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Jubilee Metals Group (GB:JLP)
LSE:JLP
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Jubilee Metals Group (JLP) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:JLP

Jubilee Metals Group

(LSE:JLP)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
2.50 p
▲(0.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/09/26
The score is held back primarily by sharply weakened financial performance (2025 revenue and profitability collapse plus negative free cash flow) and bearish technical trends (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Valuation offers limited support due to the loss-driven negative P/E and no dividend yield data. Earnings call commentary provides partial offset via disposal cash receipts and operational initiatives, but deferred guidance and multiple near-term operational/financing risks keep confidence constrained.
Positive Factors
Asset-light circular processing model
Jubilee's focus on extracting value from tailings and secondary resources is a durable, lower-capex business model. It secures feed via partnerships, reduces reliance on greenfield mining, and offers margins from reprocessing previously uneconomic material, supporting steady long-term cash generation if recoveries hold.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue and profit collapse
The abrupt drop in scale and a multi‑million net loss signal structural volatility in feed, pricing or contract positions. Loss-making operations erode equity and investor optionality, constrain reinvestment, and make multi-month recovery dependent on restoring consistent feed and metal realisations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Asset-light circular processing model
Jubilee's focus on extracting value from tailings and secondary resources is a durable, lower-capex business model. It secures feed via partnerships, reduces reliance on greenfield mining, and offers margins from reprocessing previously uneconomic material, supporting steady long-term cash generation if recoveries hold.
Read all positive factors

Jubilee Metals Group (JLP) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Jubilee Metals Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Jubilee Metals Group PLC is a multi-faceted enterprise focused on the processing and recovery of various metals. Its operations are structured across four main divisions: Metals Processing, Business Development, Exploration, and Corporate function...
How the Company Makes Money
Jubilee Metals Group makes money by processing metal-bearing materials (often from tailings, waste dumps, run-of-mine and third‑party feed) into saleable metal products and then selling those products into commodity markets under typical offtake/r...

Jubilee Metals Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 31, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mix of operational and financial positives — timely receipt of sale consideration, strong PGM pricing, improved Zambian revenue/profits, imminent centrifuge CapEx, and reduced financing burden following the South African disposal — balanced against clear near-term risks: a $4.5m net loss in South African operations, currency-driven cost pressure, sulfuric acid supply risks, rising diesel/transport costs, production shortfalls due to weather, accounting restatements that reduce comparability, and a required refinancing of Zambian liabilities. Management is addressing several issues (closer supplier engagement, procurement ideas, refinancing discussions, and upcoming project presentations), but material uncertainties remain, and guidance has been deferred until more certainty is achieved.
Positive Updates
Going Concern and Audit Sign-Off
Auditors and the Board signed a going-concern for the year to 30 June 2025; management states Jubilee Metals is a going concern (audit opinion unchanged through the 12-month window to Dec 2026).
Negative Updates
South African Ops: Net Loss in Reporting Period
Combined PGMs and Chrome produced a net loss of $4.5 million for the six months, materially below South African management expectations.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Going Concern and Audit Sign-Off
Auditors and the Board signed a going-concern for the year to 30 June 2025; management states Jubilee Metals is a going concern (audit opinion unchanged through the 12-month window to Dec 2026).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management declined to give firm numeric guidance, citing post‑balance‑sheet uncertainties—sulfuric acid supply issues, rising diesel costs, the Roan centrifuge due to come online this month (March 2026) and be tested/ramped in the following weeks, and potential gremlins from the Molefe mine plan and seasonal rains—and said it will wait for more certainty and report within the next six‑month update. Metrics referenced on the call include the One Chrome disposal consideration of about $90m (of which $25m has been received and a present‑value adjustment/provision of ~$12–13m), a six‑month net loss of $4.5m from South African PGMs and chrome, typical PGM realisations of roughly 75–77%, prior South African net assets of ~ $90m with c.$56m of finance (c.$40m trade finance + c.$16m bank loan) implying an enterprise value of c.$146m, and the note that diesel prices increase quarterly and rose again recently.

