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Trafalgar New Homes
(LSE:TRAF)
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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
17.50 p
▼(-27.69% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/12/26
The score is driven primarily by very weak financial performance (multi-year losses, persistent negative equity, and continued cash burn), which materially elevates funding and execution risk. Technicals also weigh on the score due to a clear downtrend and negative momentum, despite oversold RSI. Valuation provides limited support because the company is loss-making (negative P/E) and no dividend yield is available.
Positive Factors
2026 Revenue Rebound
The return of revenue in 2026 indicates that the company retains some ability to generate housing-related sales after an exceptionally weak period. If maintained, renewed activity could provide a base for operational recovery, although profitability has not yet followed.
Negative Factors
Persistent Unprofitability
Losses across every reported year show that the business has not established a sustainable profit engine. Negative gross profit in the latest period means revenue is currently insufficient even before operating costs, making a durable earnings recovery dependent on major improvement.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
2026 Revenue Rebound
The return of revenue in 2026 indicates that the company retains some ability to generate housing-related sales after an exceptionally weak period. If maintained, renewed activity could provide a base for operational recovery, although profitability has not yet followed.
Read all positive factors
Trafalgar New Homes (TRAF) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£7.67M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)4.44K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)-0.36
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUK
Employees5
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryReal Estate - Development
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.03
Shares Outstanding41,457,660
10 Day Avg. Volume2,055
30 Day Avg. Volume4,439
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.02
Price to Book (P/B)-0.10
Price to Sales (P/S)0.48
P/FCF Ratio-0.93
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Trafalgar New Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Trafalgar Property Group plc, through its subsidiaries, engages in residual property development business in the United Kingdom. The company undertakes residential property and assisted living projects. It also engages in renting of residential pr...
Trafalgar New Homes Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
14
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
8
Very Negative
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
| Breakdown | Sep 2025 | Mar 2024 | Sep 2023 | Mar 2023 | Mar 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 715.00K | 600.00 | 0.00 | 18.18K | 64.84K |
| Gross Profit | -28.07K | -131.48K | -213.00 | -12.72K | 61.68K |
| EBITDA | -349.23K | -379.73K | -387.17K | -719.49K | -314.25K |
| Net Income | -389.35K | -400.27K | -516.72K | -843.63K | -486.34K |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 1.85M | 1.40M | 864.50K | 1.32M | 1.79M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 65.28K | 27.43K | 8.91K | 17.15K | 12.75K |
| Total Debt | 4.55M | 4.19M | 3.42M | 4.45M | 4.69M |
| Total Liabilities | 5.21M | 4.54M | 3.70M | 4.67M | 5.06M |
| Stockholders Equity | -3.37M | -3.14M | -2.84M | -3.35M | -3.27M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -364.82K | -858.09K | -909.75K | -642.97K | -352.84K |
| Operating Cash Flow | -364.82K | -858.09K | -909.75K | -617.97K | -352.84K |
| Investing Cash Flow | 0.00 | 0.00 | 927.25K | 624.62K | 352.50K |
| Financing Cash Flow | 402.67K | 876.61K | -25.74K | -2.26K | -233.10K |
Trafalgar New Homes Technical Analysis
Negative
24.20
Price Trends
20.54
Negative
21.64
Negative
22.11
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.40
Negative
24.58
Positive
67.76
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:TRAF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 24.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.73, above the 50-day MA of 20.54, and above the 200-day MA of 22.11, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 24.58 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.76 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:TRAF.
Trafalgar New Homes Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
GB:TRAF
Trafalgar New Homes
18.50
1.00
5.71%
GB:ALNA
Alina Holdings PLC
9.25
0.85
10.12%
GB:SPDI
SECURE PROPERTY Development & Investment
0.50
-1.50
-75.00%
GB:ZNT
One Heritage Group Plc
2.50
-0.25
-9.09%
GB:MOY
Secured Property Developments Plc
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Trafalgar New Homes Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Trafalgar Minerals Signals Strategic Pivot After Legacy-Year Results
Positive
Sep 28, 2026
Trafalgar Minerals PLC has reported its final results for the year ended 31 March 2026, noting that the figures reflect the performance of its legacy business before a major strategic overhaul. Following a restructuring and rebranding, the group i...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Trafalgar Minerals Converts Remaining Loan Notes Into Equity
Positive
Aug 21, 2026
Trafalgar Minerals has converted the remaining outstanding convertible loan notes held by Wager Holdings into equity, issuing 444,440 new ordinary shares at £0.10 each to satisfy £44,444 of principal. The new shares will rank pari passu ...
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Trafalgar Completes Name Change as It Repositions Toward Minerals
Positive
Aug 5, 2026
Trafalgar Minerals PLC has formally completed its corporate rebranding from Trafalgar Property Group PLC after receiving a certificate of incorporation confirming the new name. The company’s shares will begin trading under the Trafalgar Mine...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Trafalgar Property Group Rebrands as Trafalgar Minerals in Pivot to Mining
Positive
Jul 23, 2026
Trafalgar Property Group PLC is rebranding as Trafalgar Minerals PLC, marking a decisive shift from its former property-focused operations to a new strategic emphasis on mining and natural resources. Following the disposal of its property subsidia...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.