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Heavitree Brewery (HVTA) AI Stock Analysis

GB:HVTA

Heavitree Brewery

(LSE:HVTA)

Select Model
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:GBX 232.00â–²(17.47% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/20/26

The score is driven primarily by strong fundamentals (high profitability and a low-risk balance sheet) and very attractive valuation (low P/E with a dividend). These positives are tempered by weak technicals, with indicators showing heavy near-term downside momentum, and by cash-flow conversion concerns versus reported earnings.

Positive Factors
Strong ProfitabilityHigh gross and net margins indicate strong operating economics for a restaurant operator. The 2025 revenue rebound also suggests renewed customer demand and provides a stronger base for sustaining earnings over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Weak Reported GrowthThe sharply negative reported growth metrics indicate that earnings momentum has not been consistently established, despite the separate 2025 rebound. This inconsistency raises risk that recent improvement may be uneven or difficult to sustain.

Heavitree Brewery (HVTA) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%GB:HVTA+28.05%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 10.85M
Dividend Yield
3.34%
Average Volume (3M)
2,374
Price to Earnings (P/E)
5.1
Beta (1Y)
0.11
Revenue Growth
-0.62%
EPS Growth
-0.62%
Country
UK
Employees
15
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Restaurants

Heavitree Brewery Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

The Heavitree Brewery PLC primarily manages and expands a portfolio of leased and tenanted properties across England. This includes 65 public houses, which it leases or rents out. Beyond its UK operations, the company also holds freehold land in the...

Heavitree Brewery Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financials are strong overall: high profitability (notably strong gross and net margins), a very conservative balance sheet with zero reported debt and improving equity/ROE, and revenue rebounding meaningfully in 2025. The main offset is weaker cash-flow quality, with operating cash flow trailing net income and free cash flow covering only a minority of earnings, suggesting working-capital swings and/or higher ongoing investment needs.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

90Very Positive

Cash Flow

63Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMOct 2025Oct 2024Oct 2023Oct 2022Oct 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.57M7.63M7.50M7.35M7.28M4.62M
Gross Profit2.71M2.80M2.79M2.64M2.82M1.36M
EBITDA2.42M1.55M1.98M2.28M2.62M1.44M
Net Income1.85M2.62M1.32M1.50M1.97M801.00K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.31M24.06M22.57M21.33M20.52M20.93M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.84M2.31M754.00K373.00K788.00K52.00K
Total Debt1.68M1.62M2.44M2.20M2.41M5.22M
Total Liabilities4.73M4.31M5.04M4.75M5.10M7.46M
Stockholders Equity19.58M19.75M17.54M16.58M15.43M13.46M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow693.00K539.00K172.00K-993.00K1.50M-716.00K
Operating Cash Flow1.50M1.37M1.31M781.00K1.93M-243.00K
Investing Cash Flow134.00K1.34M-740.00K-572.00K1.61M938.00K
Financing Cash Flow-1.07M-1.16M-161.00K-624.00K-2.00M-218.00K

Heavitree Brewery Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price197.50

Price Trends

50DMA197.90Negative
100DMA207.79Negative
200DMA189.80Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-2.38Negative
RSI54.69Neutral
STOCH88.64Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:HVTA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 197.50 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 194.63, below the 50-day MA of 197.90, and above the 200-day MA of 189.80, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.38 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.69 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.64 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:HVTA.

Heavitree Brewery Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:HVTA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:HVTAGB:HVTA76OutperformGBP 10.60M5.129.40%3.34%-0.62%-0.62%
GB:MABGB:MAB69NeutralGBP 1.91B10.396.41%―2.96%9.30%
GB:JDWGB:JDW67NeutralGBP 1.04B18.6317.99%1.13%5.19%-3.45%
GB:MARSGB:MARS64NeutralGBP 357.26M4.899.30%―-0.52%68.53%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GB:FSTAGB:FSTA59NeutralGBP 422.04M20.775.14%2.62%5.71%-19.77%
GB:YNGAGB:YNGA56NeutralGBP 611.81M26.133.55%2.08%4.61%186.38%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%20%40%60%GB:HVTAGB:FSTAGB:MARSGB:MABGB:JDWGB:YNGADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:HVTA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:HVTAHeavitree Brewery (HVTA)197.5043.2628.05%
GB:FSTAFuller Smith & Turner810.00210.3735.08%
GB:MARSMarston's (MARS)56.109.7020.91%
GB:MABMitchells & Butlers322.0078.5032.24%
GB:JDWJ D Wetherspoon1062.00424.7866.66%
GB:YNGAYoung & Co'S Brewery1176.00422.9356.16%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 20, 2026