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Carclo plc (CAR) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CAR

Carclo plc

(LSE:CAR)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:GBX 41.00â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:10/14/26

The score is held back primarily by financial risk: negative equity, meaningful debt, and uneven cash-flow conversion despite the return to profitability. Technicals are moderately supportive (price above key short-term averages and positive MACD), and valuation looks reasonable on P/E. Earnings-call commentary adds incremental support through clear turnaround progress and targets, but revenue contraction, pension cash commitments, and the absence of a dividend remain notable constraints.

Positive Factors
Improved profitability and capital returnsThe sharp improvement in operating margin and return on capital indicates that the turnaround is translating into more productive use of assets and stronger underlying economics. Sustaining these gains would improve earnings quality, support internal investment, and strengthen competitiveness over the next several quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative equity and elevated leverageNegative shareholders’ equity leaves Carclo with a thin financial buffer and makes the business more sensitive to earnings volatility. Although debt has fallen from earlier levels, sizable borrowings alongside negative equity preserve refinancing risk and restrict flexibility for acquisitions or downturns.

Carclo plc (CAR) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%GB:CAR-40.58%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 30.10M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
178.60K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
11.2
Beta (1Y)
1.04
Revenue Growth
-5.78%
EPS Growth
208.40%
Country
UK
Employees
907
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Sector Strength
61
Industry
Manufacturing - Miscellaneous

Carclo plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Carclo plc, along with its subsidiaries, operates as a global manufacturing entity primarily focused on producing and distributing high-precision, injection-molded plastic components. The company's business activities are structured into two key divi...

How the Company Makes Money

Carclo makes money primarily by supplying engineered products and manufacturing services to other businesses (B2B), rather than selling directly to consumers. Its revenue is generated mainly through: (1) contract manufacturing income—customers pay Ca...

Carclo plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2026(Q4-2026)|% Change Since:20.59%|Next Earnings Date:Jan 20, 2020
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call emphasized a successful multi-year turnaround: stronger margins, improved returns, better safety and sustainability metrics, robust Specialty growth and a completed refinancing that provides stability. Management set clear Precision 2030 targets and is already ahead on return metrics. Near-term headwinds include deliberate revenue reduction from portfolio exits, ongoing pension deficit contributions, net debt still above target (1.3x EBITDA), no dividend and mixed demand in parts of Life Sciences driven by a weak respiratory virus season. On balance, operational and financial improvements are substantial and management has a concrete plan to address remaining issues.

Positive Updates

Improved Profitability and Margins
Operating profit margin increased to 11% (management target >=10%), reflecting sustained margin improvement through self-help activities, improved materials management and better asset utilization.

Negative Updates

Reported Revenue Decline
Reported revenue fell year-on-year. Decline was largely deliberate due to portfolio exits and stopping lower-margin short-run business; FX translation reduced revenue by around GBP 2.6m and H1 FY25 included GBP 2.2m of exited products.

Company Guidance

Management guidance under Precision 2030 targets organic revenue compounding above 8%, net debt below 0.5x EBITDA by end‑FY'31, return on sales at/above 10% and return on capital at/above 25%; trading is expected to be H2‑weighted with positive organic revenue for the year and bolt‑on acquisitions treated as upside to the base plan. The board cites FY'22–FY'26 progress as validation: operating margin/return on sales up to 11% (from <5%), ROCE >29% (from 9.5%), net debt/EBITDA down to 1.3x (from 2.5x), cash from operations up to £12m (from <£7m), Specialty revenue CAGR 14% and strategic manufacturing CAGR 4%, while safety incidents fell ~75% (2.7→0.7 per 100,000 hours) and carbon intensity per £1m revenue more than halved. They reiterated the refinancing completed, the agreed pension recovery plan of £3.5m p.a. for the next four years (plus a one‑off £5.1m contribution made), pension cash costs now ~19% of underlying EBITDA (vs ~30% previously), and an expectation that structural tax and financing drags will unwind as profitability and financing costs improve.

