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Global-e Online (GLBE)
NASDAQ:GLBE
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Global-e Online (GLBE) AI Stock Analysis

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GLBE

Global-e Online

(NASDAQ:GLBE)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(13.12% Upside)
Global-e Online's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance driven by revenue growth and cash flow generation, despite challenges in profitability. The technical analysis indicates short-term bullish momentum, while valuation concerns due to negative earnings impact the score. The positive sentiment from the earnings call, highlighting strategic growth initiatives, contributes significantly to the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust demand for Global-e's services, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term expansion.
Strategic Partnerships
The extended partnership with DHL strengthens Global-e's logistics capabilities, enhancing service delivery and competitive advantage.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation provides financial flexibility for strategic investments and supports sustainable business growth.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability issues may limit Global-e's ability to reinvest in growth and could affect long-term financial stability.
Duty Tariffs Uncertainty
Uncertainty regarding duty tariffs could disrupt trade flows, impacting Global-e's revenue and operational efficiency.
De Minimis Exemption Changes
Changes in de minimis exemptions may affect cross-border sales, posing a risk to Global-e's transaction volumes and revenue.

Global-e Online (GLBE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Global-e Online Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGlobal-E Online Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides a platform to enable and accelerate direct-to-consumer cross-border e-commerce in Israel, the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. Its platform enables international shoppers to buy online and merchants to sell from, and to, worldwide. Global-E Online Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Petah Tikva, Israel.
How the Company Makes MoneyGlobal-e generates revenue primarily through transaction fees charged to merchants for each sale processed on its platform. The company takes a percentage of the sales made through its services, which can vary based on the type of product and the market. Additionally, Global-e offers premium services, such as advanced analytics and marketing tools, which provide further revenue streams. The company has established significant partnerships with major e-commerce platforms and logistics providers, enhancing its service offerings and expanding its customer base, contributing to its overall earnings.

Global-e Online Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Merchandise Volume
Gross Merchandise Volume
Measures the total sales dollar value for merchandise sold through the platform, indicating the scale of the company's operations and its ability to attract and retain sellers and buyers.
Chart InsightsGlobal-e Online's Gross Merchandise Volume has been on a robust upward trajectory, with a notable 34% year-over-year increase in Q1 2025. This growth is bolstered by a strategic partnership with Shopify, enhancing their market position. However, potential challenges loom due to U.S. import tariffs affecting 12% of U.S. inbound GMV and geopolitical uncertainties. Despite these risks, the company's proactive strategies, including new offerings to offset tariff costs, suggest resilience and continued growth potential in the e-commerce space.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Global-e Online Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Global-E's strong growth in GMV and revenue, sustainable GAAP profitability, and strategic expansions, both through partnerships and acquisitions. Despite uncertainties around duty tariffs and the de minimis exemption, the company remains optimistic about its growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong GMV and Revenue Growth
Global-E finished Q2 with GMV of $1.45 billion, up 34% year-over-year, and revenues of almost $215 million, up 28% year-over-year.
Sustainable GAAP Profitability
The company achieved GAAP profitability with a net profit of $10.5 million compared to a net loss of $22.4 million in the same quarter last year.
Strategic Partnership Extension with DHL
Global-E extended its long-term strategic partnership with DHL, entering into an additional 3-year agreement.
Acquisition of ReturnGo
Global-E acquired ReturnGo, a leading provider of AI-enabled return and exchange solutions, to enhance post-purchase solutions.
Expansion of Merchant Base
Several new brands were launched with Global-E in Q2, including SteelSeries, GANNI, and Life360, among others.
Increased Cash Flow
The company generated a strong free cash flow of $63.5 million in Q2.
Negative Updates
Uncertainty Due to Duty Tariffs
There is ongoing uncertainty around duty tariffs and their potential adverse impact on global trade in the back half of the year.
Impact of Shopify Warrant Amortization
The amortization of the Shopify warrants impacted financial results, although it is expected to be fully amortized by early 2026.
Challenges with De Minimis Exemption Changes
Expected changes to the U.S. de minimis exemption could impact trading volumes, although the company anticipates limited effects.
Weakness in U.K. Market
The U.K. market faced challenges, partly due to the impact of a cyberattack on a major merchant, M&S, affecting their trade volumes.
Company Guidance
During the Global-E Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance for the upcoming third quarter and full year 2025, illustrating a positive outlook driven by strong performance metrics. For Q3 2025, Global-E expects GMV to be between $1.455 billion and $1.495 billion, with revenue ranging from $214 million to $221 million, and an adjusted EBITDA of $37.5 million to $41.5 million, reflecting an 18.2% margin at the midpoint. For the full year, the company anticipates GMV in the range of $6.22 billion to $6.52 billion, revenue from $921.5 million to $971.5 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $180 million and $200 million. These projections indicate a 31% growth in GMV and a 26% increase in revenue at their respective midpoints. Despite potential uncertainties around global trade tariffs, the company remains confident in its ability to achieve GAAP profitability for the year, bolstered by strategic initiatives like the acquisition of ReturnGo and its partnership with Shopify.

