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First Acceptance (FACO) AI Stock Analysis

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FACO

First Acceptance

(Other OTC:FACO)

Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:$6.50▲(11.49% Upside)
Action:reiterated
Date:11/05/26

FACO scores above average, driven primarily by a markedly de-risked balance sheet — equity more than tripled since 2022, leverage down to 0.21 debt-to-equity, and ROE near 19% — combined with a restored and improving profit profile. An attractive 6.5x P/E adds valuation support. These strengths are tempered by two clear risks: revenue has declined for two consecutive periods, so earnings growth is coming from pricing and underwriting discipline rather than expansion, and operating cash flow has fallen sharply to $19.5M TTM, weakening cash conversion relative to reported profits. Technicals are mixed — the longer-term uptrend above the 100- and 200-day averages remains intact, but the stock has slipped below its short-term averages with a deeply oversold stochastic reading. No dividend and no earnings call or corporate event data limit additional support for the score.

Positive Factors
Profitability turnaroundThe shift from losses to positive net and operating margins indicates materially improved underwriting and operating performance. If maintained, this profitability provides greater capacity to strengthen capital, support policy servicing, and absorb normal volatility in claims and premium trends over coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Soft revenue momentumRecent revenue contraction indicates that the company is not currently sustaining the strong growth seen in earlier periods. Continued pressure on premiums or policy volume could limit operating leverage and make the recent margin improvement harder to preserve over the next several quarters.

First Acceptance (FACO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

-10%0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%FACO+47.22%SPY+13.89%Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
Market Cap
$215.13M
Dividend Yield
―
Average Volume (3M)
12.89K
Price to Earnings (P/E)
6.5
Beta (1Y)
0.38
Revenue Growth
-13.94%
EPS Growth
15.38%
Country
US
Employees
629
Sector
Financial
Sector Strength
68
Industry
Insurance - Property & Casualty

First Acceptance Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

First Acceptance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer, servicer, and underwriter of non-standard personal automobile insurance and related products in the United States. It issues non-standard automobile insurance polic...

How the Company Makes Money

FACO generated revenue primarily by selling and servicing personal auto insurance policies. Its core revenue stream was net earned premiums: premiums collected from policyholders over the coverage period, adjusted for reinsurance and cancellations. P...

First Acceptance Financial Statement Overview

Summary

A genuine turnaround story: the company swung from losses in 2021–2022 to $33.4M of TTM net income on $459.3M of revenue, with net margin improving to 7.3% and operating margin to 9.8%. The balance sheet is the standout strength — equity has more than tripled to $210.9M, debt-to-equity has fallen to a conservative 0.21, and return on equity is near 19%. Offsetting this are two consecutive periods of revenue decline from the 2024 peak and a sharp slide in operating cash flow to just $19.5M TTM, well below prior years and now trailing reported earnings. Inconsistent gross margin reporting adds noise to earnings quality.

Income Statement

65Positive

Balance Sheet

76Positive

Cash Flow

55Neutral
Financial statement breakdown
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue459.33M506.34M559.43M487.54M302.30M285.25M
Gross Profit180.64M200.89M40.53M33.48M-15.11M2.05M
EBITDA46.13M43.11M38.61M105.40M-16.32M999.00K
Net Income33.36M30.23M26.29M73.91M-17.49M-1.23M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets740.54M725.62M680.39M570.37M355.94M322.65M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments46.44M181.07M173.08M302.67M162.40M180.49M
Total Debt45.08M45.53M45.40M46.02M55.30M51.97M
Total Liabilities529.60M525.74M510.83M428.52M55.30M51.97M
Stockholders Equity210.94M199.88M169.56M141.85M65.52M92.90M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.58M46.57M51.79M83.82M-8.10M-10.46M
Operating Cash Flow19.46M47.14M52.12M85.16M-3.89M-6.60M
Investing Cash Flow-24.61M-48.48M-75.53M-24.53M-7.22M34.48M
Financing Cash Flow-1.44M-6.28M-446.00K83.00K-642.00K-15.30M

First Acceptance Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis SentimentNegative
Last Price5.83

Price Trends

50DMA6.04Negative
100DMA5.86Negative
200DMA5.31Positive

Market Momentum

MACD-0.04Positive
RSI40.98Neutral
STOCH53.90Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FACO, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.83 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.99, below the 50-day MA of 6.04, and above the 200-day MA of 5.31, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.04 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 53.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FACO.

First Acceptance Risk Analysis

First Acceptance disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. First Acceptance reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Higher RiskSector Avg.Lower RiskFinance & CorporateTech & InnovationLegal & RegulatoryProductionAbility to SellMacro & Political
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added

0 New Risks

First Acceptance Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)

Financial Indicators

FACO against its peers
NameOverall RatingMarket CapP/E RatioROEDividend YieldRevenue GrowthEPS Growth
KINSKINS89Outperform$326.42M7.9551.37%0.95%31.48%27.09%
DGICADGICA77Outperform$761.19M9.9210.57%4.01%-3.37%-22.70%
SAFTSAFT76Outperform$1.53B21.638.08%3.53%4.62%-18.49%
ROOTROOT73Outperform$668.00M8.8420.24%―7.89%39.83%
Sector *68Neutral$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
MCYMCY66Neutral$4.78B7.4824.15%1.47%5.42%46.21%
FACOFACO65Neutral$216.20M6.4816.06%―-13.94%15.38%

* Financial Sector Average

Performance Comparison

-25%0%25%50%FACODGICAKINSMCYSAFTROOTDec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '26Apr '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Aug '26Sep '26Oct '26Nov '26
FACO and its peers over the selected period
Show on chartTickerCompany NamePriceChange% Change
FACOFirst Acceptance Corp5.831.8345.75%
DGICADonegal18.96-0.21-1.10%
KINSKingstone23.239.0463.65%
MCYMercury General86.41-0.51-0.58%
SAFTSafety Insurance104.3430.5841.46%
ROOTRoot, Inc.43.63-38.21-46.69%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.

Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2026