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Groupe Guillin SA (ALGIL) AI Stock Analysis

FR:ALGIL

Groupe Guillin SA

(Paris:ALGIL)

Select Model
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:EUR 20.00â–²(2.30% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/05/26

Groupe Guillin scores modestly due to a mix of strengths and weaknesses. The most significant concern is the deteriorating profitability trend, with net income declining substantially and margins compressing, combined with volatile and weak free cash flow generation in 2024. These factors weigh heavily on the financial performance score. On the positive side, the company maintains a strong, conservatively leveraged balance sheet and trades at an undemanding valuation (P/E 8.5x) with a supportive 4% dividend yield, offering value appeal. Technical indicators are neutral to slightly bearish, with the stock trading below its 200-day moving average. The low beta provides defensive qualities but limits upside potential. Overall, the stock presents a value opportunity for patient investors, but the declining earnings trajectory and cash flow volatility are meaningful risks that cap the score.

Positive Factors
Conservative Balance SheetA conservative balance sheet gives Groupe Guillin financial flexibility to withstand operating volatility and continue investing in its packaging platform. Declining debt and rising equity can reduce financing pressure, support resilience through industry cycles, and preserve options for future capital allocation.
Negative Factors
Profitability VolatilityThe decline in 2025 net income and softer operating profitability show that Groupe Guillin has not yet demonstrated consistent margin and earnings conversion. Continued variability could limit visibility into sustainable earnings power and make it harder to fund growth from internally generated profits.

Groupe Guillin SA (ALGIL) vs. iShares MSCI France ETF (EWQ)

-20%-15%-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%FR:ALGIL-17.32%EWQ-1.36%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
EUR 361.40M
Dividend Yield
4.60%
Average Volume (3M)
5,360
Price to Earnings (P/E)
7.0
Beta (1Y)
0.42
Revenue Growth
3.96%
EPS Growth
4.03%
Country
France
Employees
2,951
Sector
General
Sector Strength
55
Industry
Packaging & Containers

Groupe Guillin SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Groupe Guillin S.A., based in Ornans, France, is an international manufacturer and distributor of a broad range of food packaging products and related equipment. The company's diverse packaging offerings include standard and sealable trays, a variety...

How the Company Makes Money

Groupe Guillin makes money primarily by selling food packaging products manufactured by the group to business customers (B2B). Revenue is generated from (1) sales of rigid packaging (e.g., thermoformed trays/containers used for fresh and prepared foo...

Groupe Guillin SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary

The balance sheet is a clear strength with declining debt, growing equity, and a conservative leverage profile (debt-to-equity ~0.19). However, this is offset by a concerning decline in profitability — net income has fallen ~36% from its 2023 peak, margins are compressing across the board, and revenue growth has stagnated. Cash flow generation has been volatile, with free cash flow collapsing 87% in 2024 to just €13 million, indicating poor earnings-to-cash conversion. The strong balance sheet (score 72) is weighed down by the weaker income statement (52) and inconsistent cash flows (55).

Income Statement

52Neutral

Balance Sheet

72Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2022Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue884.50M884.50M869.70M897.69M884.64M618.95M
Gross Profit326.47M326.47M84.74M82.73M323.35M93.13M
EBITDA111.48M111.48M125.32M107.35M142.38M119.22M
Net Income48.29M48.29M59.74M50.99M75.43M62.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets978.02M978.02M960.81M900.89M920.83M710.67M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.55M44.55M78.69M52.16M116.80M118.44M
Total Debt106.14M106.14M118.52M159.54M140.51M114.33M
Total Liabilities318.34M318.34M327.55M375.04M331.27M268.38M
Stockholders Equity658.69M658.69M632.39M524.42M588.59M441.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow22.06M21.40M13.30M44.89M104.49M64.89M
Operating Cash Flow95.07M94.42M93.66M48.18M141.81M92.71M
Investing Cash Flow-95.15M-95.15M-90.14M-57.16M-42.24M-42.44M
Financing Cash Flow-49.89M-49.23M-40.17M-26.84M-31.56M-14.64M

Groupe Guillin SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price19.55

Price Trends

50DMA20.32Negative
100DMA21.15Negative
200DMA21.61Negative

Market Momentum

MACD-0.19Negative
RSI47.04Neutral
STOCH20.65Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FR:ALGIL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 19.55 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.50, below the 50-day MA of 20.32, and below the 200-day MA of 21.61, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.04 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FR:ALGIL.

Groupe Guillin SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)

Financial Indicators

FR:ALGIL against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FR:ALGILFR:ALGIL57NeutralEUR 361.40M7.018.00%4.60%3.96%4.03%
Sector *55Neutral$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
FR:ALBIFR:ALBI47NeutralEUR 78.30M-3.65――-2.83%-2426.94%
FR:ALPVLFR:ALPVL40UnderperformEUR 39.98M-3.42-8.45%―10.19%80.28%
FR:VRLAFR:VRLA40UnderperformEUR 2.25B43.02―5.67%-3.12%-73.06%

* General Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-20%0%20%40%60%FR:ALGILFR:AUGRFR:ALPVLFR:ALBOUFR:ALBIFR:VRLADec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FR:ALGIL and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FR:ALGILGroupe Guillin SA19.55-4.62-19.13%
FR:AUGRAugros Cosmetics Packaging4.80-0.60-11.11%
FR:ALPVLPlastiques du Val de Loire SA1.810.010.56%
FR:ALBOUBourrelier Group SA67.2022.2049.33%
FR:ALBIGascogne SA2.08-0.28-11.86%
FR:VRLAVerallia SAS17.64-3.56-16.81%

Groupe Guillin SA Corporate Events

Groupe Guillin Delivers Profit Growth Amid Cost Pressures and Regulatory Shift

Oct 22, 2026

Groupe Guillin reported consolidated first-half 2026 revenue of €470.7 million, up 6.9% year-on-year, with its packaging division rising 6.3% and equipment division 17.4%. Operating profit increased 10.1% to €34.2 million and net profit 1...

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 04, 2026