Global-e Online Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Global-e Online shows strong revenue growth and a solid balance sheet with low leverage. However, challenges in achieving profitability are evident, with negative net income and EBIT margins. Cash flow generation is a positive aspect, indicating operational resilience.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Global-e Online has shown consistent revenue growth with a 5.88% increase in the TTM period. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net profit and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin remains stable around 45%, suggesting efficient cost management in production. The EBITDA margin has improved, reflecting better operational efficiency, but the negative EBIT margin highlights ongoing challenges in covering operating expenses.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet is relatively strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.027, indicating low financial leverage and risk. However, the return on equity is negative, reflecting the company's struggle to generate profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow metrics are positive, with a slight growth in free cash flow and a strong free cash flow to net income ratio, indicating effective cash generation relative to net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, suggesting that the company is generating sufficient cash from operations despite net losses.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue843.64M752.76M569.95M409.05M245.27M136.38M
Gross Profit380.47M339.43M233.60M158.18M91.43M43.47M
EBITDA180.90M101.61M35.61M-159.91M-65.33M8.65M
Net Income-28.42M-75.55M-133.81M-195.41M-74.93M3.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.22B1.26B1.20B1.16B846.13M347.31M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments515.48M474.44M317.42M228.20M509.07M91.97M
Total Debt24.65M24.86M23.32M19.82M21.32M4.43M
Total Liabilities306.71M370.05M300.38M234.48M150.38M205.81M
Stockholders Equity909.09M893.43M901.98M928.12M695.75M141.50M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow149.58M167.06M106.48M73.13M12.87M28.89M
Operating Cash Flow152.45M169.39M108.22M81.48M15.75M29.35M
Investing Cash Flow-202.08M-105.12M-55.04M-330.10M-40.49M-24.05M
Financing Cash Flow2.62M3.28M1.99M1.24M398.61M59.36M

Global-e Online Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price35.36
Price Trends
50DMA
34.44
Positive
100DMA
33.76
Positive
200DMA
39.68
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.44
Positive
RSI
48.64
Neutral
STOCH
25.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GLBE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.36 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.42, above the 50-day MA of 34.44, and below the 200-day MA of 39.68, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.64 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GLBE.

Global-e Online Risk Analysis

Global-e Online disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Global-e Online reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Global-e Online Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$1.59B35.5510.36%10.68%37.84%
67
Neutral
$6.20B-3.18%33.30%74.42%
63
Neutral
$1.47B-176.83%-13.22%
63
Neutral
$1.13B-58.93%-10.39%14.92%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$7.19B57.89-39.97%2.38%-38.88%
57
Neutral
$11.20B17.86%0.87%54.67%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GLBE
Global-e Online
35.36
-0.59
-1.64%
W
Wayfair
88.53
32.21
57.19%
ETSY
Etsy
72.38
21.19
41.39%
JMIA
Jumia Technologies AG
11.56
5.96
106.43%
RVLV
Revolve Group
22.37
-1.07
-4.56%
TDUP
thredUP
9.43
8.63
1078.75%

Global-e Online Corporate Events

Global-E Online Launches $200 Million Share Repurchase Program
Sep 4, 2025

On September 4, 2025, Global-E Online Ltd. announced the authorization of a $200 million share repurchase program, marking its first-ever initiative of this kind. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its financial health and commitment to enhancing shareholder value, while maintaining the flexibility to invest in strategic initiatives. The repurchase program allows for the acquisition of shares through various methods, subject to market conditions and regulatory compliance, and is expected to be funded by the company’s existing cash reserves and future cash flows.

Global-E Online Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results and Expands Partnerships
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Global-E Online Ltd. announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, showcasing a strong performance with a 34% year-over-year increase in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) and a 28% rise in revenue. The company achieved sustainable GAAP profitability and expanded its business by onboarding new merchants and extending partnerships, such as a renewed agreement with DHL. Additionally, Global-E acquired ReturnGo, enhancing its capabilities in AI-enabled return solutions. The company raised its full-year guidance, indicating confidence in continued growth.

Global-e Online Acquires ReturnGo to Boost Post-Purchase Solutions
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, Global-e Online Ltd. announced its acquisition of ReturnGo Ltd., a company known for its AI-powered return and exchange solutions. This strategic move aims to enhance Global-e’s post-purchase offerings by integrating ReturnGo’s technology into its platform, allowing merchants to offer superior return experiences. While the acquisition is not expected to significantly impact Global-e’s revenue or financial results, it is anticipated to improve customer satisfaction and loyalty, thereby strengthening Global-e’s competitive position in the global e-commerce market.

Global-E Online Extends Strategic Partnership with DHL
Jul 23, 2025

On July 22, 2025, Global-E Online Ltd. announced the extension of its strategic partnership with DHL International (UK) Limited through a First Amendment to their Global Service Agreement, renewing the collaboration for an additional three years. This agreement, along with an amendment to a commercial side letter with DHL International GmbH, signifies a continued commitment to enhancing logistics and service offerings worldwide, potentially strengthening Global-E’s market position and operational capabilities in the e-commerce sector.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2025