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The Gym (GB:GYM)
:GYM
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The Gym (GYM) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:GYM

The Gym

(LSE:GYM)

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Neutral 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
161.00p
▲(6.76% Upside)
The Gym's strong financial recovery and positive earnings call sentiment are the most significant factors driving the score. However, high leverage and valuation concerns, along with neutral technical indicators, moderate the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The Gym's consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing its competitive position.
Debt Reduction
Reducing debt levels improves financial stability and flexibility, enabling The Gym to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.
Market Trends
Positive market trends and increased consumer engagement suggest a growing customer base, supporting long-term revenue and membership growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage poses risks to financial health, potentially limiting The Gym's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns effectively.
Central Costs Growth
Rising central costs can pressure margins and reduce profitability, necessitating effective cost management to maintain financial performance.
Inflationary Pressures
Inflationary pressures on site costs could erode margins and impact profitability, requiring strategic adjustments to pricing and cost structures.

The Gym (GYM) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

The Gym Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Gym Group plc operates a chain of health and fitness facilities in the United Kingdom. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 202 gym sites under The Gym Group brand. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Croydon, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Gym generates revenue primarily through membership fees, which can be structured as monthly subscriptions, annual contracts, or pay-per-visit options. Additionally, the company earns income from personal training sessions and specialized fitness classes, which often carry extra fees beyond the standard membership. Merchandise sales, including fitness apparel and supplements, also contribute to the revenue stream. The Gym may engage in partnerships with health-related brands for promotions and sponsorships, which can provide additional financial support. Seasonal promotions and referral programs help drive membership growth and retention, further bolstering the company's earnings.

The Gym Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 10, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong growth in revenue, EBITDA, and membership, with effective cost management and debt reduction. However, there are some concerns regarding central cost growth and anticipated inflationary pressures on site costs. The sentiment remains largely positive due to the significant achievements and strategic advancements.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue and Membership Growth
Closing membership up 5%, revenue for the period up 8%, and average revenue per member month increased by 4%.
EBITDA and Profit Growth
EBITDA less normalized rent was up 24% year-on-year, with statutory profit before tax increasing by GBP 3.1 million.
Debt Reduction
Net debt reduced by GBP 10.1 million to GBP 51.2 million, lowering the net debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio to 1x.
Successful New Site Openings
On track to increase openings to 14 to 16 in 2025, with new sites expected to deliver a 30% ROIC.
Positive Market Trends and Consumer Engagement
Gym penetration reached new highs, with Gen Z prioritizing fitness and showing strong engagement in gym activities.
Negative Updates
Central Costs Growth
Central costs grew by 7%, with expectations for growth rate to slow in the second half.
Inflationary Pressures on Site Costs
Site cost inflation expected to return in the second half, influenced by electricity cost increases and wage pressures.
Pilot Programs and Uncertainty
Pilot programs in B2B2C channels are at an early stage, with outcomes yet to be determined.
Company Guidance
The guidance provided during the Gym Group's half-year results call for 2025 highlighted several key financial and operational metrics. The company reported a 5% increase in closing membership and an 8% rise in revenue, with a 3% growth on a like-for-like basis. EBITDA, less normalized rent, saw a significant increase of 24%, reflecting strong cost management. Average members in the first half reached 953,000, up 4% year-on-year, with an average revenue per member month of GBP 21.16. The company achieved a free cash flow of GBP 25.1 million, allowing a net debt reduction to GBP 51.2 million and a net debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio of 1x. The Gym Group plans to open 14 to 16 new sites in 2025, aligning with its strategy to launch approximately 50 new sites over three years. The company also emphasized the ongoing structural growth of the gym market, with gym penetration rates hitting new highs, and expressed confidence in further progress on mature site ROIC, which will be detailed in the full-year results.