Jubilee Metals Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals weakened materially: the income statement shows a sharp 2025 revenue collapse and a deep net loss, overwhelming earlier multi-year profitability. The balance sheet remains only moderately levered (debt-to-equity ~0.23) but losses eroded equity and flexibility. Cash flow is mixed—operating cash flow stayed positive (~9.3m) but free cash flow remained negative (~-9.9m) with a history of volatility.
Income Statement
18
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
43
Neutral
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue-120.06M16.09M259.98M141.93M140.01M132.85M
Gross Profit-18.90M-4.99M45.54M22.76M35.29M69.31M
EBITDA-25.77M-9.45M37.61M26.40M38.18M48.61M
Net Income-45.27M-32.14M5.99M12.91M18.04M39.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets351.27M409.38M523.95M300.14M293.62M194.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.14M4.56M24.46M12.60M16.72M19.64M
Total Debt25.49M54.13M39.55M14.20M8.83M9.34M
Total Liabilities102.29M164.91M196.18M95.48M86.07M58.12M
Stockholders Equity245.02M239.33M322.08M201.45M203.85M133.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.56M-13.57M-26.87M-11.91M-21.11M3.98M
Operating Cash Flow21.34M12.73M22.32M31.01M31.01M23.79M
Investing Cash Flow-8.85M-33.72M-50.47M-43.88M-64.62M-19.82M
Financing Cash Flow-22.48M-9.17M32.71M9.97M28.18M1.12M

Jubilee Metals Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.50
Price Trends
50DMA
2.52
Negative
100DMA
2.64
Negative
200DMA
3.18
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Positive
RSI
39.89
Neutral
STOCH
21.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:JLP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.53, below the 50-day MA of 2.52, and below the 200-day MA of 3.18, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:JLP.

Jubilee Metals Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$10.43B7.12-0.05%2.87%2.86%-36.73%
58
Neutral
£165.06M-29.16-67.90%-37.29%
50
Neutral
£57.04M-28.00-5.37%-135.71%
49
Neutral
£63.67M-10.89-6.97%
46
Neutral
£79.46M-2.15-18.64%
46
Neutral
£71.61M-16.78-301.91%0.00%25.00%
45
Neutral
£118.62M-31.72-13.48%-2.08%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:JLP
Jubilee Metals Group
2.35
-0.69
-22.70%
GB:ARS
Asiamet Resources
2.11
1.11
111.00%
GB:ALL
Atlantic Lithium
14.80
5.10
52.58%
GB:KOD
Kodal Minerals
0.28
-0.05
-15.15%
GB:RBW
Rainbow Rare Earths
23.50
7.50
46.88%
GB:1SN
First Tin Plc
11.75
5.60
91.06%

Jubilee Metals Group Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Jubilee Metals Issues New Shares After Employee Option Exercise
Neutral
Jun 19, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group has issued 7,540,000 new ordinary shares following the exercise of all remaining share options held by an employee, with the options carrying a total strike price of £0.08 million. The new shares, granted under the compan...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Jubilee Metals Wins Share Allotment Approval but Fails to Secure Pre‑Emption Waiver
Negative
Jun 15, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group reported the results of its general meeting held on 15 June 2026, where shareholders approved an ordinary resolution granting directors authority to allot new shares and related rights, with 91.15% of votes cast in favour. How...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Jubilee Metals Moves London Registered Office as It Pursues Zambian Copper Growth
Positive
Jun 11, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group is an integrated copper producer and resource developer listed on AIM and the Altx of the JSE, focused on building a large-scale copper business in Zambia. The company plans to reach 25,000 tonnes of copper per year by combini...
Business Operations and Strategy
Jubilee Metals ramps up Molefe Mine as cornerstone of Zambia copper push
Positive
Jun 9, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group has restarted run-of-mine deliveries from its Molefe Mine to the Sable refinery in Zambia, marking a key step in its integrated copper growth plan. Management says Molefe is evolving into a cornerstone asset that validates its...
Business Operations and Strategy
Jubilee Metals restores full Roan output after upgrade-driven shutdown
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group has completed the annual maintenance shutdown at its Roan concentrator in Zambia and resumed operations at full capacity, targeting a run-of-mine throughput of 30,000 tonnes per month. The plant, which processes third-party or...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder Meetings
Jubilee Metals Seeks Fresh Share Issuance Mandate to Drive Zambian Copper Expansion
Positive
May 29, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group has called a general meeting to seek renewed authority to allot and issue shares and to dis-apply pre-emption rights on up to 7.5% of its issued share capital, aiming to give the board flexibility to fund its Zambian copper gr...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Jubilee Metals Secures Strategic Convertible Funding to Accelerate Zambian Copper Growth
Positive
May 28, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group has secured a US$1.5 million unsecured convertible loan note from an investor with a strong copper track record to accelerate development of the greater Molefe region in Zambia. The funding supports Jubilee’s strategy to...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Jubilee Metals lifts copper output as Roan expansion and Molefe mine ramp-up advance
Positive
May 6, 2026
Jubilee Metals Group reported a 28.7% increase in total saleable copper production to 2,177 tonnes for the nine months to 31 March 2026, driven by a more than doubling of Roan output and higher cathode production at the Sable Refinery, alongside a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 09, 2026