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Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. (ES:NTGY)
BME:NTGY
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Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. (NTGY) AI Stock Analysis

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ES:NTGY

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.

(BME:NTGY)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
€31.00
▲(4.66% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/06/26
The score is primarily driven by steady financial performance (utility-like profitability and generally positive free cash flow), tempered by multi-year revenue contraction, margin pressure in 2025, and elevated leverage. Technicals add a modestly positive backdrop (price above key longer-term averages with positive MACD), while valuation is supportive due to a moderate P/E and a high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Regulated network earnings stability
A large portion of Naturgy’s economics comes from regulated gas and electricity networks with tariff-based returns. These frameworks create predictable cash flows and downside protection versus merchant earnings, supporting multi-year capex plans, dividend capacity and resilient operating cash generation.
Negative Factors
Multi-year revenue contraction
A persistent top-line decline over multiple years weakens growth prospects and can compress future allowed returns and scale benefits. For an integrated utility, shrinking revenues reduce the base for network tariffs, limit reinvestment capacity and challenge long-term margin sustainability.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated network earnings stability
A large portion of Naturgy’s economics comes from regulated gas and electricity networks with tariff-based returns. These frameworks create predictable cash flows and downside protection versus merchant earnings, supporting multi-year capex plans, dividend capacity and resilient operating cash generation.
Read all positive factors

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. (NTGY) vs. iShares MSCI Spain ETF (EWP)

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Naturgy Energy Group, S.A., together with its affiliates, conducts a comprehensive range of natural gas operations, including its acquisition, conversion (liquefaction and regasification), transmission, warehousing, local delivery, and retailing. ...
How the Company Makes Money
Naturgy primarily makes money by operating regulated energy infrastructure and by selling energy and energy-related services in competitive markets. 1) Regulated networks (stable, tariff-based earnings) - Gas distribution: Naturgy earns regulated...

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are steady for a regulated utility, supported by solid profitability and consistently positive net income since 2021. Offsetting this, revenue has contracted for multiple years and gross margin stepped down in 2025, while leverage remains elevated (debt roughly 1.7–2.1x equity), and free-cash-flow conversion versus earnings is only moderate with occasional volatility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.59B19.45B19.27B22.62B33.97B22.15B
Gross Profit4.87B5.36B7.70B7.51B6.77B5.62B
EBITDA5.51B5.20B5.22B5.19B4.63B3.74B
Net Income2.09B2.02B1.90B1.99B1.65B1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.78B39.10B40.84B37.89B40.39B38.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.00B4.66B6.10B4.12B4.39B4.36B
Total Debt16.53B16.75B18.19B15.96B16.26B16.69B
Total Liabilities29.04B27.73B29.18B25.96B30.41B29.38B
Stockholders Equity9.58B9.34B9.48B9.45B7.57B5.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow803.00M2.38B1.79B2.43B2.16B-203.00M
Operating Cash Flow1.88B4.53B3.99B4.86B2.16B1.00B
Investing Cash Flow-853.00M-1.89B-1.82B-2.74B1.16B1.90B
Financing Cash Flow219.00M-3.67B-239.00M-2.26B-2.54B-2.85B

Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
€31.20B9.3314.10%3.63%10.40%396.76%
71
Outperform
€43.32B16.7131.00%3.76%-1.29%26.14%
69
Neutral
€28.32B13.4023.71%6.00%
60
Neutral
€4.30B19.609.55%6.09%3.44%156.60%
60
Neutral
€132.95B18.5014.10%3.40%0.95%33.17%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
51
Neutral
€11.38B31.457.63%2.71%7.62%-56.65%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ES:NTGY
Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.
29.48
4.45
17.76%
ES:ANA
Acciona
208.20
42.55
25.68%
ES:ENG
Enagas SA
16.43
3.78
29.83%
ES:ELE
Endesa SA
42.10
16.28
63.08%
ES:IBE
Iberdrola
20.16
4.75
30.86%
ES:REP
Repsol
28.92
14.83
105.18%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 06, 2026