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NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited (NESF) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:NESF

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited

(LSE:NESF)

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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:GBX 52.00â–²(10.17% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:09/24/26

The score is held back mainly by weakened financial performance driven by recent losses and a severe deterioration in reported revenue. Supporting the score are strong and improving cash generation, a cleaner balance sheet with zero reported debt in FY2026, and an attractive dividend yield, while technicals are neutral-to-mildly positive rather than strongly trending.

Positive Factors
Stable renewable cash-flow modelOwnership of operating solar assets gives NESF an established infrastructure-based business model tied to renewable electricity generation. Contracted revenue arrangements can improve cash-flow visibility and reduce dependence on short-term power-price movements, supporting durable income generation over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Severe revenue and profit deteriorationThe shift from strong profitability in FY2021–FY2023 to sustained and worsening losses weakens earnings quality and reduces visibility into future returns. The sharp revenue deterioration is particularly concerning because it suggests that reported earnings power has materially declined, even though the assets continue generating cash.

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited (NESF) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:NESF-6.26%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 271.49M
Dividend Yield
17.16%
Average Volume (3M)
1.24M
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.4
Beta (1Y)
0.45
Revenue Growth
―
EPS Growth
―
Country
UK
Employees
―
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Asset Management

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited concentrates its investments on operational solar photovoltaic (PV) facilities. While its primary objective is to acquire existing, revenue-generating solar projects, the fund also considers opportunities in assets under...

How the Company Makes Money

NESF makes money by owning solar PV projects that generate electricity and monetising the output and associated contractual and policy-linked cash flows. Its key revenue streams typically include: (1) Electricity sales: solar farms produce power that...

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are mixed: the income statement is the main weakness with materially deteriorating profitability and revenue (including sustained losses and a sharp revenue collapse into negative revenue in FY2026). Offsetting this, cash flow is strong and improving (positive and rising operating/free cash flow into FY2026), and the balance sheet improved with leverage reduced to zero debt in FY2026 and a meaningful equity base, though continued losses are pressuring book value.

Income Statement

28Negative

Balance Sheet

62Positive

Cash Flow

76Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue33.27M-48.91M1.06M3.58M138.68M60.20M
Gross Profit29.54M-48.91M1.06M3.58M133.63M54.37M
EBITDA-51.47M-60.90M-10.72M0137.14M57.95M
Net Income-61.04M-61.04M-10.86M-8.36M127.55M48.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets638.80M638.80M748.62M819.61M878.34M875.23M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments25.10M25.10M3.22M8.86M19.61M14.35M
Total Debt198.61M198.61M198.47M198.34M198.06M198.20M
Total Liabilities201.29M201.29M201.25M200.99M209.84M2.34M
Stockholders Equity437.51M437.51M547.37M618.62M668.50M674.42M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow41.03M80.20M64.24M51.46M58.14M46.44M
Operating Cash Flow41.03M80.20M64.24M51.46M58.14M46.44M
Investing Cash Flow34.38M0006.86M-26.10M
Financing Cash Flow-53.54M-58.33M-69.89M-56.94M-49.34M-51.90M

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price47.20

Price Trends

50DMA48.68Negative
100DMA47.79Negative
200DMA45.94Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.17Negative
RSI43.47Neutral
STOCH59.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:NESF, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 47.20 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 47.97, below the 50-day MA of 48.68, and above the 200-day MA of 45.94, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:NESF.

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

GB:NESF against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
GB:NESFGB:NESF62NeutralGBP 271.49M-4.45-12.87%17.16%――

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-15%-10%-5%0%GB:NESFDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:NESF and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:NESFNextEnergy Solar Fund Limited47.20-3.07-6.10%

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsShareholder Meetings

NextEnergy Solar Fund Investors Back Continuation and Strategy at AGM

Positive
Sep 4, 2026

NextEnergy Solar Fund’s shareholders strongly backed the board at the 4 September Annual General Meeting, approving all ordinary and special resolutions, including director elections, dividend mechanics, auditor reappointment and authorities to...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings

NextEnergy Solar Fund Board Urges Support for Continuation and Expanded Storage Strategy at 2026 AGM

Positive
Aug 7, 2026

NextEnergy Solar Fund has published its circular and convened its annual general meeting for 4 September 2026 in Guernsey, offering shareholders both in-person and virtual participation, with AGM materials available via online channels and the UK Nat...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

NextEnergy Solar Fund declares first interim dividend aligned with seasonal solar cash flows

Positive
Aug 6, 2026

NextEnergy Solar Fund has declared a first interim dividend of 1.77p per share for the quarter to 30 June 2026, in line with its policy of distributing 75% of operating cash flows to ordinary shareholders. The board highlighted that the payout reflec...

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions

NextEnergy Solar Fund launches formal sale process to close valuation gap

Neutral
Jul 15, 2026

NextEnergy Solar Fund Limited has launched a formal sale process after prolonged frustration with its stock market valuation, where its shares have traded at a persistent discount to net asset value despite solid portfolio performance. The board, sup...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Sep 24, 2026