Atalaya Mining (ATYM) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £962.79M
• Dividend Yield: 0.57%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.13M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 15.3
• Beta (1Y): 2.01
• Revenue Growth: 21.25%
• EPS Growth: 108.30%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 492
• Sector: Basic Materials
• Sector Strength: 58
• Industry: Copper
• EPS (TTM): 0.18
• Shares Outstanding: 140,759,050
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 582,103
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,128,272
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: £642.50
• Price Target Upside: -3.24% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 4

• Rating: 70 Outperform
• Price Target: 673.00p ▲(1.36% Upside)

Atalaya Mining's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and reasonable valuation. The company's solid balance sheet and improved profitability are key strengths, while mixed technical indicators suggest cautious optimism. The absence of earnings call and corporate events data limits additional insights.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

The return to positive revenue growth indicates a recovery in market demand and effective sales strategies, supporting long-term business stability.

Balance Sheet Health

A strong balance sheet with low leverage enhances financial stability, providing flexibility for future investments and resilience against economic downturns.

Profitability Improvement

Improved profit margins reflect enhanced operational efficiency and cost management, which can sustain profitability even in fluctuating market conditions.

Negative Factors

Historical Revenue Volatility

Past volatility in revenue growth suggests potential risk if market conditions change, requiring ongoing strategic adjustments to maintain stability.

Free Cash Flow Conversion

Low conversion of profits into free cash flow indicates potential inefficiencies in cash management, which could impact funding for future growth initiatives.

Market Dependency

Dependence on copper prices exposes the company to commodity market volatility, which can affect revenue stability and necessitate strategic hedging.

Atalaya Mining Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Atalaya Mining Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the mineral exploration and development in Spain. The company's flagship property is its 100% owned Proyecto Riotinto mine, an open-pit copper mine located in the Andalusia region of Spain. It produces copper concentrates, including silver by-products. The company was formerly known as EMED Mining Public Limited and changed its name to Atalaya Mining Plc in October 2015. Atalaya Mining Plc was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Nicosia, Cyprus.

How the Company Makes Money

Atalaya Mining generates revenue primarily through the sale of copper concentrate produced at its operating mines. The company benefits from a robust revenue model that includes mining operations, processing of ore to produce concentrate, and the sale of this concentrate to smelters and traders. Key revenue streams are further bolstered by copper price fluctuations in the global market, strategic partnerships with local and international stakeholders, and ongoing exploration efforts that may lead to new resource discoveries. Additionally, Atalaya's focus on operational efficiency and cost management helps enhance its profitability.

Atalaya Mining Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Atalaya Mining demonstrates a strong financial recovery in the TTM period, with improved profitability and cash flow metrics. The company maintains a solid balance sheet with low leverage, enhancing its financial stability. While recent performance is promising, historical volatility in revenue and cash flow growth highlights the need for cautious optimism.

Income Statement

Atalaya Mining's income statement shows a strong recovery in the TTM period with a revenue growth rate of 8.23% after previous declines. The gross profit margin improved significantly to 23.57%, and the net profit margin increased to 15.53%. EBIT and EBITDA margins also saw healthy improvements, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the company experienced volatility in revenue growth in prior years, which could pose a risk if market conditions change.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.064, indicating conservative leverage. The return on equity improved to 11.50% in the TTM period, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio remains strong, suggesting financial stability. However, the company should maintain vigilance on debt levels to ensure continued financial health.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis reveals a robust free cash flow growth of 103.30% in the TTM period, recovering from negative figures in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.68 indicates adequate cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.23 suggests room for improvement in converting profits into free cash flow.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	419.40M	326.80M	340.35M	361.85M	405.72M	252.78M
Gross Profit	113.76M	49.40M	55.92M	39.45M	181.37M	45.62M
EBITDA	140.16M	77.08M	77.22M	67.48M	194.02M	62.79M
Net Income	74.76M	31.74M	38.77M	33.16M	133.64M	31.48M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	748.48M	675.85M	670.57M	663.07M	585.41M	505.05M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	103.04M	52.90M	121.04M	126.15M	92.14M	37.85M
Total Debt	36.50M	21.59M	71.06M	78.28M	52.95M	5.39M
Total Liabilities	173.22M	157.31M	178.18M	196.77M	149.51M	154.85M
Stockholders Equity	573.20M	516.38M	501.50M	473.30M	440.81M	353.69M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	38.61M	-8.01M	10.45M	-15.09M	114.25M	28.73M
Operating Cash Flow	103.29M	53.40M	64.74M	38.50M	148.84M	59.09M
Investing Cash Flow	-72.92M	-66.07M	-50.41M	-53.53M	-87.53M	-30.16M
Financing Cash Flow	-6.70M	-57.26M	-18.50M	22.41M	1.85M	760.00K

Atalaya Mining Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 664.00
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ATYM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 664 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 655.40, above the 50-day MA of 601.78, and above the 200-day MA of 455.74, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 16.86 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.46 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ATYM.

