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First National Bank Alaska (FBAK) AI Stock Analysis

FBAK

First National Bank Alaska

(Other OTC:FBAK)

Select Model
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:$385.00â–²(15.27% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/06/26

Overall score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong profitability and generally good cash conversion, despite balance-sheet/cash-flow variability) and supportive technicals (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). Valuation also contributes positively given the moderate P/E and high dividend yield.

Positive Factors
High profitability / net marginsSustained high net margins (mid-20s to mid-30s) indicate durable earnings power and pricing ability across cycles. That margin cushion supports return on equity, funds reinvestment and dividends, and provides resilience versus credit or interest-rate stress over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Leverage spike and balance-sheet variabilityA material leverage spike in 2023 highlights the balance sheet's capacity to shift meaningfully, raising capital and funding risks. Such variability can pressure regulatory ratios, increase funding costs, and reduce financial flexibility during stress or growth initiatives.

First National Bank Alaska (FBAK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%-5%0%5%10%15%20%25%30%FBAK+27.11%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$1.06B
Dividend Yield
5.99%
Average Volume (3M)
210
Price to Earnings (P/E)
12.7
Beta (1Y)
0.33
Revenue Growth
10.63%
EPS Growth
12.67%
Country
US
Employees
631
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Banks

First National Bank Alaska Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First National Bank Alaska, a commercial bank, provides various banking products and services for business, industry, and individual customers primarily in Alaska. The company offers savings and checking accounts; money market deposits; safe deposit...

How the Company Makes Money

FBAK primarily earns revenue through traditional bank income streams. (1) Net interest income: the bank collects interest on loans and other interest-earning assets (e.g., commercial loans, consumer loans, and securities) and pays interest to deposit...

First National Bank Alaska Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Strong profitability and earnings quality: income statement strength (82) reflects meaningful multi-year revenue growth and consistently high net margins (~25%–34%) with improvement in 2025. Offsetting this, the balance sheet is only moderate (68) due to a notable 2023 leverage spike (~3.1 debt-to-equity) and asset variability, and cash flows (74) show some inconsistency (sharp operating cash flow/FCF weakness in 2024 before rebounding in 2025).

Income Statement

82Very Positive

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

74Positive
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue273.56M265.67M272.55M237.10M181.97M171.85M
Gross Profit223.56M213.05M194.23M178.00M168.57M167.84M
EBITDA111.58M104.11M89.89M87.84M83.31M82.90M
Net Income83.42M77.54M67.05M60.01M58.23M58.41M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.12B5.11B5.01B5.73B5.34B5.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments338.98M278.70M03.31B2.91B3.37B
Total Debt799.82M756.76M760.98M1.42B670.97M781.70M
Total Liabilities4.54B4.54B4.49B5.27B4.93B5.03B
Stockholders Equity585.22M569.25M516.56M464.79M407.55M554.53M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow075.49M37.61M84.84M72.30M79.27M
Operating Cash Flow079.03M40.19M87.26M80.53M82.42M
Investing Cash Flow0-253.66M333.94M486.83M-364.46M-947.79M
Financing Cash Flow0-19.11M-825.11M255.78M-154.48M864.95M

First National Bank Alaska Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price334.00

Price Trends

50DMA328.21Positive
100DMA323.72Positive
200DMA315.90Positive

Market Momentum

MACD1.32Negative
RSI56.85Neutral
STOCH97.80Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FBAK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 334.00 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 326.91, above the 50-day MA of 328.21, and above the 200-day MA of 315.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.85 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.80 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FBAK.

First National Bank Alaska Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FBAK against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
FBAKFBAK80Outperform$1.06B12.6814.52%5.99%10.63%12.67%
ALRSALRS71Outperform$826.85M27.415.22%2.59%-15.00%-42.38%
CACCAC71Outperform$968.88M10.7412.66%2.93%6.01%51.65%
NRIMNRIM71Outperform$530.54M9.4616.36%2.73%2.77%-11.91%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
HFWAHFWA67Neutral$1.16B14.097.32%3.41%21.51%20.75%
CCBCCB64Neutral$661.75M-180.38-0.75%―9.84%-107.08%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-50%0%50%FBAKCACHFWANRIMCCBALRSDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FBAK and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FBAKFirst National Bank Alaska334.0071.0927.04%
CACCamden National57.3420.1053.98%
HFWAHeritage Financial28.476.7230.90%
NRIMNorthrim23.852.2610.49%
CCBCoastal Financial43.29-64.44-59.82%
ALRSAlerus Financial Corporation33.1712.7262.22%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026