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Supreme PLC (SUP) AI Stock Analysis

GB:SUP

Supreme PLC

(LSE:SUP)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:GBX 150.00â–²(14.50% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/03/26

The score is driven primarily by solid financial fundamentals (strong growth history, improved low-leverage balance sheet, and supportive free cash flow) and an attractive valuation (low P/E and ~4% dividend yield). These positives are partially offset by weak technicals with the price below major moving averages and negative momentum signals, despite oversold readings.

Positive Factors
Sustained Revenue ExpansionSupreme has more than doubled revenue over the measured period and continued growing in the latest year. This indicates expanding scale across its distribution and branded-product activities, supporting stronger customer reach, operating leverage, and reinvestment capacity over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Recent Margin CompressionThe latest year’s broad deterioration in gross, EBIT, EBITDA, and net margins shows that higher sales are currently producing less profit per pound of revenue. If sustained, this pressure could limit earnings growth, reduce operating leverage, and weaken the cash available for strategic investment.

Supreme PLC (SUP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-30%-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:SUP-21.96%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 153.69M
Dividend Yield
4.12%
Average Volume (3M)
94.62K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
8.5
Beta (1Y)
0.08
Revenue Growth
16.93%
EPS Growth
-23.48%
Country
UK
Employees
484
Sector
Industrials
Sector Strength
63
Industry
Electrical Equipment & Parts

Supreme PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Supreme Plc operates as a prominent supplier and distributor of a diverse array of consumer products throughout the United Kingdom. Its activities are structured across five core divisions: Batteries, Lighting, Vaping, Sports & Nutrition, and Consume...

How the Company Makes Money

Supreme PLC generates revenue primarily by selling consumer products into the retail channel in the UK through a combination of (1) distribution of third-party brands and (2) sales of its own branded products. A significant portion of sales has histo...

Supreme PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong multi-year revenue growth and a strengthened, low-leverage balance sheet support the score. Cash flow is solid with robust free cash flow and decent conversion vs net income, but the latest year shows notable margin compression (gross, EBIT/EBITDA, and net), which is the key risk tempering the rating.

Income Statement

73Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

79Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue270.21M270.21M231.08M221.25M130.79M155.61M
Gross Profit67.69M67.69M73.68M63.53M35.58M37.74M
EBITDA39.60M39.94M40.90M37.42M19.39M18.59M
Net Income18.04M18.04M23.46M22.43M13.75M11.97M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets164.87M164.87M134.59M106.77M59.02M91.16M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.51M7.51M3.18M11.63M3.93M7.54M
Total Debt14.95M14.95M15.45M14.72M7.96M19.32M
Total Liabilities75.11M75.11M58.14M48.80M26.71M51.20M
Stockholders Equity89.22M89.22M76.30M57.98M32.31M39.96M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow26.03M26.03M21.89M21.63M8.74M17.25M
Operating Cash Flow32.01M32.01M25.09M27.07M11.49M18.52M
Investing Cash Flow-17.92M-17.92M-27.34M-11.28M-3.41M-7.58M
Financing Cash Flow-10.23M-10.23M-6.14M-10.95M-11.62M-7.43M

Supreme PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price131.00

Price Trends

50DMA138.86Negative
100DMA139.24Negative
200DMA140.72Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-1.73Positive
RSI31.65Neutral
STOCH39.31Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SUP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 131.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.07, below the 50-day MA of 138.86, and below the 200-day MA of 140.72, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.73 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 31.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 39.31 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:SUP.

Supreme PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)

Financial Indicators

GB:SUP against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:TFWGB:TFW76OutperformGBP 279.03M10.4414.19%2.88%-1.30%10.28%
GB:SUPGB:SUP75OutperformGBP 153.69M8.5221.11%4.12%16.93%-23.48%
GB:LUCEGB:LUCE74OutperformGBP 305.94M15.0719.62%3.17%11.48%46.33%
GB:VLXGB:VLX67NeutralGBP 1.02B21.5015.29%0.85%8.85%29.67%
Sector *63Neutral$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
GB:XPPGB:XPP55NeutralGBP 484.60M-55.06-4.89%―-1.21%46.27%
GB:DIAGB:DIA49NeutralGBP 222.06M741.630.86%―-13.43%―

* Industrials Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%100%GB:SUPGB:DIAGB:LUCEGB:TFWGB:VLXGB:XPPDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:SUP and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:SUPSupreme PLC131.00-36.86-21.96%
GB:DIADialight plc554.00296.00114.73%
GB:LUCELuceco plc198.5067.9052.00%
GB:TFWFW Thorpe Plc249.00-41.09-14.16%
GB:VLXVolex plc562.00187.1749.94%
GB:XPPXP Power1730.00702.0068.29%

Supreme PLC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings

Supreme plc shareholders back all AGM resolutions and approve dividend

Positive
Sep 17, 2026

Supreme plc reported that all resolutions proposed at its Annual General Meeting on 17 September 2026 were duly passed by shareholders, underscoring broad investor support for management and governance. Ordinary resolutions covered the adoption of th...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Supreme plc posts record revenue and prepares for UK vaping tax

Positive
Sep 17, 2026

Supreme plc reported a record year for the 12 months to 31 March 2026, with revenue rising 17% to £270.2 million and adjusted EBITDA holding steady at £40.6 million, supported by the successful integration of recent acquisitions and strong...

Business Operations and Strategy

Supreme PLC Names Shore Capital as Sole Broker

Positive
Aug 19, 2026

Supreme PLC has appointed Shore Capital as its Sole Broker with effect from 19 August 2026, while Shore Capital continues in its role as Nominated Adviser to the company. The move consolidates the firm’s advisory and broking relationships, pote...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Supreme PLC Publishes 2026 Annual Report and Sets AGM Date

Positive
Aug 18, 2026

Supreme PLC has published its Annual Report and Accounts for the year ended 31 March 2026, together with the notice of its 2026 Annual General Meeting, on its investor website for shareholders and market participants. Printed copies of the report, AG...

Business Operations and Strategy

Supreme CEO Sandy Chadha Lifts Majority Stake with £659k Share Purchase

Positive
Jul 21, 2026

Supreme PLC has disclosed that Chief Executive Officer Sandy Chadha purchased 500,000 ordinary shares at 131.811p each via his wholly owned vehicle SC8 Limited on 20 July 2026. Following this transaction, Chadha’s holding has risen to 64,166,84...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Supreme awards new share options to executives under 2024 incentive plan

Positive
Jul 9, 2026

Supreme plc has granted new share options under its 2024 incentive plan to chief executive Sandy Chadha and chief finance officer Suzanne Smith, covering 149,999 and 80,768 shares respectively at an exercise price of 10p, vesting in March 2028 subjec...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 03, 2026