Atalaya Mining Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
CAML	―	£263.48M	9.46	9.97%	6.26%	5.70%	-9.60%
ATYM	―	£962.79M	15.32	13.54%	0.57%	21.25%	108.30%
ANTO	―	£27.06B	32.08	11.88%	1.09%	13.52%	38.75%
Sector *	―	$10.43B	7.12	-0.05%	2.87%	2.86%	-36.73%
GFM	―	£335.68M	51.35	3.23%	―	-32.18%	-58.29%
FXPO	―	£330.66M	-1.42	-33.39%	―	-5.85%	-413.36%

Atalaya Mining Corporate Events

Atalaya Mining Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance and Strategic Advancements

Atalaya Mining’s Q3 2025 operations update reveals consistent production aligning with full-year guidance, supported by strong plant availability and favorable cost performance. The company’s financial position is robust, with increased cash reserves and a positive outlook for meeting its annual targets. Atalaya is actively advancing its project pipeline, including expansions at San Dionisio and ongoing drilling at San Antonio and Proyecto Masa Valverde. The company’s strategic initiatives, such as the E-LIX Phase I plant and Proyecto Touro, are progressing, with significant developments in environmental authorizations and strategic project status, positioning Atalaya to capitalize on a supply-constrained copper market.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ATYM) stock is a Hold with a £6.20 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atalaya Mining stock, see the GB:ATYM Stock Forecast page.

Atalaya Mining Director Sells Significant Shareholding

Atalaya Mining announced that Jesús Fernández, a non-executive director, has sold 70,000 ordinary shares at a price of 620.12 pence each. This transaction reduces his holding to 68,412 shares, representing 0.05% of the company’s issued share capital. The sale was conducted in compliance with the EU Market Abuse Regulation. This move might indicate a shift in insider confidence or personal financial strategy, potentially impacting stakeholder perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ATYM) stock is a Buy with a £573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atalaya Mining stock, see the GB:ATYM Stock Forecast page.

Atalaya Mining CFO Sells 100,000 Shares

Atalaya Mining announced that Cesar Sanchez, the Chief Financial Officer and a person discharging managerial responsibilities, sold 100,000 ordinary shares at 542.0 pence each. Following the sale, Sanchez retains options over 1,100,000 shares, representing 0.748% of the company’s fully diluted share capital. This transaction is part of the regulatory requirements under the EU Market Abuse Regulation, reflecting transparency in managerial dealings. The sale might influence investor perceptions of the company’s stock value and managerial confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ATYM) stock is a Buy with a £573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atalaya Mining stock, see the GB:ATYM Stock Forecast page.

Atalaya Mining Converts Physical Shares to Electronic Form

Atalaya Mining has announced the conversion of all its ordinary shares represented by physical certificates into electronic form, now represented by CREST Depositary Interests (CDIs). This conversion allows shareholders to trade their shares and receive dividends, including the 2024 final dividend. Certificated Holders are required to submit a transfer request form to facilitate the transfer of CDIs to a nominated CREST member. This move is expected to streamline share trading and dividend distribution for the company and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ATYM) stock is a Buy with a £573.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atalaya Mining stock, see the GB:ATYM Stock Forecast page.

Atalaya Mining Reports Record Financial Results and Positive Outlook for 2025

Atalaya Mining has reported record financial results for Q2 and H1 2025, with significant increases in EBITDA and net cash position, driven by improved copper grades and operational efficiencies. The company has revised its production and cost guidance positively, declared an interim dividend, and is advancing its growth projects, which are expected to strengthen its industry positioning and benefit stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ATYM) stock is a Buy with a £575.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Atalaya Mining stock, see the GB:ATYM Stock Forecast page.