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Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

5 Followers
GB:CAD

Cadogan Petroleum

(LSE:CAD)

Select Model
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:GBX 4.00â–²(0.00% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is primarily constrained by weak profitability and cash generation, despite balance sheet resilience. Mixed technical signals and an extremely overbought RSI provide limited support, while the negative P/E and absent dividend yield further weaken the investment profile.

Positive Factors
Revenue ReboundThe sharp 2025 revenue rebound, following growth in 2024, indicates renewed commercial or production traction. If sustained, a stronger top line can improve operating absorption and provide a foundation for restoring profitability, although earnings conversion remains unproven.
Negative Factors
Recurring LossesPersistent net losses and a weaker gross margin show that revenue growth has not yet translated into dependable profitability. This limits internally generated capital, reduces resilience across commodity cycles, and makes future development more dependent on operational improvement or external funding.

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%GB:CAD+14.29%EWC+21.04%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
GBP 10.05M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
126.14K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.7
Beta (1Y)
0.84
Revenue Growth
8.44%
EPS Growth
53.11%
Country
UK
Employees
77
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cadogan Petroleum plc, with its subsidiaries, specializes in the exploration, development, and extraction of natural gas, oil, and condensate, primarily within Ukraine. Its business operations are structured across three segments: Exploration and Pro...

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak overall financial performance: the income statement score is 35, balance sheet score is 65, and cash flow score is 25. Persistent losses, negative operating and free cash flow, and rising debt outweigh the strong equity base.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.76M5.79M9.15M7.55M8.47M8.79M
Gross Profit2.40M1.24M4.11M2.16M2.94M1.43M
EBITDA-942.85K-306.00K-4.61M-668.00K-755.00K-1.44M
Net Income-2.80M-1.14M-6.23M1.26M-1.56M-5.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.32M35.70M31.13M38.29M37.43M42.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.71M13.62M14.38M14.15M13.93M15.01M
Total Debt5.08M5.97M173.00K235.00K107.00K206.00K
Total Liabilities6.68M7.61M2.06M1.85M1.91M1.99M
Stockholders Equity26.64M28.10M29.07M36.44M35.29M40.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.24M-12.13M-357.00K-628.00K-967.00K2.04M
Operating Cash Flow-948.09K-2.26M691.00K-570.00K-874.00K2.19M
Investing Cash Flow-4.77M-9.32M-248.00K738.00K4,000-151.00K
Financing Cash Flow-2.09M9.61M-118.00K-132.00K00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4.00

Price Trends

50DMA4.00Positive
100DMA3.87Positive
200DMA4.13Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.01Positive
RSI98.39Negative
STOCH95.39Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.00 is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.00, above the 50-day MA of 4.00, and below the 200-day MA of 4.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 98.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

GB:CAD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
GB:UOGGB:UOG49NeutralGBP 10.26M-6.61-18.21%――33.33%
GB:CADGB:CAD45NeutralGBP 10.05M-4.72-10.22%―8.44%53.11%
GB:STARGB:STAR40UnderperformGBP 31.87M-19.88-2.03%―2.40%91.98%
GB:UJOGB:UJO37UnderperformGBP 2.78M-0.33-45.39%―-4.12%-889.83%
GB:ANGSGB:ANGS36UnderperformGBP 14.02M-17.52-1.67%―-22.80%95.24%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%GB:CADGB:ANGSGB:STARGB:UOGGB:UJODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
GB:CAD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:CADCadogan Petroleum4.000.5014.29%
GB:ANGSAngus Energy0.17-0.07-27.08%
GB:STARIGas Energy17.258.75102.94%
GB:UOGUnited Oil & Gas Plc0.200.0866.67%
GB:UJOUnion Jack Oil1.90-1.35-41.54%

Cadogan Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Cadogan Energy Solutions Boosts H1 2026 Revenue on New Gas-to-Power Assets

Positive
Sep 7, 2026

Cadogan Energy Solutions reported that its Ukrainian operations remained safe despite the ongoing war, and maintained strong health and safety performance with no lost-time or total recordable incidents in the first half of 2026. During the period, t...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026