The Gym Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Gym has shown impressive financial recovery with a 10.98% revenue increase and improved profitability. However, high leverage and debt levels pose risks, requiring careful management.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The Gym has demonstrated a strong recovery with a significant increase in revenue from 2023 to 2024, growing by 10.98%. Gross profit margin remains robust, and the company has improved its net income position from a loss to a profit. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, indicating operational efficiency. However, historical volatility in net income highlights some underlying risks.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage, which poses potential risks. The equity ratio is moderate, reflecting an average reliance on equity financing. Return on equity has improved as the company returned to profitability, but the high level of total debt warrants caution.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The Gym's cash flow is strong with substantial operating cash flow growth and positive free cash flow. The free cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, highlighting effective cash conversion. However, fluctuations in capital expenditures and high debt levels may impact future cash flow stability.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue226.30M204.00M172.90M106.00M80.47M
Gross Profit223.40M201.20M111.40M51.60M29.42M
EBITDA83.40M70.80M56.20M25.10M16.29M
Net Income4.40M-8.40M-19.30M-35.40M-36.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets585.60M571.50M595.60M564.70M532.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.00M1.50M5.40M7.30M3.74M
Total Debt401.80M398.10M420.40M380.60M355.50M
Total Liabilities454.00M443.50M461.60M412.60M378.04M
Stockholders Equity131.60M128.00M134.00M152.10M154.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.10M55.80M19.40M11.40M-15.79M
Operating Cash Flow95.10M79.50M63.10M37.10M13.46M
Investing Cash Flow-39.50M-23.40M-48.70M-25.70M-30.21M
Financing Cash Flow-54.10M-60.00M-16.30M-7.80M17.89M

The Gym Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price150.80
Price Trends
50DMA
145.94
Positive
100DMA
147.36
Positive
200DMA
143.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.27
Negative
RSI
58.57
Neutral
STOCH
77.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GYM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 150.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 144.03, above the 50-day MA of 145.94, and above the 200-day MA of 143.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.27 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.57 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GYM.

The Gym Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
421.39M15.1819.65%4.82%7.46%-18.88%
70
Neutral
£265.78M35.405.72%8.74%
64
Neutral
452.64M36.381.27%4.02%24.95%-16.86%
64
Neutral
738.04M13.270.00%2.16%3.70%57.10%
63
Neutral
452.64M52.411.27%2.79%24.95%-16.86%
59
Neutral
563.80M54.157.27%9.45%-57.24%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:GYM
The Gym
150.80
-8.20
-5.16%
GB:BOWL
Hollywood Bowl
252.50
-43.90
-14.81%
GB:JDW
J D Wetherspoon
692.50
-11.90
-1.69%
GB:YNGA
Young & Co'S Brewery
827.00
-67.31
-7.53%
GB:YNGN
Young & Co'S Brewery
574.00
-23.28
-3.90%
GB:AO
AO World
99.10
-7.50
-7.04%

The Gym Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
The Gym Group Reports Strong Interim Results and Continued Growth
Positive
Sep 10, 2025

The Gym Group announced strong interim results for the first half of 2025, with an 8% increase in revenue and a 24% rise in Group Adjusted EBITDA Less Normalised Rent. The company’s strategic ‘Next Chapter’ growth plan is driving significant progress, with new site openings, enhanced member management, and targeted marketing efforts, particularly towards Gen Z. The company is on track to open 14-16 new sites this year, funded by free cash flow, and expects full-year results to meet the top end of market expectations. The Gym Group’s focus on pricing optimization and member engagement has resulted in increased membership and revenue, positioning it well for sustained growth in the competitive gym industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GYM) stock is a Hold with a £155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on The Gym stock, see the GB:GYM Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
The Gym Group Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Sep 1, 2025

The Gym Group PLC announced that as of August 31, 2025, its issued share capital consists of 179,353,179 ordinary shares, each with one vote, and holds no shares in treasury. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their interests in accordance with the UK’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GYM) stock is a Hold with a £153.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on The Gym stock, see the GB:GYM Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
The Gym Group PLC Announces Total Voting Rights Update
Neutral
Aug 4, 2025

The Gym Group PLC announced that as of July 31, 2025, its issued share capital consists of 179,343,858 ordinary shares, each carrying one vote. This information is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the UKLA’s Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rules, impacting how they manage their investments and interests in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GYM) stock is a Hold with a £1.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on The Gym stock, see the GB:GYM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Goldman Sachs Increases Stake in The Gym Group
Neutral
Jul 22, 2025

The Gym Group PLC has announced a significant change in its shareholder structure, with The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. acquiring a substantial voting interest. As of July 17, 2025, Goldman Sachs holds a 10.685137% voting interest in The Gym Group, marking a notable increase from their previous position. This shift in ownership could influence the company’s strategic direction and potentially impact its market positioning, given Goldman Sachs’ substantial influence and resources.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GYM) stock is a Hold with a £1.45 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on The Gym stock, see the GB:GYM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 11, 2025