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Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc (DFCH) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:DFCH

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc

(LSE:DFCH)

Select Model
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:GBX 80.00â–²(15.94% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The overall score is heavily bolstered by stellar financial performance and a deeply undervalued P/E profile, reflecting the company's successful transition to robust profitability and efficient asset growth. Secondary to these fundamental strengths, near-term technical indicators show mild bearish momentum, though long-term moving averages indicate ongoing support.

Positive Factors
Revenue and profit growthDFCH has expanded both revenue and net income materially over two years, indicating stronger scale and customer activity. The improvement in profitability and operating leverage can support reinvestment, strengthen the platform’s earnings base, and improve resilience over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Rapid asset and debt growthRapid balance-sheet expansion increases the amount of lending exposure that must be managed and funded. Although leverage remains modest, the rise in assets and debt could amplify losses or funding pressure if credit quality weakens, making disciplined growth important over the medium term.

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc (DFCH) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%GB:DFCH+36.63%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 113.78M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
318.34K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.2
Beta (1Y)
0.88
Revenue Growth
22.63%
EPS Growth
33.09%
Country
UK
Employees
155
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Financial - Credit Services

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc, an investment holding company established in Manchester, UK, in 2016, functions as a specialized bank delivering both personal savings products and commercial financing throughout the United Kingdom. For bus...

How the Company Makes Money

DFCH makes money primarily by earning interest income on loans and finance facilities it provides to business customers, especially inventory/stock (wholesale) finance that enables retailers and dealers to purchase goods from manufacturers and distri...

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings demonstrates outstanding financial growth, marked by rapid revenue expansion from 2020 to 2025 and a successful transition to robust profitability. The balance sheet maintains conservative corporate leverage despite rapid asset growth, and strong operating cash flows comfortably exceed net income, establishing a highly attractive financial profile.

Income Statement

92Very Positive

Balance Sheet

82Very Positive

Cash Flow

85Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue103.00M92.06M78.06M60.35M26.56M13.54M
Gross Profit62.01M54.68M47.36M27.05M19.48M12.97M
EBITDA28.20M22.90M20.00M5.45M4.15M-380.00K
Net Income18.51M15.16M14.02M3.15M9.76M-3.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B999.81M786.54M691.94M582.50M388.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments237.92M137.57M110.03M93.03M111.20M29.60M
Total Debt22.95M17.42M10.50M11.43M445.00K554.00K
Total Liabilities1.04B872.21M671.19M591.52M486.26M302.55M
Stockholders Equity137.77M127.23M115.35M100.41M96.24M86.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow23.49M20.19M8.18M-38.25M3.93M-1.78M
Operating Cash Flow26.91M23.83M9.20M-37.71M5.17M-945.00K
Investing Cash Flow-205.15M-185.40M14.16M8.29M-106.87M-180.06M
Financing Cash Flow319.13M189.57M-1.67M9.65M182.74M189.37M

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price69.00

Price Trends

50DMA72.44Negative
100DMA70.95Negative
200DMA65.13Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.77Positive
RSI20.09Positive
STOCH14.14Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:DFCH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 69.00 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 70.98, below the 50-day MA of 72.44, and above the 200-day MA of 65.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.09 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 14.14 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:DFCH.

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

GB:DFCH against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:TRUGB:TRU86OutperformGBP 46.13M27.793.62%0.88%-45.36%-57.96%
GB:TIMEGB:TIME79OutperformGBP 54.49M8.668.18%―3.69%6.25%
GB:DFCHGB:DFCH76OutperformGBP 113.78M6.1713.97%―22.63%33.09%
GB:FCHGB:FCH69NeutralGBP 688.65M12.0126.71%―52.96%242.50%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
GB:SUSGB:SUS61NeutralGBP 238.15M9.959.55%5.92%5.62%19.68%
GB:VANQGB:VANQ51NeutralGBP 111.60M10.262.20%―6.21%―

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%100%GB:DFCHGB:TIMEGB:VANQGB:SUSGB:FCHGB:TRUDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:DFCH and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:DFCHDistribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc69.0018.0035.29%
GB:TIMETime Finance plc58.908.9017.80%
GB:VANQVanquis Banking Group plc44.00-68.80-60.99%
GB:SUSS&U plc1960.00184.2510.38%
GB:FCHFunding Circle Holdings250.00126.60102.59%
GB:TRUTrufin Plc85.6029.2051.77%

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings Plc Corporate Events

Other

DF Capital CFO boosts stake with purchase of 20,621 shares

Positive
Oct 13, 2026

DF Capital has disclosed that its chief financial officer, Sameera Khaliq, purchased 20,621 ordinary shares in the company on 12 October 2026 on the London Stock Exchange at a price of £0.727 per share. The transaction, totalling £14,991.47, represen...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

DF Capital boosts loan growth and asset finance momentum in strong Q3

Positive
Oct 9, 2026

DF Capital reported a strong third quarter, with new loan origination rising 22% year-on-year to £561m and its loan book expanding to £929m, also up 22%, supported by stable portfolio quality and low arrears. The group noted controlled exposure to no...

Other

DF Capital Director Boosts Stake with London Stock Exchange Share Purchase

Positive
Sep 29, 2026

Independent specialist bank DF Capital, listed on AIM as DFCH, provides commercial finance to distributors and manufacturers in sectors including automotive, leisure and luxury, and offers savings products to consumers and small businesses. Establish...

Regulatory Filings and Compliance

DF Capital Updates Voting Rights After Treasury Share Transfer

Neutral
Sep 11, 2026

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc has transferred 400,000 ordinary shares out of treasury to satisfy exercises under its Performance Share Plan, reflecting ongoing utilisation of share-based incentives for employees or executives. Following t...

Business Operations and Strategy

DF Capital to Showcase Specialist Lending Model at MelloMonday Webinar

Positive
Sep 10, 2026

DF Capital has announced that it will participate in the investor-focused MelloMonday event on 14 September 2026 via a Zoom webinar, with senior executives Carl D’Ammassa and Sameera Khaliq scheduled to present and take questions from attendees. The...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

DF Capital posts strong H1 2026 growth as diversified lending franchise scales

Positive
Sep 10, 2026

Distribution Finance Capital Holdings plc reported another strong period of expansion for the six months to 30 June 2026, as it deepened its role as a specialist lender to UK manufacturers, dealers and distributors. The group’s multi‑product offering...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

DF Capital Schedules Half-Year 2026 Results and Investor Presentations

Positive
Sep 4, 2026

DF Capital plans to publish its half-year results for the six months to 30 June 2026 on 10 September 2026, underscoring a regular reporting rhythm that is important for transparency to the market. The announcement signals an opportunity for analysts...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026