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Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONA) AI Stock Analysis

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FWONA

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One

(NASDAQ:FWONA)

Select Model
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:$110.00â–²(5.43% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/06/26

The score is driven primarily by strong financial quality (healthy margins and strong free cash flow) and a constructive earnings outlook from management amid strong demand indicators. These positives are tempered by an overbought technical setup and a high P/E valuation, plus ongoing sensitivity to calendar/geopolitical disruption and elevated debt levels.

Positive Factors
Durable F1 DemandExceptional attendance and repeated sell-outs indicate that demand for Formula 1 remains stronger than available event capacity. This supports durable race-promotion revenue, gives promoters confidence, and creates a foundation for pricing, hospitality expansion, and long-term global audience growth.
Negative Factors
Meaningful LeverageThe substantial debt burden reduces financial flexibility and makes sustained cash generation important for future investment and balance-sheet management. Interest obligations and refinancing needs could constrain capital allocation if operating performance weakens or calendar disruptions persist.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Operating Income by SegmentShows how much profit each part of the business generates after operating costs, highlighting which segments are actually contributing to the company’s bottom line. For Liberty Formula One, it reveals whether growth in areas like media rights, race promotion, or licensing is translating into real earnings, and flags sensitivity to rising event costs, promotion fees, or changes in broadcast deals.

-$200.00M-$100.00M$0.00$100.00M$200.00M$300.00MSep 23Dec 23Mar 24Jun 24Sep 24Dec 24Mar 25Jun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Sep 26
Chart Insights

Formula 1 is the clear earnings engine but inherently lumpy—race count, season‑based revenue recognition and team‑payment timing drive the big swings and explain the latest strong quarter; the cancelled Bahrain/Saudi races will compress Q2 recognition and modestly lift trailing leverage. MotoGP only begins to contribute post‑acquisition and shows early upside but operational cost volatility (freight, fuel) can quickly swing results. Corporate & Other is a recurring, modest drag that has improved from peak losses; calendar stability and payout timing are the key near‑term risks to consolidated OIBDA.

Data provided by:The Fly

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%FWONA+17.86%SPY+14.55%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$26.15B
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
214.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
46.8
Beta (1Y)
0.56
Revenue Growth
10.89%
EPS Growth
230.55%
Country
US
Employees
1,674
Sector
Communication Services
Sector Strength
60
Industry
Entertainment

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Formula One Group is involved in the motorsports industry, conducting business both in the United States and globally. Its primary function is holding the commercial rights to the Formula One World Championship, an extensive motor racing series that...

How the Company Makes Money

Formula One Group primarily monetizes the Formula 1 championship by selling and managing commercial rights tied to the series. Its largest revenue streams typically include (1) media rights fees from broadcasters and digital platforms that pay for th...

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2026(Q3-2026)|% Change Since:14.61%|Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2027
Earnings Call SentimentPositive

The call was strongly positive overall. Management highlighted robust demand, record or sold-out attendance, growing digital engagement, expanding hospitality and licensing activity, new commercial partnerships, and substantial global expansion opportunities across Formula 1 and MotoGP. These positives outweighed the stated financial headwinds, including Formula 1's 5% year-to-date adjusted OIBDA decline, lower MotoGP revenue and adjusted OIBDA, corporate-level losses, elevated debt, and calendar uncertainty related to geopolitical disruption.

Positive Updates

Strong Overall Operating Performance
Derek Chang said Liberty Media's operating businesses performed "incredibly well" and had a great third quarter, with management remaining confident in the growth trajectory of Formula 1 and MotoGP.

Negative Updates

Formula 1 Year-to-Date Adjusted OIBDA Decline
Formula 1 year-to-date revenue was relatively flat despite the lower race count, while adjusted OIBDA declined 5%, driven by the calendar variance.

Company Guidance

Management expects Formula 1 to return to a full 24-race calendar next season, expand the Sprint format to 10 races in 2027 from 6 this year, and achieve roughly 200-basis-point improvement in team-payment leverage for the full year, with the payout percentage remaining relatively stable through 2030 after 2026; MotoGP expects Argentina, Adelaide, and Australia to come online in 2027, has not announced any new events joining in 2028, and said renewals entering into effect in 2027 are probably around 7, or 75% of the calendar; Formula 1 plans to make The Out Lap available at all its European races in 2027, grow House 44 from 9 locations this year to 13 in 2027, and return to Africa with a 10-year agreement in the early 2030s, while management said the near-term MotoGP monetization opportunity is on race fees, followed by media rights and sponsorship, with some sponsorship increases potentially coming sooner rather than later.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and cash generation support the score: TTM revenue of $4.48B with ~33% gross margin, ~17% EBIT margin, and ~$1.08B in free cash flow (~0.95x net income). The main offsets are slowing TTM revenue growth (~3%) and meaningful absolute debt (~$5.53B), which makes sustained cash generation and calendar stability important.

