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Arbuthnot Banking (ARBB) AI Stock Analysis

GB:ARBB

Arbuthnot Banking

(LSE:ARBB)

Select Model
Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:GBX 987.00â–²(20.37% Upside)
Action:upgraded
Date:03/27/26

The overall score is primarily driven by the bank's highly attractive valuation and a de-risked balance sheet. An exceptionally low P/E ratio and strong dividend yield present significant value, while vastly reduced debt levels offer long-term financial stability. The rating is somewhat tempered by recent profitability margin compression and a largely neutral technical setup.

Positive Factors
Revenue growth & profitability recoveryMulti-year revenue expansion, especially in 2024–2025, combined with a return to sustained profitability, indicates improving franchise momentum. That strengthens the recurring net interest and fee base, supports loan origination capacity and gives management more flexibility for long-term capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Variable cash generationCash generation has been inconsistent: exceptional operating cash in 2024 but a large free cash flow decline in 2025 and historical weak/negative years. This variability reduces predictability for reinvestment, dividends and buffer building, limiting durable financial flexibility compared with steadier peers.

Arbuthnot Banking (ARBB) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

-20%-10%0%10%20%30%GB:ARBB-4.30%EWC+21.27%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
GBP 132.73M
Dividend Yield
6.71%
Average Volume (3M)
32.25K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.0
Beta (1Y)
0.06
Revenue Growth
-6.35%
EPS Growth
16.23%
Country
UK
Employees
890
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks - Regional

Arbuthnot Banking Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC, operating with its various subsidiaries, provides a comprehensive array of private and commercial banking services and products throughout the United Kingdom. Its diverse operations are structured across several key segme...

How the Company Makes Money

Arbuthnot Banking Group makes money primarily by earning net interest income and fee/commission income from its banking and lending activities. (1) Net interest income: The group takes customer deposits and other funding and uses this funding to orig...

Arbuthnot Banking Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Arbuthnot Banking exhibits a robust balance sheet with significantly reduced debt and excellent cash flow generation. However, this is partially offset by declining net income and margin compression despite impressive top-line revenue growth.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

85Very Positive

Cash Flow

78Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue296.58M304.30M229.73M178.25M160.48M105.41M
Gross Profit175.88M172.73M229.73M220.25M128.93M88.83M
EBITDA120.22M35.03M46.92M031.93M12.60M
Net Income19.01M17.81M24.85M35.38M16.46M6.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.23B5.00B4.73B4.34B3.61B3.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments522.67M437.55M911.89M-119.82M848.52M888.14M
Total Debt117.42M98.33M285.72M284.90M281.49M298.38M
Total Liabilities4.95B4.72B4.46B4.09B3.40B3.16B
Stockholders Equity279.47M276.40M266.96M252.44M211.98M200.88M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.70M52.91M7.59M-29.02M21.80M-3.54M
Operating Cash Flow55.76M54.01M369.16M-24.18M29.04M37.49M
Investing Cash Flow-494.26M-715.09M-282.87M-543.47M-305.71M-242.96M
Financing Cash Flow169.97M237.26M-13.37M625.08M237.06M346.54M

Arbuthnot Banking Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price820.00

Price Trends

50DMA798.89Positive
100DMA801.43Positive
200DMA810.09Positive

Market Momentum

MACD9.42Negative
RSI55.85Neutral
STOCH62.50Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ARBB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 820.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 808.13, above the 50-day MA of 798.89, and above the 200-day MA of 810.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 9.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:ARBB.

Arbuthnot Banking Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

GB:ARBB against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
GB:ARBBGB:ARBB75OutperformGBP 132.73M7.016.84%6.71%-6.35%16.23%
GB:PAGGB:PAG68NeutralGBP 1.29B7.8211.98%6.31%-6.82%-7.03%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
GB:NBSGB:NBS67NeutralGBP 1.32B1.085.68%―7.19%-54.08%
GB:MTROGB:MTRO63NeutralGBP 1.04B19.377.00%―0.76%-49.33%
GB:STBGB:STB56NeutralGBP 242.40M10.246.44%2.69%-8.35%5.35%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%25%50%75%GB:ARBBGB:BGEOGB:MTROGB:NBSGB:PAGGB:STBDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
GB:ARBB and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
GB:ARBBArbuthnot Banking820.00-27.48-3.24%
GB:BGEOBank of Georgia Group Plc12030.004297.0755.57%
GB:MTROMetro Bank154.6039.2033.97%
GB:NBSNationwide Building Society12500.00-550.00-4.21%
GB:PAGParagon Banking719.00-60.13-7.72%
GB:STBSecure Trust Bank1340.00397.1142.12%

Arbuthnot Banking Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Arbuthnot Banking Group Switches AIM Nominated Adviser After Grant Thornton Reorganisation

Neutral
Jul 31, 2026

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC has changed its nominated adviser on the AIM market following an internal reorganisation at Grant Thornton UK. The role moves from Grant Thornton UK LLP to Grant Thornton UK Advisory & Tax LLP, ensuring continuity of a...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Arbuthnot Banking Group Announces Board Resignation of Non-Executive Director

Neutral
Jul 21, 2026

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC has announced that independent non-executive director Jayne Almond will step down from the company’s board, effective 1 September 2026, in order to concentrate on other professional commitments. She will simultaneous...

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures

Arbuthnot Banking Group Hits £10bn Client Balance Target as Profits Edge Higher

Positive
Jul 21, 2026

Arbuthnot Banking Group reported a modest rise in pre-tax profit to £11.0m for the first half of 2026, alongside higher earnings per share and an increased interim dividend, despite a lower Bank of England base rate. The group’s capital ra...

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes

Arbuthnot Banking Group to List Non-Voting Shares on AIM to Boost Liquidity

Positive
Jun 1, 2026

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC will admit its existing ordinary non-voting shares to trading on AIM, with trading expected to commence around 2 June 2026, while the shares will retain their ARBN ticker and existing ISIN and SEDOL codes. The move, enable...

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes

Arbuthnot Banking Brings Back Veteran Banker Stephen Fletcher to Board

Positive
May 20, 2026

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC has appointed Stephen Fletcher as a non-independent, non-executive director to its board, effective 1 June 2026, and he will also rejoin the board of its banking subsidiary, Arbuthnot Latham & Co., Limited. The move br...

Business Operations and StrategyShareholder Meetings

Arbuthnot Banking Shareholders Approve All AGM Resolutions

Positive
May 19, 2026

Arbuthnot Banking Group PLC announced that shareholders approved all resolutions presented at its 2026 Annual General Meeting, held on 19 May 2026. The approval of every resolution signals continued shareholder support for the company’s strateg...

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures

Arbuthnot Banking Group posts strong early-2026 growth across lending and wealth units

Positive
May 19, 2026

Arbuthnot Banking Group reported a strong start to 2026, with loan balances rising 3% to £2.32bn, deposits up 1% since year-end to £4.63bn and funds under management and administration climbing 5% to £2.80bn, a 25% increase year on yea...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026