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First National Bank Alaska (FBAK) AI Stock Analysis

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FBAK

First National Bank Alaska

(Other OTC:FBAK)

Select Model
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:$393.00â–²(16.36% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/07/26

The score is driven primarily by strong profitability and healthy earnings quality, supported by favorable technical trend and momentum. Valuation also contributes positively due to a moderate P/E and high dividend yield, while balance-sheet and cash-flow variability (including the prior leverage spike and cash-flow dip) temper the overall rating.

Positive Factors
Sustained ProfitabilityPersistently high net margins indicate strong earnings power and provide a durable buffer for a community bank. The improvement in 2025 further supports the ability to retain capital, fund operations, and absorb normal business fluctuations while maintaining shareholder returns.
Negative Factors
Leverage VolatilityThe sharp 2023 leverage increase shows that the capital structure can change materially rather than remaining consistently stable. Although leverage later normalized, such variability can reduce financial flexibility and make future balance-sheet management more sensitive to operating or funding conditions.

First National Bank Alaska (FBAK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%FBAK+31.23%SPY+14.28%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$1.07B
Dividend Yield
5.92%
Average Volume (3M)
240
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.3
Beta (1Y)
0.29
Revenue Growth
5.01%
EPS Growth
12.69%
Country
US
Employees
631
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks

First National Bank Alaska Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First National Bank Alaska, a commercial bank, provides various banking products and services for business, industry, and individual customers primarily in Alaska. The company offers savings and checking accounts; money market deposits; safe deposit...

First National Bank Alaska Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and earnings quality support the score: revenue is meaningfully higher than 2020 levels and net margins have remained high (~25%–34%) with improvement in 2025. Offsetting this, there is notable volatility (2024 revenue dip, sharp 2024 operating cash flow drop, and a 2023 leverage spike) that adds balance-sheet and cash-flow consistency risk.

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.56M265.67M272.55M237.10M181.97M171.85M
Gross Profit223.56M213.05M194.23M178.00M168.57M167.84M
EBITDA111.58M104.11M89.89M87.84M83.31M82.90M
Net Income83.42M77.54M67.05M60.01M58.23M58.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.12B5.11B5.01B5.73B5.34B5.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments338.98M278.70M03.31B2.91B3.37B
Total Debt799.82M756.76M760.98M1.42B670.97M781.70M
Total Liabilities4.54B4.54B4.49B5.27B4.93B5.03B
Stockholders Equity585.22M569.25M516.56M464.79M407.55M554.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow075.49M37.61M84.84M72.30M79.27M
Operating Cash Flow079.03M40.19M87.26M80.53M82.42M
Investing Cash Flow0-253.66M333.94M486.83M-364.46M-947.79M
Financing Cash Flow0-19.11M-825.11M255.78M-154.48M864.95M

First National Bank Alaska Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price337.74

Price Trends

50DMA328.95Positive
100DMA325.30Positive
200DMA317.63Positive

Market Momentum

MACD2.91Negative
RSI57.02Neutral
STOCH69.27Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBAK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 337.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 331.68, above the 50-day MA of 328.95, and above the 200-day MA of 317.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBAK.

First National Bank Alaska Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FBAK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FBAKFBAK81Outperform$1.07B12.2615.09%5.92%5.01%12.69%
CACCAC77Outperform$993.10M11.0912.66%2.84%6.01%51.38%
NRIMNRIM71Outperform$531.65M9.5416.36%2.70%2.78%-11.91%
ALRSALRS70Outperform$860.65M28.505.22%2.49%-14.91%-42.70%
HFWAHFWA70Outperform$1.15B13.967.32%3.48%21.50%20.75%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
CCBCCB63Neutral$656.15M-181.08-0.75%―9.84%-107.08%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%FBAKCACHFWANRIMCCBALRSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FBAK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FBAKFirst National Bank Alaska337.7478.5030.28%
CACCamden National59.2121.0655.22%
HFWAHeritage Financial28.196.7531.51%
NRIMNorthrim24.051.195.19%
CCBCoastal Financial43.46-61.09-58.43%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation34.4813.6365.34%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2026