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Ferrellgas Partners (FGPR) AI Stock Analysis
Ferrellgas Partners
(Other OTC:FGPR)
The overall score of 53 reflects a company with a high-risk, high-reward profile. The most significant positive factor is the company's robust cash flow generation and the successful strategic actions (refinancing, unit simplification) highlighted in the earnings call and corporate events, which provide a pathway to manage its debt. However, this is heavily counterbalanced by a precarious balance sheet with deeply negative equity and a negative P/E ratio, which represent substantial financial risk. Technicals are neutral, offering no clear directional signal. The company's ability to sustain its strong cash flow is critical to its survival and future value creation.
Ferrellgas Partners (FGPR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
- Market Cap
- $229.61M
- Dividend Yield
- ―
- Average Volume (3M)
- 3,896
- Price to Earnings (P/E)
- -0.9
- Beta (1Y)
- 0.05
- Revenue Growth
- -3.83%
- EPS Growth
- 41.98%
- Country
- US
- Employees
- 3,990
- Sector
- Energy
- Sector Strength
- 65
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
Ferrellgas Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. retail distribution of propane, related equipment and supplies. It transports propane to propane distribution locations, tanks on customers’ premises, or to portable propane tanks delivered to retailers. The company also con...
How the Company Makes Money
Ferrellgas makes money primarily by purchasing propane in bulk from suppliers and reselling it to end customers at a markup that reflects commodity costs, transportation/logistics, and retail margins. Its core revenue stream is the retail sale and de...
Ferrellgas Partners Earnings Call Summary
The call was broadly constructive. Ferrellgas reported quarterly adjusted EBITDA growth, improved full-year net earnings, successful refinancing and unit-structure simplification, strong liquidity, customer and safety gains, and favorable regulatory developments. These positives were partly offset by a 3% full-year adjusted EBITDA decline, lower gallon volumes caused by unusually warm weather, a higher quarterly net loss, and increased interest and operating costs. Management expressed confidence entering fiscal 2027, so the positive topics significantly outweighed the stated challenges.
Q4-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Negative Updates
Company Guidance
Entering fiscal '27, Ferrellgas said propane supply remains plentiful, which underpins stable margins and reliable service, while its national accounts team continues to build momentum with new expanded customer relationships; it will manage headwinds including elevated diesel costs and evolving tariff environment through operational efficiencies and ongoing cost discipline. The company said it had total liquidity of $195.1 million at July 31, 2026, including $48.4 million of cash and $146.7 million available on its revolver, providing flexibility for seasonal working capital, continued growth investment and debt reduction, with a distribution at some point in the future. Ferrellgas also cited HAZMAT endorsement laws for 18-year-olds in 13 states and said data center backup power is an emerging opportunity still in its early stage that it has not yet sized in its numbers; the new 5-year FERC pipeline shipping rate index is estimated to save the propane industry roughly $7 billion versus the prior index and closer to $14 billion versus what the pipelines had originally thought.
Ferrellgas Partners Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Financial performance is a tale of extremes. Cash flow is a major strength (Score 72), with operating cash flow more than doubling to $311.9M. However, the balance sheet is critically weak (Score 15) with deeply negative equity of -$426.7M, indicating high financial risk. The income statement is mixed (Score 58), showing a return to profitability but with thin operating margins. The strong cash generation is a vital lifeline, but the overall financial health is precarious due to extreme leverage.
Income Statement
58NeutralBalance Sheet
15Very NegativeCash Flow
72Positive| Breakdown | TTM | Jul 2026 | Jul 2025 | Jul 2024 | Jul 2023 | Jul 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.86B | 1.86B | 1.94B | 1.84B | 2.03B | 2.11B |
| Gross Profit | 965.66M | 1.02B | 915.99M | 983.14M | 1.01B | 928.03M |
| EBITDA | 310.17M | 310.17M | 191.49M | 308.06M | 329.68M | 339.83M |
| Net Income | 70.49M | 70.49M | -15.41M | 10.22M | 75.85M | 48.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.36B | 1.36B | 1.42B | 1.46B | 1.53B | 1.61B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 48.42M | 48.42M | 96.88M | 113.48M | 126.22M | 147.53M |
| Total Debt | 1.64B | 1.64B | 1.55B | 1.54B | 1.54B | 1.56B |
| Total Liabilities | 1.84B | 1.84B | 1.79B | 1.76B | 1.78B | 1.84B |
| Stockholders Equity | -399.72M | -399.72M | -298.44M | -220.56M | -218.36M | 37.91M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 57.20M | 75.34M | 56.34M | 174.71M | 123.34M | 63.79M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 134.52M | 152.66M | 136.35M | 245.57M | 212.26M | 160.47M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -75.53M | -75.53M | -80.80M | -85.05M | -110.77M | -111.78M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -107.45M | -125.59M | -82.82M | -173.71M | -122.87M | -171.90M |
Ferrellgas Partners Technical Analysis
Price Trends
Market Momentum
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FGPR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 20.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.06, below the 50-day MA of 21.57, and below the 200-day MA of 22.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 28.51 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FGPR.