Carclo plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Operations have rebounded (net income back to positive and EBIT up), but revenue has been shrinking for multiple years and cash flow has weakened year over year. The largest constraint remains the stressed capital structure: negative shareholders’ equity and sizable debt leave the company more exposed to volatility despite improved earnings.

Income Statement

54Neutral

Balance Sheet

28Negative

Cash Flow

46Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue114.21M114.21M121.22M132.67M143.44M128.58M
Gross Profit30.91M30.91M73.54M72.10M25.86M27.87M
EBITDA16.97M18.60M14.69M10.15M8.81M15.28M
Net Income2.69M2.69M872.00K-3.30M-3.96M5.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets92.36M92.36M97.03M100.94M122.67M128.20M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.77M5.77M10.74M5.97M10.35M12.35M
Total Debt29.68M29.68M29.95M39.91M44.71M44.75M
Total Liabilities101.03M101.03M108.88M97.28M111.07M103.78M
Stockholders Equity-8.64M-8.64M-11.81M3.69M11.63M24.44M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.67M1.67M10.38M7.43M1.57M-1.89M
Operating Cash Flow4.19M4.19M11.48M10.37M3.99M3.05M
Investing Cash Flow-2.82M-2.82M-447.00K-2.40M-1.03M-4.23M
Financing Cash Flow-5.58M-5.58M-7.00M-12.14M-4.67M-2.49M

Carclo plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price41.00

Price Trends

50DMA37.45Positive
100DMA36.13Positive
200DMA41.21Negative

Market Momentum

MACD1.00Negative
RSI60.80Neutral
STOCH35.35Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.48, above the 50-day MA of 37.45, and below the 200-day MA of 41.21, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 35.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CAR.

Carclo plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)

Financial Indicators

GB:CAR against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:CTAGB:CTA66NeutralGBP 14.35M2.9820.83%―4.04%-25.71%
Sector *61Neutral$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
GB:CARGB:CAR57NeutralGBP 30.30M11.17-29.78%―-5.78%208.40%
GB:TRTGB:TRT51NeutralGBP 6.32M-60.14-1.47%―-16.65%-107.46%
GB:AUTGGB:AUTG43NeutralGBP 5.46M33.331.81%―-9.41%―
GB:STGGB:STG42NeutralGBP 4.10M-2.13617.63%―7.23%45.60%

* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%GB:CARGB:AUTGGB:TRTGB:CTAGB:STGDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:CAR and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:CARCarclo plc41.00-31.20-43.21%
GB:AUTGAutins Group plc10.000.000.00%
GB:TRTTransense Technologies PLC41.50-71.00-63.11%
GB:CTACT Automotive Group Plc19.50-13.50-40.91%
GB:STGStrip Tinning Holdings plc22.50-3.00-11.76%

Carclo plc Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesStock BuybackShareholder Meetings

Carclo shareholders back all AGM resolutions, reinforcing governance and capital flexibility

Positive
Sep 9, 2026

Carclo plc reported that all resolutions at its Annual General Meeting held in Musselburgh, Scotland on 9 September 2026 were approved by shareholders via poll. The meeting confirmed director appointments and re-elections, reappointed HaysMac LLP as...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Carclo Maintains Full‑Year Guidance as Margins Strengthen and Aerospace Drives Growth

Positive
Sep 9, 2026

Carclo reported strong margin performance year to date, with underlying operating profit and return on sales in line with expectations despite slightly lower revenue, reflecting tooling programme phasing and a slow first quarter in its U.S. Manufactu...

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings

Carclo shifts 2026 AGM to hybrid format with audio stream and proxy focus

Neutral
Aug 14, 2026

Carclo plc has confirmed arrangements for its 2026 Annual General Meeting, which will take place in person on 9 September at Carberry Tower Mansion House in Musselburgh. The company has published the AGM notice and related materials on its website an...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Carclo Aligns Senior Executive Incentives With Long-Term Shareholder Returns

Positive
Aug 12, 2026

Carclo plc has granted conditional share awards to several senior executives under its 2017 Long Term Incentive Plan, reinforcing its use of equity-based compensation to align management with shareholder interests. The awards cover ordinary shares fo...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Oct 14, 2026