Heavitree Brewery (HVTA) AI Stock Analysis

Heavitree Brewery

(LSE:HVTA)

Select Model

Rating:77Outperform

Price Target:GBX 233.00▲(17.97% Upside)

Action:reiterated

Date:08/21/26

The score is primarily supported by robust financial performance and attractive valuation, with technical analysis providing a neutral to slightly positive outlook due to oversold indicators.

Positive Factors

Strong ProfitabilityHigh gross and net margins indicate strong operating economics for a restaurant operator. The 2025 revenue rebound also suggests renewed customer demand and provides a stronger base for sustaining earnings over the next several months.

Negative Factors

Weak Reported GrowthThe sharply negative reported growth metrics indicate that earnings momentum has not been consistently established, despite the separate 2025 rebound. This inconsistency raises risk that recent improvement may be uneven or difficult to sustain.

Heavitree Brewery (HVTA) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Market Cap: GBP 10.85M
Dividend Yield: 3.34%
Average Volume (3M): 2,374
Price to Earnings (P/E): 5.1
Beta (1Y): 0.11
Revenue Growth: -0.62%
EPS Growth: -0.62%
Country: UK
Employees: 15
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength: 61
Industry: Restaurants

Heavitree Brewery Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Heavitree Brewery PLC primarily manages and expands a portfolio of leased and tenanted properties across England. This includes 65 public houses, which it leases or rents out. Beyond its UK operations, the company also holds freehold land in the...

Heavitree Brewery Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong revenue growth of 30.1% and improved net profit margin to 34.4%, combined with a debt-free balance sheet, though offset by declining free cash flow.

Income Statement

85Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

65Positive

Financial statement breakdown
Breakdown	TTM	Oct 2025	Oct 2024	Oct 2023	Oct 2022	Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue	7.57M	7.63M	7.50M	7.35M	7.28M	4.62M
Gross Profit	2.71M	2.80M	2.79M	2.64M	2.82M	1.36M
EBITDA	2.42M	1.55M	1.98M	2.28M	2.62M	1.44M
Net Income	1.85M	2.62M	1.32M	1.50M	1.97M	801.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	24.31M	24.06M	22.57M	21.33M	20.52M	20.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.84M	2.31M	754.00K	373.00K	788.00K	52.00K
Total Debt	1.68M	1.62M	2.44M	2.20M	2.41M	5.22M
Total Liabilities	4.73M	4.31M	5.04M	4.75M	5.10M	7.46M
Stockholders Equity	19.58M	19.75M	17.54M	16.58M	15.43M	13.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	693.00K	539.00K	172.00K	-993.00K	1.50M	-716.00K
Operating Cash Flow	1.50M	1.37M	1.31M	781.00K	1.93M	-243.00K
Investing Cash Flow	134.00K	1.34M	-740.00K	-572.00K	1.61M	938.00K
Financing Cash Flow	-1.07M	-1.16M	-161.00K	-624.00K	-2.00M	-218.00K

Heavitree Brewery Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive

Last Price197.50

Price Trends

50DMA197.90Negative

100DMA207.79Negative

200DMA189.80Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.38Negative

RSI54.69Neutral

STOCH88.64Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HVTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 197.50 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 194.63, below the 50-day MA of 197.90, and above the 200-day MA of 189.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:HVTA.

Heavitree Brewery Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:HVTA against its peers
Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GB:HVTA	77Outperform	GBP 10.60M	5.12	9.40%	3.34%	-0.62%	-0.62%
GB:MAB	72Outperform	GBP 1.91B	10.39	6.41%	―	2.96%	9.30%
GB:JDW	68Neutral	GBP 1.04B	18.63	17.99%	1.13%	5.19%	-3.45%
GB:MARS	64Neutral	GBP 357.26M	4.89	9.30%	―	-0.52%	68.53%
Sector *	61Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
GB:FSTA	59Neutral	GBP 422.04M	20.77	5.14%	2.62%	5.71%	-19.77%
GB:YNGA	56Neutral	GBP 611.81M	26.13	3.55%	2.08%	4.61%	186.38%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

GB:HVTA and its peers over the selected period
Ticker	Company Name	Price	Change	% Change
GB:HVTA	Heavitree Brewery (HVTA)	197.50	43.26	28.05%
GB:FSTA	Fuller Smith & Turner	810.00	210.37	35.08%
GB:MARS	Marston's (MARS)	56.10	9.70	20.91%
GB:MAB	Mitchells & Butlers	322.00	78.50	32.24%
GB:JDW	J D Wetherspoon	1062.00	424.78	66.66%
GB:YNGA	Young & Co'S Brewery	1176.00	422.93	56.16%

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026

Heavitree Brewery AI Stock Analysis