Ferrellgas Partners Risk Analysis
Ferrellgas Partners disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Ferrellgas Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
- Finance & Corporate18
- Tech & Innovation2
- Legal & Regulatory10
- Production6
- Ability to Sell2
- Macro & Political3
Latest Risks Added
0 New RisksFerrellgas Partners Peers Comparison
Overall Rating
SUN85Outperform
SGU67Neutral
CAPL59Neutral
DK55Neutral- FGPR53Neutral
CLNE51Neutral
Financial Indicators
| Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SUN | 85Outperform | $14.51B | 14.72 | 18.17% | 5.43% | 83.34% | 123.75% |
| SGU | 67Neutral | $424.58M | 6.31 | 20.42% | 6.01% | 7.58% | 33.62% |
| Sector * | 65Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
| CAPL | 59Neutral | $859.28M | 15.85 | -72.93% | 9.33% | 0.29% | 21.69% |
| DK | 55Neutral | $4.50B | 20.16 | 95.27% | 1.39% | 11.40% | ― |
| FGPR | 53Neutral | $230.71M | -0.91 | -20.89% | ― | -3.83% | 41.98% |
| CLNE | 51Neutral | $317.44M | -3.30 | -16.68% | ― | 4.50% | 52.98% |
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
| Show on chart | Ticker | Company Name | Price | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FGPR | Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. | 20.23 | 1.95 | 10.64% | |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels | 1.44 | -1.45 | -50.17% | |
| DK | Delek US | 73.57 | 35.53 | 93.41% | |
| SGU | Star Gas Partners | 12.94 | 1.97 | 17.99% | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 70.84 | 21.50 | 43.56% | |
| CAPL | Crossamerica Partners LP | 22.51 | 3.66 | 19.40% |
Ferrellgas Partners Corporate Events
Ferrellgas Partners Reports Fiscal 2026 Results, EBITDA Up
PositiveOn September 25, 2026, Ferrellgas Partners reported results for its fourth fiscal quarter and year ended July 31, 2026, highlighting a 3% rise in quarterly Adjusted EBITDA to $23.8 million despite warmer-than-normal weather that reduced propane volum...
Ferrellgas Partners Reports Fiscal 2026 Results and Outlook
PositiveOn September 25, 2026, Ferrellgas reported its fourth-quarter and full-year results for the fiscal year ended July 31, 2026, highlighting a 3% rise in fourth-quarter Adjusted EBITDA to $23.8 million despite warmer-than-normal U.S. weather and softer...
Ferrellgas Partners Schedules Q4 and Fiscal 2026 Webcast
NeutralOn Friday, September 25, 2026, Ferrellgas Partners plans to host an Internet teleconference to review its results of operations for the fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year that ended on July 31, 2026. The webcast, scheduled to begin at 8:00 a.m. Ce...
Ferrellgas Schedules Webcast to Review Fiscal 2026 Results
NeutralFerrellgas Partners announced it will hold an Internet teleconference on Friday, September 25, 2026, to review its results of operations for the fourth fiscal quarter and fiscal year ended July 31, 2026. The webcast will begin at 8:00 a.m. Central Ti...
Ferrellgas Partners Extends CEO Tamria Zertuche’s Tenure
PositiveOn July 16, 2026, Ferrellgas, Inc. amended the executive employment agreement of President and Chief Executive Officer Tamria Zertuche, extending her term as chief executive through July 31, 2029. The amendment sets her annual base salary at $935,000...
Ferrellgas Partners Extends CEO Contract to Support Strategy
PositiveOn July 16, 2026, Ferrellgas, Inc. and President and Chief Executive Officer Tamria Zertuche entered into a first amendment to her executive employment agreement, extending her term as CEO and principal executive officer through July 31, 2029. The am...
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.
Date of analysis: Sep 29, 2026