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Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) AI Stock Analysis

GB:CAD

Cadogan Petroleum

(LSE:CAD)

Select Model
Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:GBX 3.50â–¼(-12.50% Downside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

The score is driven primarily by weak cash flow and profitability, with bearish technical momentum reinforcing the cautionary outlook. A relatively solid balance sheet prevents the score from falling further, but negative earnings and the lack of valuation support keep the overall result low.

Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheetLow leverage and sizable equity provide a structural cushion for a cyclical E&P business, preserving access to capital and reducing default risk. Over a 2–6 month horizon this balance-sheet strength supports survival through commodity volatility and funding of near-term operations or selective investment.
Negative Factors
Recurring net lossesPersistent bottom-line losses indicate the company is not consistently generating returns on capital. Over months this undermines retained earnings, limits internal funding for capex or redevelopment, and raises the bar for sustainable profitability even if revenues recover episodically.

Cadogan Petroleum (CAD) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%GB:CAD+9.59%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 10.05M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
109.20K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
-4.8
Beta (1Y)
0.85
Revenue Growth
8.44%
EPS Growth
53.11%
Country
UK
Employees
77
Sector
Energy
Sector Strength
65
Industry
Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Cadogan Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cadogan Petroleum plc, with its subsidiaries, specializes in the exploration, development, and extraction of natural gas, oil, and condensate, primarily within Ukraine. Its business operations are structured across three segments: Exploration and Pro...

How the Company Makes Money

Cadogan Petroleum makes money primarily by monetizing hydrocarbons produced from its oil and gas assets. Revenue is generated through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and/or associated products produced from fields in which the company holds an in...

Cadogan Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Weak profitability and severe cash burn offset a still-resilient balance sheet. Revenue has fallen over the long term, net losses persist, and operating/free cash flow are deeply negative, while equity remains relatively strong despite higher debt.

Income Statement

35Negative

Balance Sheet

65Positive

Cash Flow

25Negative
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue9.76M5.79M9.15M7.55M8.47M8.79M
Gross Profit2.40M1.24M4.11M2.16M2.94M1.43M
EBITDA-942.85K-306.00K-4.61M-668.00K-755.00K-1.44M
Net Income-2.80M-1.14M-6.23M1.26M-1.56M-5.07M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets33.32M35.70M31.13M38.29M37.43M42.36M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments11.71M13.62M14.38M14.15M13.93M15.01M
Total Debt5.08M5.97M173.00K235.00K107.00K206.00K
Total Liabilities6.68M7.61M2.06M1.85M1.91M1.99M
Stockholders Equity26.64M28.10M29.07M36.44M35.29M40.14M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.24M-12.13M-357.00K-628.00K-967.00K2.04M
Operating Cash Flow-948.09K-2.26M691.00K-570.00K-874.00K2.19M
Investing Cash Flow-4.77M-9.32M-248.00K738.00K4,000-151.00K
Financing Cash Flow-2.09M9.61M-118.00K-132.00K00

Cadogan Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price4.00

Price Trends

50DMA3.95Positive
100DMA3.85Positive
200DMA4.15Negative

Market Momentum

MACD0.01Positive
RSI98.39Negative
STOCH3.85Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CAD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.00, above the 50-day MA of 3.95, and below the 200-day MA of 4.15, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 98.39 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CAD.

Cadogan Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)

Financial Indicators

GB:CAD against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
Sector *65Neutral$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
GB:UOGGB:UOG52NeutralGBP 11.30M-7.62-18.21%――33.33%
GB:STARGB:STAR43NeutralGBP 38.62M-23.95-2.03%―2.40%91.98%
GB:CADGB:CAD41NeutralGBP 10.05M-4.78-10.22%―8.44%53.11%
GB:UJOGB:UJO37UnderperformGBP 2.67M-0.31-45.39%―-4.12%-889.83%
GB:ANGSGB:ANGS36UnderperformGBP 14.42M-17.52-1.67%―-22.80%95.24%

* Energy Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%100%200%GB:CADGB:ANGSGB:STARGB:UOGGB:UJODec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:CAD and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:CADCadogan Petroleum4.000.308.11%
GB:ANGSAngus Energy0.18-0.06-25.00%
GB:STARIGas Energy20.0011.40132.56%
GB:UOGUnited Oil & Gas Plc0.230.0962.14%
GB:UJOUnion Jack Oil1.82-2.13-53.80%

Cadogan Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Cadogan Energy Solutions AGM Vote Reveals Support for Board but Resistance to Extra Powers

Neutral
Jun 29, 2026

Cadogan Energy Solutions reported the outcome of its Annual General Meeting, where shareholders approved 11 resolutions covering the annual financial report, directors’ remuneration, re-election of most incumbent directors and the company&#8217...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Cadogan details $2.8m Ukraine tax payments from 2025 oil and gas operations

Neutral
Jun 5, 2026

Cadogan Energy Solutions has reported its 2025 payments to governments related to its oil and gas exploration, development and extraction activities, in line with UK disclosure regulations. The group, which operates primarily in Ukraine, prepared the...

Other

Cadogan Director Increases Stake with Share Purchase

Positive
Jun 1, 2026

Cadogan Energy Solutions reported that non‑executive director Michel Meeus bought 412,500 ordinary shares in the company at £0.04 per share on 1 June 2026. Following the transaction, Meeus now owns 16,236,151 shares, representing about 6.4...

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings

Cadogan Energy Sends 2025 Report and Sets June 2025 AGM in London

Neutral
Jun 1, 2026

Cadogan Energy Solutions has mailed its 2025 Annual Financial Report and the notice of its 2026 Annual General Meeting to shareholders, and will make digital copies available via its website and the UK National Storage Mechanism, with filing at the R...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026