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First Acceptance (FACO) AI Stock Analysis

FACO

First Acceptance

(Other OTC:FACO)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:$6.50▲(6.91% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:08/07/26

FACO scores a 65, reflecting a company with a compelling valuation (P/E of 5.6) and a strengthened balance sheet following a successful turnaround, offset by meaningful concerns around declining revenue, compressing margins, and deteriorating cash flows from 2023 peak levels. Technical indicators confirm a positive price trend with the stock trading above all major moving averages, though overbought RSI readings suggest limited near-term upside. The very low beta provides defensive characteristics. The key risk is whether the normalization in financial performance stabilizes or continues to deteriorate, which will determine if the current low valuation represents genuine value or a value trap.

Positive Factors
Conservative LeverageLow debt-to-equity (~0.22) and a conservatively levered balance sheet provide durable financial flexibility for an insurer. This permits absorbing underwriting volatility, funding reserve increases or catastrophe events, supports rate filings and reinsurance purchase options, and lowers financing risk over months.
Negative Factors
Revenue DeclineA multi-period revenue decline limits scale benefits and pricing leverage for a non-standard auto insurer. Shrinking premiums restrict ability to spread fixed distribution and admin costs, reduce investment float growth, and constrain capital available for product expansion or cost absorption over several months.

First Acceptance (FACO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-20%0%20%40%60%80%100%FACO+82.58%SPY+11.79%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
Market Cap
$224.35M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
12.87K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.0
Beta (1Y)
0.30
Revenue Growth
-7.70%
EPS Growth
58.56%
Country
US
Employees
629
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty

First Acceptance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First Acceptance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer, servicer, and underwriter of non-standard personal automobile insurance and related products in the United States. It issues non-standard automobile insurance polic...

How the Company Makes Money

FACO’s primary source of revenue is insurance operations. It makes money by (1) collecting insurance premiums from policyholders for personal auto insurance coverage and recognizing those premiums as earned over the policy term; and (2) investing the...

First Acceptance Financial Statement Overview

Summary

First Acceptance completed a strong turnaround from losses in 2021-2022 to profitability, with a standout 2023. However, revenue is now declining (~9.5% in 2025), margins are compressing (net margin from 15.2% peak to ~6-7%), and operating/free cash flows have dropped over 60% from peak levels. The balance sheet is a bright spot with low leverage (D/E of 0.22) and tripled equity, but cash flow deterioration and revenue headwinds temper the outlook. Blending the income statement (58), balance sheet (68), and cash flow (52) scores reflects a company that is financially healthy but clearly normalizing from exceptional results.

Income Statement

58Neutral

Balance Sheet

68Positive

Cash Flow

52Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue482.11M506.34M559.43M487.54M302.30M285.25M
Gross Profit203.70M200.89M40.53M33.48M-15.11M2.05M
EBITDA52.04M43.11M38.61M105.40M-16.32M999.00K
Net Income37.71M30.23M26.29M73.91M-17.49M-1.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets748.24M725.62M680.39M570.37M355.94M322.65M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments54.63M181.07M173.08M302.67M162.40M180.49M
Total Debt45.13M45.53M45.40M46.02M55.30M51.97M
Total Liabilities533.81M525.74M510.83M428.52M55.30M51.97M
Stockholders Equity214.43M199.88M169.56M141.85M65.52M92.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow31.58M46.57M51.79M83.82M-8.10M-10.46M
Operating Cash Flow31.98M47.14M52.12M85.16M-3.89M-6.60M
Investing Cash Flow-39.23M-48.48M-75.53M-24.53M-7.22M34.48M
Financing Cash Flow-61.00K-6.28M-446.00K83.00K-642.00K-15.30M

First Acceptance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentPositive
Last Price6.08

Price Trends

50DMA6.06Positive
100DMA5.81Positive
200DMA5.23Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.00Negative
RSI51.66Neutral
STOCH13.40Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FACO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.05, above the 50-day MA of 6.06, and above the 200-day MA of 5.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.00 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FACO.

First Acceptance Risk Analysis

First Acceptance disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Acceptance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

First Acceptance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FACO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
KINSKINS83Outperform$291.98M8.130.11%1.04%34.04%15.59%
DGICADGICA78Outperform$729.84M9.8010.57%4.01%-3.37%-22.70%
SAFTSAFT77Outperform$1.53B22.207.79%3.54%7.04%-18.57%
MCYMCY69Neutral$5.67B6.0537.19%1.24%9.95%140.12%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
FACOFACO65Neutral$224.70M5.9618.63%―-7.70%58.56%
ROOTROOT63Neutral$801.61M13.9515.91%―14.86%-30.59%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

0%50%FACODGICAKINSMCYSAFTROOTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26
FACO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FACOFirst Acceptance Corp6.082.8387.31%
DGICADonegal18.720.794.38%
KINSKingstone20.175.4537.02%
MCYMercury General102.4227.2136.17%
SAFTSafety Insurance103.9038.7559.48%
ROOTRoot, Inc.51.76-29.03-35.93%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2026