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Shearwater (SWG) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SWG

Shearwater

(LSE:SWG)

Select Model
Rating:55Neutral
Price Target:GBX 67.00â–²(2.29% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/30/26

The score is driven primarily by improving operating trends and a strong, low-leverage balance sheet, offset by continued lack of profitability (negative P/E) and only mixed near-term technical signals (below the 20-day average with neutral RSI).

Positive Factors
Revenue reboundThe sharp latest-period revenue rebound indicates stronger commercial traction and renewed demand across the business. If retained, this larger revenue base can improve operating leverage, support investment in cybersecurity capabilities, and strengthen Shearwater’s competitive position over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Continued lossesShearwater has not yet demonstrated consistently positive profitability, despite the strong revenue rebound. Continued EBIT and net losses limit internally generated capital, weaken returns on the company’s asset base, and leave execution of the growth strategy dependent on achieving further operating improvement.

Shearwater (SWG) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-50%-40%-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:SWG+4.80%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 15.61M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
71.00K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-39.7
Beta (1Y)
0.58
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
UK
Employees
90
Sector
Technology
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Information Technology Services

Shearwater Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Shearwater Group plc offers operational resilience capabilities to clients across the United Kingdom, Europe, North America, and other international markets. The company's operations are structured into two distinct divisions: Software and Services....

Shearwater Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong recent revenue rebound (+~202% in 2026) and a very low-debt, well-capitalized balance sheet support stability, but profitability remains weak (EBIT still slightly negative and net income still a small loss) and cash flow has been historically volatile despite recent positive operating and free cash flow.

Income Statement

44Neutral

Balance Sheet

78Positive

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMJun 2026Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.00M42.31M31.64M22.64M26.69M35.88M
Gross Profit1.50M5.71M4.18M3.32M3.32M7.41M
EBITDA02.48M-7.21M320.00K-6.42M4.46M
Net Income-1.00M-394.00K-9.57M-2.17M-8.18M-292.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets52.80M66.21M53.23M62.23M69.70M78.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.20M5.60M5.06M4.97M3.96M5.58M
Total Debt100.00K226.00K267.00K378.00K321.00K206.00K
Total Liabilities20.10M32.82M19.50M16.25M21.58M22.40M
Stockholders Equity32.70M33.39M33.73M45.98M48.12M56.21M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.30M1.80M1.62M1.23M-1.41M-1.60M
Operating Cash Flow-2.30M1.82M1.64M2.30M-74.00K-456.00K
Investing Cash Flow-500.00K-1.10M-1.37M-1.07M-1.34M-1.15M
Financing Cash Flow-100.00K-187.00K-185.00K-216.00K-200.00K-872.00K

Shearwater Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price65.50

Price Trends

50DMA62.46Positive
100DMA55.18Positive
200DMA48.20Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.19Positive
RSI47.14Neutral
STOCH19.44Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SWG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 65.50 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 68.58, above the 50-day MA of 62.46, and above the 200-day MA of 48.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.44 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SWG.

Shearwater Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:SWG against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:SYSGB:SYS65NeutralGBP 29.72M-16.06-8.35%―7.66%8.26%
GB:CNSGB:CNS63NeutralGBP 78.11M32.9316.07%―24.53%―
Sector *61Neutral$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
GB:BGOGB:BGO57NeutralGBP 59.72M-15.74-23.16%―-6.58%-85.28%
GB:SWGGB:SWG55NeutralGBP 15.61M-39.70-1.17%―――
GB:PCIPGB:PCIP55NeutralGBP 53.30M-118.5531.19%―17.23%29.17%
GB:IOMGB:IOM37UnderperformGBP 13.40M-1.45-16.28%―7.96%83.46%

* Technology Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%GB:SWGGB:BGOGB:CNSGB:IOMGB:PCIPGB:SYSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:SWG and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:SWGShearwater Group plc65.503.004.80%
GB:BGOBango plc77.50-21.00-21.32%
GB:CNSCorero Network Security15.256.5074.29%
GB:IOMIomart Group plc11.80-12.70-51.84%
GB:PCIPPCI PAL73.5029.5067.05%
GB:SYSSysGroup plc35.5018.00102.86%

Shearwater Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy

Shearwater’s Brookcourt wins £1.7m UK government cyber threat intelligence contract

Positive
Oct 20, 2026

Shearwater’s subsidiary Brookcourt Solutions has secured a £1.7 million, two-year advanced threat intelligence contract with an existing UK central government department, replacing and expanding a previous agreement. The deal, awarded via...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Shearwater to unveil 2026 results with investor presentation on AIM

Positive
Oct 15, 2026

Shearwater Group PLC will release its results for the year ended 30 June 2026 on 27 October 2026, underscoring a key update for investors in the cybersecurity and managed security services sector. The company’s leadership aims to showcase its p...

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings

Shearwater Wins Shareholder Backing for Capital Restructuring

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

Shearwater Group plc, the AIM-listed cybersecurity advisory and managed security services provider, operates a comprehensive suite of solutions spanning identity and access management, data protection, cyber defence, managed security operations and g...

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings

Shearwater Seeks Capital Reduction to Restore Dividend Capacity

Positive
Sep 25, 2026

Shearwater Group plc has called a general meeting on 13 October 2026 to seek shareholder approval for a court‑sanctioned reduction of capital, including the cancellation of all deferred shares and the company’s share premium account. The...

Business Operations and Strategy

Shearwater expands UK public sector reach with enlarged G-Cloud 15 cybersecurity portfolio

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

Shearwater Group has expanded its presence on the UK government’s G-Cloud 15 framework through its subsidiaries Brookcourt Solutions and Pentest Limited, securing approvals for a wider array of cloud-based cybersecurity solutions and services....

Business Operations and Strategy

Shearwater Group Updates Registered Office in Central London

Neutral
Jul 31, 2026

Shearwater Group plc, a London-listed cybersecurity and managed security services provider, has announced a change to its registered office address, effective 1 August 2026, moving from Great James Street to 1 Chancery Lane in central London. The shi...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 29, 2026