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Caffyns PLC (GB:79GL)
LSE:79GL
UK Market
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Caffyns (79GL) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:79GL

Caffyns

(LSE:79GL)

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Neutral 51 (OpenAI - Gpt-5.6Sol)
Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
130.00 p
▲(4.00% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:10/01/26
The score is held back primarily by weak and volatile financial performance (sharp 2026 revenue decline, losses, and elevated leverage). Technicals provide moderate support due to an upward trend and positive MACD, but an extremely overbought RSI adds risk. Valuation is mixed: a very high dividend yield helps, while the negative P/E reflects loss-making performance.
Positive Factors
Diversified dealership revenue with recurring aftersales
The combination of vehicle retailing and aftersales services gives Caffyns multiple revenue streams, with servicing and repairs providing potentially steadier income than vehicle sales. This mix can support customer retention and reduce reliance on one part of the dealership cycle.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline and compressed profitability
The sharp revenue contraction and very thin operating margins leave little cushion if demand or pricing weakens further. Negative net profitability also reduces retained earnings and limits the company’s ability to fund growth or absorb another period of lower dealership throughput.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified dealership revenue with recurring aftersales
The combination of vehicle retailing and aftersales services gives Caffyns multiple revenue streams, with servicing and repairs providing potentially steadier income than vehicle sales. This mix can support customer retention and reduce reliance on one part of the dealership cycle.
Read all positive factors

Caffyns (79GL) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Caffyns Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Caffyns PLC operates primarily in the automotive sector, specializing in the retail of both new and pre-owned vehicles. Beyond sales, the company delivers extensive motor vehicle maintenance services and supplies a variety of related products, inc...
How the Company Makes Money
Caffyns makes money primarily through its dealership operations across three main revenue streams. (1) New vehicle sales: it earns revenue from selling new cars, with gross profit typically driven by the margin between the purchase cost from manuf...

Caffyns Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials appear pressured. Income statement weakness is pronounced (2026 revenue down 37.4% YoY, net margin negative, and very thin EBIT/EBITDA margins), while the balance sheet shows elevated and rising leverage (debt-to-equity ~1.49x in 2026) alongside deteriorating returns. Cash flow is the relative bright spot with positive operating and free cash flow in 2026, but overall results are volatile and inconsistent.
Income Statement
41
Neutral
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownMar 2026Mar 2025Mar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue270.66M275.46M262.08M251.43M223.93M
Gross Profit31.63M34.69M28.99M33.58M31.95M
EBITDA3.01M5.11M3.25M6.92M7.12M
Net Income-1.29M176.00K-1.20M2.52M3.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets108.83M101.71M99.54M100.03M84.49M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.61M3.76M438.00K4.23M2.76M
Total Debt44.62M37.09M35.80M33.58M26.41M
Total Liabilities78.96M71.79M70.81M68.37M49.76M
Stockholders Equity29.87M29.92M28.74M31.66M34.73M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.71M-1.37M-2.46M3.33M553.00K
Operating Cash Flow2.53M-303.00K119.00K4.24M3.39M
Investing Cash Flow-567.00K3.83M-2.33M-716.00K-2.65M
Financing Cash Flow-1.12M-208.00K-1.57M-2.05M-3.71M

Caffyns Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price125.00
Price Trends
50DMA
123.81
Positive
100DMA
122.07
Positive
200DMA
119.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.12
Positive
RSI
91.92
Negative
STOCH
<0.01
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:79GL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 125 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 129.00, above the 50-day MA of 123.81, and above the 200-day MA of 119.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 91.92 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of <0.01 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:79GL.

Caffyns Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
£2.52B11.2519.59%4.59%7.27%-39.82%
65
Neutral
£256.90M18.584.05%2.41%1.47%-15.99%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
£111.86M21.3522.27%1.55%8.14%81.96%
51
Neutral
£13.63M-2.66-4.30%8.80%――
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:79GL
Caffyns
129.00
14.14
12.31%
GB:INCH
Inchcape
731.50
48.17
7.05%
GB:MOTR
Motorpoint
142.00
-9.37
-6.19%
GB:VTU
Vertu Motors
84.90
26.66
45.76%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 01, 2026