
$2.89B-410.78%114.22%77.02%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
47
Neutral
$2.04B-16.45%
43
Neutral
$3.17B-34.78%-34.96%
41
Neutral
$2.00B-91.06%-32.98%-18.46%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLPG
Galapagos
32.45
4.47
15.98%
AGIO
Agios Pharma
41.38
-19.08
-31.56%
TVTX
Travere Therapeutics
34.38
15.35
80.66%
IRON
Disc Medicine
83.58
17.01
25.55%
TARS
Tarsus Pharmaceuticals
72.79
23.71
48.31%
RXRX
Recursion Pharmaceuticals
4.51
-3.33
-42.47%

Galapagos Corporate Events

Galapagos NV to Wind Down Cell Therapy Business Amid Strategic Shift
Nov 6, 2025

Galapagos NV announced its financial results for the first nine months of 2025, revealing a strategic shift with the intention to wind down its cell therapy business. This decision follows a comprehensive strategic review aimed at optimizing capital allocation and supporting the company’s long-term sustainability. The wind down, if implemented, will affect approximately 365 employees and lead to the closure of several sites across Europe, the U.S., and China. Despite a significant operating loss of €462.2 million due to impairments, Galapagos maintains a robust balance sheet with €3.05 billion in cash and financial investments as of September 30, 2025. The company plans to focus on value-accretive transactions in small molecule and biologics programs, leveraging its partnership with Gilead to enhance its strategic positioning.

Galapagos to Present Promising CAR-T Cell Therapy Data at ASH 2025
Nov 3, 2025

On November 3, 2025, Galapagos NV announced that it will present new data for its CAR T-cell therapy candidate, GLPG5101, at the upcoming American Society of Hematology Annual Meeting in December 2025. The data, derived from Phase 2 studies, highlight the potential of GLPG5101 in treating relapsed/refractory non-Hodgkin lymphoma, demonstrating high complete response rates and low-grade toxicities. This development underscores Galapagos’ commitment to advancing cell therapy solutions and could enhance its positioning in the oncology market by addressing high unmet medical needs.

Galapagos NV Strengthens Board with Strategic Appointments
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Galapagos NV announced significant changes to its Board of Directors to strengthen its strategic focus on business development. The appointments of Dr. Neil Johnston and Devang Bhuva as new directors aim to align the Board’s composition with the company’s strategic direction, enhancing its capacity to execute transformational business development strategies. These changes are expected to support Galapagos in creating value for shareholders and advancing its pipeline of novel medicines.

Galapagos NV to Wind Down Cell Therapy Business Following Strategic Review
Oct 21, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Galapagos NV announced its intention to wind down its cell therapy business following a comprehensive strategic review. This decision, aimed at enhancing operational efficiencies and focusing on transformational business development, was unanimously approved by the board, excluding two directors from Gilead who recused themselves. The wind-down process is expected to impact approximately 365 employees and result in the closure of several sites across Europe, the U.S., and China. The company plans to allocate its resources to areas of unmet need, with anticipated costs ranging from €100 million to €125 million in operating expenses and €150 million to €200 million in restructuring costs through 2026.

Galapagos Appoints Fred Blakeslee as General Counsel
Oct 16, 2025

On October 16, 2025, Galapagos NV announced the appointment of Fred Blakeslee as Executive Vice President and General Counsel, succeeding Valeria Cnossen. Blakeslee, who brings extensive legal expertise and experience in high-impact partnerships, is expected to play a crucial role in Galapagos’ strategic transformation and growth. His previous role at AbbVie involved leading legal teams in significant mergers and acquisitions, including the $63 billion acquisition of Allergan PLC. This leadership transition is seen as a pivotal step in advancing Galapagos’ clinical pipeline and enhancing its position in the biopharmaceutical industry.

Galapagos Updates on Cell Therapy Business Strategic Review
Oct 1, 2025

On October 1, 2025, Galapagos NV announced an update on its strategic review of alternatives for its cell therapy business, initially disclosed on May 13, 2025. The company has received a limited number of non-binding offers from financial consortia interested in acquiring the business. Galapagos is working with these potential bidders to finalize due diligence and secure financing commitments. The deadline for binding offers is approaching, and a decision regarding the divestment or alternative actions is expected by November 5, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 08, 2025