Income Statement

78Positive

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

84Very Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.48B4.48B3.65B3.22B2.57B2.14B
Gross Profit1.50B1.12B1.17B982.00M823.00M647.00M
EBITDA1.53B1.15B577.00M794.00M762.00M363.00M
Net Income558.00M555.00M-30.00M185.00M558.00M-190.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.75B15.40B11.76B10.27B11.02B11.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.34B1.05B2.63B1.41B1.73B2.07B
Total Debt5.53B5.12B2.99B2.91B2.95B3.63B
Total Liabilities8.21B6.95B4.37B3.85B4.08B4.72B
Stockholders Equity7.88B7.76B7.39B6.42B6.91B6.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow969.00M751.00M492.00M193.00M243.00M464.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.14B870.00M567.00M619.00M534.00M481.00M
Investing Cash Flow-772.00M-3.20B-292.00M-683.00M394.00M-600.00M
Financing Cash Flow-215.00M408.00M951.00M-435.00M-1.27B512.00M

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price104.33

Price Trends

50DMA88.22Positive
100DMA89.88Positive
200DMA85.23Positive

Market Momentum

MACD5.10Negative
RSI78.24Negative
STOCH93.39Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FWONA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 104.33 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.17, above the 50-day MA of 88.22, and above the 200-day MA of 85.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.24 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FWONA.

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Risk Analysis

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Media Liberty Formula One reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

3 New Risks
1.The Transactions are subject to conditions, some or all of which may not be satisfied, or completed on a timely basis, if at all. Failure to complete the Transactions could negatively impact our business and/or financial results and cause the stock price of Liberty SiriusXM common stock to decline, perhaps significantly.Q4, 2023
2.The Merger Agreement contains provisions that could discourage a potential competing acquiror of us (with respect to the Liberty SiriusXM Group) or Liberty Sirius XM Holdings, or could result in any competing proposal being at a lower price than it otherwise might be.Q4, 2023
3.Sirius XM Holdings is migrating its billing system and payment processing functions to a new service provider.Q4, 2023

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)

Financial Indicators

FWONA against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FOXFOX78Outperform$35.67B12.7617.65%0.93%9.01%7.09%
DISDIS77Outperform$204.15B24.487.87%1.26%5.31%-23.96%
TKOTKO72Outperform$36.60B50.898.28%1.61%27.72%36.70%
FWONAFWONA71Outperform$27.31B46.787.20%―10.89%230.55%
LYVLYV62Neutral$42.45B-1784.5090.09%―13.47%-107.10%
Sector *60Neutral$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%FWONALYVDISTKOFOXDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FWONA and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FWONALiberty Media Corporation Series A Liberty Formula One104.3315.1817.03%
LYVLive Nation Entertainment178.4546.0334.76%
DISWalt Disney Company118.9714.7914.20%
TKOTKO Group Holdings, Inc.195.4213.567.45%
FOXFox Corporation Class B61.113.646.34%

Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Liberty Media Adopts Rights Plan Amid Ownership Restructuring

Neutral
Nov 5, 2026

On November 4, 2026, Liberty Media exchanged 2,316,537 high-vote Series B shares held by John C. Malone-related entities for 602,302 Series A and 5,420,699 Series C shares, retiring the Series B shares. The transaction reduced the Malone Holders’ vot...

Financial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance

Liberty Formula One Schedules Q3 2026 Earnings Call

Neutral
Oct 9, 2026

On October 8, 2026, Liberty Media Corporation announced it would release its third quarter 2026 earnings before market open on Thursday, November 5, 2026, followed by a conference call at 10:00 a.m. E.T. The call will feature prepared remarks and a b...

Executive/Board Changes

Liberty Media Appoints New Chief Legal Officer, Advisor

Positive
Sep 2, 2026

On September 2, 2026, Liberty Media Corporation announced that Philip J. Boeckman will become Chief Legal Officer effective October 1, 2026, overseeing the company’s legal functions. Boeckman, a longtime partner at Cravath, Swaine & Moore LLP and a l...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Liberty Formula One Completes $690 Million Convertible Notes Offering

Positive
Aug 13, 2026

On August 13, 2026, Liberty Media Corporation closed a private offering of $690 million in 2.375% senior convertible notes due 2032, sold to institutional buyers and convertible into its Series C FWONK shares at an initial price of about $138.68 per...

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing

Liberty Formula One announces new convertible notes offering

Neutral
Aug 10, 2026

On August 10, 2026, Liberty Media Corporation announced a proposed private offering of $600 million in convertible senior notes due 2032, with an option for initial purchasers to buy up to an additional $90 million in notes. The notes will be senior...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2026